Chivas Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul predictions, May 16, 2026

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As Chivas Guadalajara prepares to face Cruz Azul in an exciting Liga MX clash on May 16, 2026, both teams bring contrasting recent performances into the encounter. Chivas has struggled to find form, securing only 1 victory in their last 5 matches, placing them under increased pressure to perform at home. Defensively, they must tighten their backline, as inconsistency has plagued their recent outings.

Conversely, Cruz Azul enters this match with a more optimistic outlook, having won 3 of their last 5 fixtures. Their attacking prowess has been evident, bolstered by tactical versatility which allows them to adapt to various match situations. The visitors will aim to capitalize on Chivas’ defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own solid game plan.

Bookmakers favor Chivas slightly with odds of 2.13 for a home win compared to Cruz Azul’s 3.41. Based on recent performances, our model indicates a 45.7% probability for a Chivas victory, alongside a 29% chance of a draw and a 26.7% likelihood of an away win for Cruz Azul.

While Chivas holds home advantage, Cruz Azul’s current form could prove decisive, making this a highly competitive fixture where outcomes remain uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-14T11:52:02+00:00.

Guadalajara 42.9%

Draw 28.2%

Cruz Azul 28.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch and Bet Guadalajara – Cruz Azul available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.4	3.19	Watch and Bet
	2.15	3	3
	2.18	3.34	3.34

Latest Results

13.05.26 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:2 09.05.26 Chivas Guadalajara – Tigres UANL – 2:0 02.05.26 Tigres UANL – Chivas Guadalajara – 3:1 25.04.26 Chivas Guadalajara – Club Tijuana – 0:0 22.04.26 Club Necaxa – Chivas Guadalajara – 0:0

13.05.26 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:2 09.05.26 Cruz Azul FC – Club Atlas – 1:0 02.05.26 Club Atlas – Cruz Azul FC – 2:3 26.04.26 Cruz Azul FC – Club Necaxa – 4:1 21.04.26 Querétaro FC – Cruz Azul FC – 1:1

Facts

First leg result: 2-2.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.

Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cruz Azul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

13.05.26 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:2 21.02.26 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 2:1 30.11.25 Cruz Azul FC – Chivas Guadalajara – 3:2 27.11.25 Chivas Guadalajara – Cruz Azul FC – 0:0 30.08.25 Chivas Guadalajara – Cruz Azul FC – 1:2

Standings

Draw

Clausura – Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	UNAM Pumas (1)	Club America (8)	3 : 3, 3 : 3
2	Pachuca (4)	Toluca (5)	2 : 0, 1 : 0
3	Guadalajara Chivas (2)	Tigres UANL (7)	2 : 0, 1 : 3
4	Cruz Azul (3)	Atlas (6)	1 : 0, 3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	UNAM Pumas (1)	Pachuca (4)
2	Guadalajara Chivas (2)	Cruz Azul (3)	2 : 2

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Mexican Liga MX Outrights

1. Guadalajara: 15 (100%)

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