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On July 11, 2026, the Carlton Blues will host the Hawthorn Hawks in what promises to be an exciting clash in the AFL. The Blues are currently riding high, having won their last five matches, showcasing strong tactical cohesion and effective ball movement. Their aggressive forward line has significantly contributed to their recent success, allowing them to maintain pressure on opponents and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
In contrast, the Hawthorn Hawks come into this match with a commendable record, having secured victories in four of their last five encounters. They excel in transitioning from defense to attack, utilizing quick ball movement that often catches opposing defenses off guard. However, their ability to manage tight games will be crucial against a confident Carlton side.
Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.6 for a home victory and 1.5 for an away win, reflecting the higher expectations for the Hawks, who are favored by our model with a 66.8% probability of winning. Despite Carlton’s impressive form, they face a formidable challenge. With tactical strengths on both sides, this match could swing either way, making it essential for bettors to weigh recent performances carefully before placing wagers.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-04T14:52:02+00:00.
| Carlton 34.1% |
Draw 1.5% |
Hawthorn 64.3% |
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.75 | 100.00 | 1.40 | |
 |
2.75 | 80.00 | 1.40 |
Latest Results
| 04.07.26 Richmond Tigers – Carlton Blues – 72:74 26.06.26 Carlton Blues – West Coast Eagles – 117:64 20.06.26 Greater Western Sydney Giants – Carlton Blues – 65:88 07.06.26 Essendon Bombers – Carlton Blues – 67:72 29.05.26 Carlton Blues – Geelong Cats – 88:84 |
03.07.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Melbourne Demons – 90:125 26.06.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Greater Western Sydney Giants – 96:82 19.06.26 Gold Coast Suns – Hawthorn Hawks – 97:113 05.06.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Western Bulldogs – 71:77 28.05.26 St Kilda Saints – Hawthorn Hawks – 67:119 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 24.07.25 Hawthorn Hawks – Carlton Blues – 85:61 20.03.25 Carlton Blues – Hawthorn Hawks – 60:80 10.08.24 Carlton Blues – Hawthorn Hawks – 38:112 01.07.23 Hawthorn Hawks – Carlton Blues – 52:112 02.04.22 Carlton Blues – Hawthorn Hawks – 74:73 |
Standings
2026
| Pl | W | D | L | %% | Pts | |||
| 1 | Fremantle Dockers | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1579:1115 | 141.61 | 56 |
| 2 | Sydney Swans | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1751:1279 | 136.90 | 52 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1547:1406 | 110.03 | 42 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1674:1498 | 111.75 | 40 |
| 5 | Adelaide Crows | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1427:1281 | 111.40 | 40 |
| 6 | Melbourne Demons | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1555:1463 | 106.29 | 40 |
| 7 | Geelong Cats | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1591:1359 | 117.07 | 36 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1325:1459 | 90.82 | 36 |
| 9 | Collingwood Magpies | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1357:1300 | 104.38 | 34 |
| 10 | Carlton Blues | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1328:1384 | 95.95 | 32 |
| 11 | North Melbourne | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1294:1404 | 92.17 | 32 |
| 12 | GWS Giants | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1471:1460 | 100.75 | 28 |
| 13 | Gold Coast Suns | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1457:1447 | 100.69 | 28 |
| 14 | St Kilda Saints | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 1334:1326 | 100.60 | 24 |
| 15 | Port Adelaide Power | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 1222:1211 | 100.91 | 20 |
| 16 | West Coast Eagles | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1161:1623 | 71.53 | 16 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 16 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 1059:1672 | 63.34 | 8 |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 15 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1092:1537 | 71.05 | 4 |
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