Darya Kasatkina vs Ludmilla Samsonova predictions, Mar 11, 2025

Mar 09, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

WTA Indian Wells, on Tuesday,

Kasatkina

Samsonova

Score, Highlights

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In the upcoming WTA Indian Wells match on March 11, 2025, Darya Kasatkina will be facing off against Ludmilla Samsonova. Kasatkina, who is playing at home, has won 3 out of her last 5 matches, while Samsonova has also won 3 out of her last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have set the coefficients at 1.78 for Kasatkina and 2.04 for Samsonova, indicating a fairly close matchup. Our ML estimation gives Kasatkina a slight edge with a probability of 52.3% compared to Samsonova’s 47.7%. The most likely result predicted by the bookmakers is a 2:0 victory for Kasatkina.

This match is expected to be a competitive and exciting showdown between two talented players. Kasatkina will have the home advantage, but Samsonova will be determined to put up a strong fight. It will be interesting to see which player will come out on top in this closely contested match.

Kasatkina 53.4% Samsonova 46.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
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Latest Results

08.03.25 Darya Kasatkina – Sofia Kenin – 2:1
17.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Sorana Cirstea – 0:2
12.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Jessica Pegula – 0:2
11.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Elina Avanesyan – 2:0
10.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Polina Kudermetova – 2:0		 08.03.25 Caty McNally – Ludmilla Samsonova – 0:2
18.02.25 Ludmilla Samsonova – Jessica Pegula – 0:2
16.02.25 Ludmilla Samsonova – Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova – 2:0
11.02.25 Ludmilla Samsonova – Jelena Ostapenko – 0:2
09.02.25 Ludmilla Samsonova – Lulu Sun – 2:0

Facts

  • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 25.
  • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
  • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
  • Recently, the players did not play each other.

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Bye
    2 Blinkova A. Kessler M. 0 : 2
    3 Kalinina A. Bronzetti L. 0 : 2
    4 Bye Frech M. (30)
    5 Alexandrova E. (20) Bye
    6 Liu C. (Q) Kudermetova P. 0 : 2
    7 Kartal S. (LL) Lepchenko V. (Q) 2 : 0
    8 Bye Haddad Maia B. (16)
    9 Kasatkina D. (12) Bye
    10 Inglis M. Kenin S. 0 : 2
    11 Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q) McNally C. 0 : 1
    12 Bye Samsonova L. (24)
    13 Fernandez L. (27) Bye
    14 Kudermetova V. Cristian J. 0 : 2
    15 Jovic I. (WC) Grabher J. 2 : 1
    16 Bye Paolini J. (6)
    17 Gauff C. (3) Bye
    18 Raducanu E. Uchijima M. 0 : 2
    19 Danilovic O. Tomova V. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Sakkari M. (29)
    21 Anisimova A. (17) Bye
    22 Bencic B. (WC) Maria T. 2 : 0
    23 Parks A. (WC) Kalinskaya A. 2 : 0
    24 Bye Shnaider D. (13)
    25 Navarro E. (10) Bye
    26 Cirstea S. Joint M. (Q) 2 : 0
    27 Davis L. Avanesyan E. 0 : 2
    28 Bye Vekic D. (19)
    29 Mertens E. (28) Bye
    30 Golubic V. (Q) Birrell K. (Q) 0 : 2
    31 Bouzas Maneiro J. Potapova A. 1 : 2
    32 Bye Keys M. (5)
    33 Rybakina E. (7) Bye
    34 Bouzkova M. Lamens S. 1 : 2
    35 Begu I. Li A. 2 : 1
    36 Bye Boulter K. (25)
    37 Tauson C. (22) Bye
    38 Osorio C. Osaka N. 2 : 0
    39 Kvitova P. (WC) Gracheva V. 1 : 2
    40 Bye Andreeva M. (9)
    41 Collins D. (14) Bye
    42 Baptiste H. (Q) Osuigwe W. (Q) 2 : 0
    43 Krueger A. Volynets K. 2 : 1
    44 Bye Svitolina E. (23)
    45 Ostapenko J. (26) Bye
    46 Sherif M. Wang Xin. 0 : 2
    47 Stearns P. Linette M. 1 : 2
    48 Bye Pegula J. (4)
    49 Zheng Q. (8) Bye
    50 Ngounoue C. (Q) Azarenka V. 0 : 2
    51 Sramkova R. Sun L. 1 : 2
    52 Bye Noskova L. (31)
    53 Kostyuk M. (18) Bye
    54 Niemeier J. (Q) Montgomery R. (WC) 1 : 2
    55 Rakhimova K. Dolehide C. (WC) 0 : 2
    56 Bye Lys E. (LL)
    57 Muchova K. (15) Bye
    58 Zarazua R. (RET.) Cocciaretto E. 0 : 1
    59 Carle M. L. (Q) Siniakova K. 0 : 2
    60 Bye Putintseva Y. (21)
    61 Jabeur O. (32) Bye
    62 Yastremska D. Yuan Y. 2 : 0
    63 Garcia C. Pera B. (WC) 2 : 0
    64 Bye Swiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Kessler M. 2 : 0
    2 Bronzetti L. Frech M. (30) 2 : 0
    3 Alexandrova E. (20) Kudermetova P. 0 : 2
    4 Kartal S. Haddad Maia B. (16) 2 : 0
    5 Kasatkina D. (12) Kenin S. 2 : 1
    6 McNally C. Samsonova L. (24) 0 : 2
    7 Fernandez L. (27) Cristian J. 1 : 2
    8 Jovic I. Paolini J. (6) 1 : 2
    9 Gauff C. (3) Uchijima M. 2 : 1
    10 Tomova V. Sakkari M. (29) 0 : 2
    11 Anisimova A. (17) Bencic B. 1 : 2
    12 Parks A. Shnaider D. (13) 0 : 2
    13 Navarro E. (10) Cirstea S. 2 : 1
    14 Avanesyan E. Vekic D. (19) 0 : 2
    15 Mertens E. (28) Birrell K. 2 : 0
    16 Potapova A. Keys M. (5) 0 : 2
    17 Rybakina E. (7) Lamens S. 2 : 0
    18 Begu I. Boulter K. (25) 1 : 2
    19 Tauson C. (22) Osorio C. 2 : 0
    20 Gracheva V. Andreeva M. (9) 0 : 2
    21 Collins D. (14) Baptiste H. 2 : 1
    22 Krueger A. Svitolina E. (23) 1 : 2
    23 Ostapenko J. (26) Wang Xin. 0 : 2
    24 Linette M. Pegula J. (4) 0 : 2
    25 Zheng Q. (8) Azarenka V. 2 : 0
    26 Sun L. Noskova L. (31) 2 : 0
    27 Kostyuk M. (18) Montgomery R. 2 : 0
    28 Dolehide C. Lys E. 2 : 0
    29 Muchova K. (15) Cocciaretto E. 2 : 0
    30 Siniakova K. Putintseva Y. (21) 2 : 0
    31 Jabeur O. (32) Yastremska D. 0 : 2
    32 Garcia C. Swiatek I. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Bronzetti L.
    2 Kudermetova P. Kartal S.
    3 Kasatkina D. (12) Samsonova L. (24)
    4 Cristian J. Paolini J. (6)
    5 Gauff C. (3) Sakkari M. (29)
    6 Bencic B. Shnaider D. (13)
    7 Navarro E. (10) Vekic D. (19)
    8 Mertens E. (28) Keys M. (5)
    9 Rybakina E. (7) Boulter K. (25)
    10 Tauson C. (22) Andreeva M. (9)
    11 Collins D. (14) Svitolina E. (23)
    12 Wang Xin. Pegula J. (4)
    13 Zheng Q. (8) Sun L.
    14 Kostyuk M. (18) Dolehide C.
    15 Muchova K. (15) Siniakova K.
    16 Yastremska D. Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    WTA Indian Wells Outrights

    1. Swiatek Iga: 3.84 (18.43%)

    2. Sabalenka Aryna: 4.91 (14.42%)

    3. Gauff Coco: 8.53 (8.29%)

    4. Andreeva Mirra: 9.17 (7.72%)

    5. Rybakina Elena: 10.42 (6.79%)

    6. Keys Madison: 12.67 (5.59%)

    7. Pegula Jessica: 17.92 (3.95%)

    8. Muchova Karolina: 23.83 (2.97%)

    9. Navarro Emma: 23.83 (2.97%)

    10. Zheng Qinwen: 29.17 (2.43%)

    11. Kostyuk Marta: 32 (2.21%)

    12. Bencic Belinda: 34.17 (2.07%)

    13. Anisimova Amanda: 45.17 (1.57%)

    14. Paolini Jasmine: 46 (1.54%)

    15. Svitolina Elina: 46.8 (1.51%)

    16. Tauson Clara: 49.8 (1.42%)

    17. Kasatkina Daria: 55 (1.29%)

    18. Collins Danielle: 65.4 (1.08%)

    19. Alexandrova Ekaterina: 66.6 (1.06%)

    20. Shnaider Diana: 69.4 (1.02%)

    21. Potapova Anastasia: 70.4 (1%)

    22. Mertens Elise: 71.8 (0.99%)

    23. Samsonova Liudmila: 76.4 (0.93%)

    24. Fernandez Leylah: 80.8 (0.88%)

    25. Noskova Linda: 81 (0.87%)

    26. Kenin Sofia: 114.8 (0.62%)

    27. Kessler McCartney: 118.8 (0.6%)

    28. Sakkari Maria: 119.8 (0.59%)

    29. Kartal Sonay: 194.5 (0.36%)

    30. Avanesyan Elina: 195.8 (0.36%)

    31. Azarenka Victoria: 201 (0.35%)

    32. Haddad Maia Beatriz: 205.8 (0.34%)

    33. Parks Alycia: 215.8 (0.33%)

    34. Boulter Katie: 235.8 (0.3%)

    35. Siniakova Katerina: 259.8 (0.27%)

    36. Vekic Donna: 275.8 (0.26%)

    37. Frech Magdalena: 275.8 (0.26%)

    38. Linette Magda: 301 (0.24%)

    39. Yastremska Dayana: 335.8 (0.21%)

    40. Cirstea Sorana: 365.8 (0.19%)

    41. Sun Lulu: 370.8 (0.19%)

    42. Wang Xinyu (2001): 385.8 (0.18%)

    43. Kudermetova Polina: 435.8 (0.16%)

    44. Bronzetti Lucia: 435.8 (0.16%)

    45. Birrell Kimberly: 438.25 (0.16%)

    46. Tomova Viktoriya: 450.8 (0.16%)

    47. Jovic Iva: 470.8 (0.15%)

    48. Uchijima Moyuka: 470.8 (0.15%)

    49. McNally Caty: 490.8 (0.14%)

    50. Dolehide Caroline: 495.8 (0.14%)

    51. Cristian Jaqueline: 510.8 (0.14%)

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