Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien predictions, Aug 11, 2026

Score, Highlights

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The upcoming ATP match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien on August 11, 2026, at Aguilar’s home venue promises to be a compelling contest. Aguilar enters this matchup with a commendable record, having won 4 of his last 5 matches, showcasing a strong competitive spirit and effective on-court strategies. His ability to leverage home advantage could play a crucial role in his performance.

Conversely, Learner Tien has exhibited solid form, securing victories in 3 out of his last 5 encounters. Tien’s gameplay is characterized by powerful groundstrokes and agile movement, allowing him to dictate the pace of rallies and capitalize on opponent errors.

The bookmakers reflect this competitive landscape with odds of 2.63 for Aguilar to win, compared to 1.48 for Tien, indicating a marked preference for the visiting player. Our model suggests a probability of 34.1% for a home win and 65.9% for an away win, underscoring Tien’s stronger recent performances.

As both players aim to solidify their rankings, fans can anticipate a highly tactical showdown, with each player bringing distinct strengths to the court. Ultimately, while Tien is favored, the unpredictability of tennis ensures that any outcome is possible.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-08-09T17:52:03+00:00.

Merida Aguilar 36.1%

Tien 63.9%

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.78		1.47
	2.50		1.47
	2.60		1.49

Latest Results

09.08.26 Tallon Griekspoor – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2 07.08.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Alex Michelsen – 2:1 05.08.26 Ugo Humbert – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2 04.08.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Liam Draxl – 2:1 21.07.26 Daniel Merida Aguilar – Kyrian Jacquet – 1:2

09.08.26 Learner Tien – Thiago Augustin Tirante – 2:0 07.08.26 Learner Tien – Tommy Paul – 2:0 05.08.26 Learner Tien – Gael Monfils – 2:1 28.07.26 Adrian Mannarino – Learner Tien – 2:0 01.07.26 Marton Fucsovics – Learner Tien – 3:1

Facts

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 63. Tien is ranked ATP: 19.

Merida Aguilar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tien‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Sonego L.	Griekspoor T.	0 : 2
3	Mochizuki S. (Q)	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Arnaldi M. (30)
5	Humbert U. (24)	Bye
6	Merida Aguilar D.	Draxl L. (WC)	2 : 1
7	Michelsen A.	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Cerundolo F. (16)
9	Tien L. (12)	Bye
10	Majchrzak K.	Monfils G. (WC)	0 : 2
11	Carreno-Busta P.	Royer V.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Paul T. (17)
13	Collignon R. (32)	Bye
14	Popyrin A. (Q)	Burruchaga R. A.	2 : 1
15	Chan D. (Q)	Tirante T. A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
17	Medvedev D. (4)	Bye
18	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
19	Hurkacz H. (PR)	Giron M. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Bye	Tabilo A. (25)
21	Khachanov K. (21)	Bye
22	Atmane T.	Draper J. (WC)	2 : 1
23	Fearnley J. (Q)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Mensik J. (13)
25	Ruud C. (9)	Bye
26	Cerundolo J. M.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 0
27	Damm M. (Q)	Tsitsipas S. (Q)	0 : 2
28	Bye	Fonseca J. (22)
29	Bergs Z. (31)	Bye
30	Baez S.	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
31	Walton A. (Q)	Brooksby J.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Shelton B. (5)
33	Lehecka J. (8)	Bye
34	Galarneau A. (WC)	Kopriva V.	0 : 2
35	Munar J.	Hijikata R.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Blockx A. (27)
37	Jodar R. (20)	Bye
38	Fucsovics M.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
39	Mejia N. (Q)	Landaluce M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Musetti L. (11)
41	Vacherot V. (14)	Bye
42	Berrettini M.	Navone M.	1 : 2
43	Svajda Z.	Shapovalov D. (RET.)	1 : 1
44	Bye	Fils A. (18)
45	Buse I. (29)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Norrie C.	0 : 2
47	Duckworth J.	O’Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	De Minaur A. (3)
49	Cobolli F. (6)	Bye
50	Bonzi B. (Q)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
51	Kovacevic A.	Borges N.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (26)
53	Darderi L. (19)	Bye
54	Diallo G. (WC)	Jacquet K. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Vallejo D.	Shang J. (PR)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Rublev A. (10)
57	Tiafoe F. (15)	Bye
58	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	Cilic M.	0 : 2
59	Zheng M. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Rinderknech A. (23)
61	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
62	Vukic A. (Q)	Altmaier D.	1 : 2
63	van Assche L.	Droguet T. (Q)	1 : 2
64	Bye	Faria J.

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
2	Marozsan F.	Arnaldi M. (30)	1 : 2
3	Humbert U. (24)	Merida Aguilar D.	0 : 2
4	Michelsen A.	Cerundolo F. (16)	2 : 0
5	Tien L. (12)	Monfils G.	2 : 1
6	Royer V.	Paul T. (17)	0 : 2
7	Collignon R. (32)	Popyrin A.	0 : 2
8	Tirante T. A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Medvedev D. (4)	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
10	Hurkacz H.	Tabilo A. (25)	2 : 0
11	Khachanov K. (21)	Atmane T.	0 : 2
12	Fearnley J.	Mensik J. (13)	1 : 2
13	Ruud C. (9)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
14	Tsitsipas S.	Fonseca J. (22)	0 : 2
15	Bergs Z. (31)	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Brooksby J.	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
17	Lehecka J. (8)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
18	Munar J.	Blockx A. (WO.) (27)
19	Jodar R. (20)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
20	Mejia N.	Musetti L. (11)	0 : 2
21	Vacherot V. (14)	Navone M.	1 : 2
22	Svajda Z.	Fils A. (18)	1 : 2
23	Buse I. (29)	Norrie C.	0 : 2
24	Duckworth J.	De Minaur A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Cobolli F. (6)	Hanfmann Y.	0 : 2
26	Borges N.	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	2 : 0
27	Darderi L. (19)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
28	Shang J.	Rublev A. (10)	2 : 1
29	Tiafoe F. (15)	Cilic M.	2 : 1
30	Kecmanovic M.	Rinderknech A. (23)	1 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (28)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
32	Droguet T.	Faria J.	2 : 0

1/16-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Arnaldi M. (30)	2 : 1
2	Merida Aguilar D.	Michelsen A.	2 : 1
3	Tien L. (12)	Paul T. (17)	2 : 0
4	Popyrin A.	Tirante T. A.	0 : 2
5	Van De Zandschulp B.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 1
6	Atmane T.	Mensik J. (13)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (9)	Fonseca J. (22)	0 : 2
8	Bergs Z. (31)	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
9	Lehecka J. (8)	Blockx A. (27)	2 : 0
10	Jodar R. (20)	Musetti L. (11)	2 : 0
11	Navone M.	Fils A. (18)	0 : 2
12	Norrie C.	De Minaur A. (3)	2 : 1
13	Hanfmann Y.	Borges N.	0 : 2
14	Darderi L. (19)	Shang J.	2 : 1
15	Tiafoe F. (RET.) (15)	Rinderknech A. (23)	0 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (28)	Droguet T.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Merida Aguilar D.	0 : 2
2	Tien L. (12)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
3	Van De Zandschulp B.	Mensik J. (13)
4	Fonseca J. (22)	Shelton B. (5)
5	Lehecka J. (8)	Jodar R. (20)	0 : 2
6	Fils A. (18)	Norrie C.	2 : 0
7	Borges N.	Darderi L. (19)	1 : 2
8	Rinderknech A. (23)	Nakashima B. (28)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Merida Aguilar D.	Tien L. (12)
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	Jodar R. (20)	Fils A. (18)
4	Darderi L. (19)	Nakashima B. (28)

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

ATP Montreal Outrights

1. Jodar Rafael: 4.26 (18.9%)

2. Fils Arthur: 5.64 (14.27%)

3. Shelton Ben: 6.72 (11.98%)

4. Nakashima Brandon: 7.3 (11.03%)

5. Fonseca Joao: 7.9 (10.19%)

6. Mensik Jakub: 8.72 (9.23%)

7. Tien Learner: 9.57 (8.41%)

8. Griekspoor Tallon: 18 (4.47%)

9. Merida Aguilar Daniel: 23.67 (3.4%)

10. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 26.5 (3.04%)

11. Darderi Luciano: 28 (2.87%)

12. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 36.67 (2.2%)

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