Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats predictions, May 29, 2026

May 22, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

AFL, on Friday,

Carlton

Geelong Cats

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The upcoming AFL clash between Carlton Blues and Geelong Cats on May 29, 2026, promises to be an intriguing encounter at Carlton’s home ground. Recent form leans heavily in favor of Geelong, who have triumphed in four of their last five matches, showcasing a robust strategy that capitalizes on their offensive prowess and disciplined defense. In contrast, Carlton has struggled, managing only one victory in their last five outings, which reflects inconsistencies in both attack and backline stability.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 3.6 for a Carlton victory and 1.3 for Geelong, indicating a clear expectation of an away win. Our statistical model concurs with this sentiment, assigning a 28.8% probability to a home win for Carlton and a commanding 71.2% chance for Geelong to secure the victory.

While Carlton will look to leverage their home-ground advantage, they must significantly improve their performance to challenge a Geelong side that has displayed resilience and tactical acumen. Fans can expect a competitive match, but with the current trends heavily favoring the Cats, an upset could prove challenging for the Blues.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-22T06:52:02+00:00.

Carlton
26.5%		 Geelong
73.5%

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Latest Results

16.05.26 Carlton Blues – Western Bulldogs – 74:62
08.05.26 Brisbane Lions – Carlton Blues – 100:89
02.05.26 Carlton Blues – St Kilda Saints – 69:108
25.04.26 Fremantle Dockers – Carlton Blues – 103:89
16.04.26 Carlton Blues – Collingwood Magpies – 83:88		 14.05.26 Brisbane Lions – Geelong Cats – 76:117
09.05.26 Geelong Cats – Collingwood Magpies – 122:68
02.05.26 Geelong Cats – North Melbourne Kangaroos – 135:86
25.04.26 Port Adelaide Power – Geelong Cats – 95:65
17.04.26 Geelong Cats – Western Bulldogs – 131:56

Facts

  • Let’s watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
  • Carlton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Geelong is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Geelong is seen as the favorite.
  • We predict that Geelong will win today’s game, with odds of 1.3.
  • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1309:1552. (average 77:91.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 751:789. (average 75.1:78.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.04.25 Carlton Blues – Geelong Cats – 94:76
    21.06.24 Carlton Blues – Geelong Cats – 138:75
    27.04.24 Geelong Cats – Carlton Blues – 118:105
    23.03.23 Carlton Blues – Geelong Cats – 90:82
    16.07.22 Carlton Blues – Geelong Cats – 55:85

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L %% Pts
    1 Sydney Swans 10 9 0 1 1131:743 152.22 36
    2 Fremantle Dockers 10 9 0 1 950:704 134.94 36
    3 Hawthorn Hawks 11 7 1 3 1058:958 110.44 30
    4 Geelong Cats 10 7 0 3 1030:834 123.50 28
    5 Gold Coast Suns 10 7 0 3 993:828 119.93 28
    6 Melbourne Demons 10 7 0 3 1030:957 107.63 28
    7 Brisbane Lions 10 6 0 4 1038:890 116.63 24
    8 Adelaide Crows 11 6 0 5 982:910 107.91 24
    9 St Kilda Saints 10 5 0 5 934:828 112.80 20
    10 Western Bulldogs 10 5 0 5 856:933 91.75 20
    11 Collingwood Magpies 10 4 1 5 809:816 99.14 18
    12 North Melbourne 10 4 0 6 926:958 96.66 16
    13 GWS Giants 10 4 0 6 842:934 90.15 16
    14 Port Adelaide Power 10 3 0 7 848:806 105.21 12
    15 West Coast Eagles 10 3 0 7 712:1109 64.20 12
    16 Carlton Blues 10 2 0 8 797:974 81.83 8
    17 Essendon Bombers 10 1 0 9 799:1132 70.58 4
    18 Richmond Tigers 10 1 0 9 657:1078 60.95 4

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