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Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus predictions, May 17, 2026

Japan J1 League, on Sunday,

Score, Highlights

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On May 17, 2026, Cerezo Osaka will host Nagoya Grampus in a compelling clash in the Japan J1 League at Cerezo’s home ground. Both teams come into the match with contrasting recent form that adds an intriguing layer to this encounter.

Cerezo Osaka has secured victories in 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing a solid attacking unit that appears to be gaining momentum. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial as they face a Nagoya Grampus side that has been in impressive form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Grampus has demonstrated defensive resilience and a clinical edge in attack, which could pose a significant challenge for the home side.

Bookmakers have set Cerezo Osaka’s odds at 2.36 for a home win, while Nagoya Grampus stands at 2.94 for an away victory. Our model suggests a probability of 42.1% for a home win, 29.2% for a draw, and 30.6% for an away win, reflecting the tight nature of this matchup.

Tactically, Cerezo may focus on utilizing their home advantage, while Nagoya will likely rely on a disciplined defense and quick counter-attacks. With both teams in good form, the outcome remains unpredictable, setting the stage for an exciting encounter.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-10T22:52:03+00:00.

Cerezo Osaka
40.4%
Draw
27.3%
Nagoya
32.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.34 3.54 2.95
2.3 3.35 2.88
2.31 3.46 2.89
2.3 3.3 2.8
2.36 3.4 2.94

Latest Results

09.05.26 Cerezo Osaka – V-Varen Nagasaki – 3:2
06.05.26 Shimizu S-Pulse – Cerezo Osaka – 2:1 penalties
03.05.26 Cerezo Osaka – Avispa Fukuoka – 2:1 penalties
29.04.26 Vissel Kobe – Cerezo Osaka – 0:1 penalties
25.04.26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Cerezo Osaka – 2:1
10.05.26 Nagoya Grampus – Kyoto Sanga – 3:0
06.05.26 Nagoya Grampus – Gamba Osaka – 2:1
03.05.26 V-Varen Nagasaki – Nagoya Grampus – 1:2
29.04.26 Nagoya Grampus – Fagiano Okayama – 1:2 penalties
25.04.26 Shimizu S-Pulse – Nagoya Grampus – 0:2

Facts

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
  • Cerezo Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Nagoya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    04.04.26 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka – 3:0
    04.10.25 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka – 2:1
    08.03.25 Cerezo Osaka – Nagoya Grampus – 1:1
    30.06.24 Cerezo Osaka – Nagoya Grampus – 2:1
    21.04.24 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka – 2:1

    Standings

    2026

    East

    Pl W W L L Pts
    1 Kashima Antlers 16 11 2 2 1 28:11 39
    2 FC Tokyo 16 9 3 2 2 31:17 35
    3 Machida 15 7 4 2 2 25:20 31
    4 Urawa Reds 16 7 0 3 6 25:20 24
    5 Verdy 15 6 3 0 6 21:19 24
    6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 6 2 1 7 21:26 23
    7 Mito 16 2 4 4 6 22:35 18
    8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 2 9 22:30 17
    9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 4 1 0 11 17:22 14
    10 Chiba 16 3 0 3 10 16:28 12

    West

    Pl W W L L Pts
    1 Nagoya Grampus 16 8 2 3 3 30:21 31
    2 Vissel Kobe 15 7 2 3 3 25:22 28
    3 Gamba Osaka 17 4 5 3 5 29:24 25
    4 Cerezo Osaka 16 5 4 2 5 21:18 25
    5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 6 2 2 6 23:21 24
    6 Shimizu S-Pulse 16 4 4 4 4 22:21 24
    7 Okayama 16 5 2 4 5 22:26 23
    8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 3 4 4 6 21:30 21
    9 Kyoto 15 4 3 2 6 21:23 20
    10 V-Varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 1 9 18:26 19

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