Charlotte vs Toronto FC predictions, May 16, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

4 months ago

MLS, on Saturday, 7:30 pm ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

On May 16, 2026, Charlotte FC is set to host Toronto FC at their home ground in what promises to be an intriguing MLS fixture. Both teams are currently struggling for form, with Charlotte FC failing to secure a victory in their last five matches, mirrored by Toronto FC’s winless streak over the same period.

Charlotte FC’s recent performances have showcased a tendency for defensive frailties, struggling to maintain possession and absorb pressure effectively. Conversely, Toronto FC has encountered similar challenges, particularly in finding the back of the net, thus complicating their attacking strategies.

Bookmakers favor Charlotte FC slightly with odds of 1.83 for a home win compared to 3.96 for an away win, reflecting their status as the home side. Analysis from predictive models suggests a 52% probability of a Charlotte victory, while chances of a draw and an away win are estimated at 24.3% and 23.7%, respectively.

Given both teams’ recent form, this matchup could prove pivotal for boosting morale and igniting their seasons. While Charlotte holds the home advantage, the lack of recent victories for either side adds an element of uncertainty, making it a tough contest to call.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-11T16:52:03+00:00.

Charlotte
51.9%

Draw
24.7%

Toronto
23.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

Outrights of MLS Toronto FC: 2%

00:00 / 90:00 GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+

Watch and Bet Charlotte – Toronto available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1	X	2
1.85	3.7	4.15
1.83	4.04	4.22	Watch and Bet
1.75	3.7	3.9
1.83	3.85	3.96

Latest Results

09.05.26 Charlotte FC – FC Cincinnati – 2:2
02.05.26 New England Revolution – Charlotte FC – 1:0
28.04.26 Charlotte FC – Atlanta United – 0:2
25.04.26 Nashville SC – Charlotte FC – 4:2
22.04.26 Orlando City – Charlotte FC – 4:1

09.05.26 Toronto FC – Inter Miami – 2:4
05.05.26 Toronto FC – Atlético Ottawa – 1:3
02.05.26 Toronto FC – San Jose Earthquakes – 1:1
25.04.26 Toronto FC – Atlanta United – 1:2
22.04.26 Toronto FC – Philadelphia Union – 3:3

Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 4.

Charlotte is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Charlotte is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Latest Head To Head

26.07.25 Charlotte FC – Toronto FC – 2:0
31.05.25 Toronto FC – Charlotte FC – 0:2
13.04.24 Charlotte FC – Toronto FC – 3:2
09.03.24 Toronto FC – Charlotte FC – 1:0
04.10.23 Charlotte FC – Toronto FC – 3:0

Standings

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes	12	9	2	1	27:8	19	29
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	11	8	2	1	27:7	20	26
3	Los Angeles FC	12	6	3	3	20:12	8	21
4	Seattle Sounders	10	6	3	1	14:6	8	21
5	Minnesota United	12	6	3	3	16:18	-2	21
6	Real Salt Lake	11	6	1	4	20:17	3	19
7	FC Dallas	12	5	4	3	23:16	7	19
8	Houston Dynamo	11	6	0	5	17:19	-2	18
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
10	Austin FC	12	3	5	4	18:21	-3	14
11	Colorado Rapids	12	4	1	7	22:20	2	13
12	Portland Timbers	11	4	1	6	19:21	-2	13
13	San Diego FC	12	3	4	5	20:20	0	13
14	St. Louis City	11	2	3	6	10:18	-8	9
15	Sporting Kansas City	11	1	2	8	8:32	-24	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	11	7	3	1	23:8	15	24
2	New England Revolution	11	7	1	3	20:13	7	22
3	Inter Miami	12	6	4	2	26:21	5	22
4	Chicago Fire	11	5	2	4	20:14	6	17
5	DC United	12	4	4	4	15:17	-2	16
6	FC Cincinnati	12	4	4	4	24:27	-3	16
7	New York City	12	4	3	5	22:18	4	15
8	Charlotte	12	4	3	5	20:21	-1	15
9	New York Red Bulls	12	4	3	5	19:28	-9	15
10	Toronto FC	12	3	5	4	20:24	-4	14
11	CF Montreal	11	4	0	7	16:23	-7	12
12	Columbus Crew	12	3	3	6	16:19	-3	12
13	Atlanta Utd	12	3	1	8	13:20	-7	10
14	Orlando City	12	3	1	8	16:34	-18	10
15	Philadelphia Union	12	1	3	8	10:19	-9	6

MLS Outrights

1. Inter Miami: 5.04 (13.84%)

2. Vancouver Whitecaps: 7.08 (9.85%)

3. Los Angeles FC: 7.48 (9.33%)

4. Nashville SC: 14.6 (4.78%)

5. FC Cincinnati: 15 (4.65%)

6. San Jose Earthquakes: 15 (4.65%)

7. Cincinnati: 15 (4.65%)

8. San Diego FC: 17 (4.1%)

9. Seattle Sounders: 17 (4.1%)

10. New York City: 20.2 (3.45%)

11. Houston Dynamo: 24.6 (2.84%)

12. Minnesota United: 25.2 (2.77%)

13. New England Revolution: 25.2 (2.77%)

14. Columbus Crew: 34.8 (2%)

15. Los Angeles Galaxy: 34.8 (2%)

16. Toronto FC: 34.8 (2%)

17. New York Red Bulls: 41 (1.7%)

18. Orlando City: 41 (1.7%)

19. Real Salt Lake: 41 (1.7%)

20. Charlotte FC: 41 (1.7%)

21. Chicago Fire: 41 (1.7%)

22. Charlottenlund: 41 (1.7%)

23. Charlotte Eagles: 41 (1.7%)

24. FC Dallas: 50.2 (1.39%)

25. DC United: 50.2 (1.39%)

26. Toronto: 51 (1.37%)

27. Atlanta United: 80.2 (0.87%)

28. Austin: 100 (0.7%)

29. Colorado Rapids: 100.2 (0.7%)

30. Portland Timbers: 100.2 (0.7%)

31. Philadelphia Union: 100.2 (0.7%)

32. Austin FC: 101 (0.69%)

33. CF Montreal: 110.2 (0.63%)

34. St. Louis City: 110.2 (0.63%)

35. Sporting Kansas City: 130.2 (0.54%)

Charlotte – Toronto FC and other MLS events on our partner.