Darya Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin predictions, Mar 08, 2025

Mar 07, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

WTA Indian Wells, on Saturday,

Kasatkina

Sofia Kenin

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Darya Kasatkina vs. Sofia Kenin – WTA Indian Wells 2025

**Date:** March 9, 2025
**Event:** WTA Indian Wells
**Location:** Indian Wells, California

#### Player Profiles

**Darya Kasatkina**
– **Recent Form:** Darya Kasatkina comes into this match having secured 2 wins in her last 5 matches. While she has shown flashes of brilliance, her consistency may be a concern. Playing at home can be an added advantage as she enjoys the support of the local crowd, which may boost her performance.
– **Playing Style:** Kasatkina is known for her powerful baseline game and tactical flexibility. She excels on hard courts and has a strong defensive game, which can frustrate her opponents and lead to long rallies.

**Sofia Kenin**
– **Recent Form:** Sofia Kenin has a slightly better record, winning 3 out of her last 5 matches. As a former Grand Slam champion, she is a fierce competitor, capable of stepping up her game in crucial moments. Her recent form suggests she is gaining momentum heading into this match.
– **Playing Style:** Kenin is known for her aggressive play and mental toughness. She often puts her opponents under pressure with deep groundstrokes and her relentless fighting spirit on the court.

#### Head-to-Head and Match Dynamics

– **Bookmaker Odds:** The match odds are evenly matched at 1.9 for both players, indicating a close contest.
– **ML Estimation:** The machine learning estimation suggests a slight edge for Kenin at 50.7% compared to Kasatkina’s 49.3%. This reflects a tight matchup where both players have a realistic chance of victory.

#### Key Factors to Consider

1. **Home Advantage:** Kasatkina’s familiarity with the conditions in Indian Wells could play a crucial role. The crowd support will also be a significant factor, potentially giving her the emotional boost needed at critical moments.

2. **Current Form:** Kenin’s better recent results might provide her with the confidence boost required to perform well. If she can maintain her level of play and assert her game style, she will be a tough opponent for Kasatkina.

3. **Tactical Approach:** Both players will need to adjust their game plans. Kasatkina may try to exploit Kenin’s occasional lapses in concentration, while Kenin will look to dictate the pace and keep Kasatkina on the defense.

#### Conclusion

This match promises to be a thrilling contest, showcasing two talented players with contrasting styles and approaches. Both Darya Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin will look to secure a victory and advance in the tournament, making for an exciting encounter at the WTA Indian Wells. Expect a fierce battle that could swing both ways, with the crowd eagerly anticipating a compelling showdown.

Kasatkina 50% Kenin 50%

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Betting Odds

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Latest Results

17.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Sorana Cirstea – 0:2
12.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Jessica Pegula – 0:2
11.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Elina Avanesyan – 2:0
10.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Polina Kudermetova – 2:0
10.02.25 Darya Kasatkina – Anastasia Potapova – Canceled		 06.03.25 Maddison Inglis – Sofia Kenin – 0:2
06.03.25 Sloane Stephens – Sofia Kenin – Canceled
20.02.25 Elena Rybakina – Sofia Kenin – 2:0
19.02.25 Sofia Kenin – Jasmine Paolini – 2:0
18.02.25 Sofia Kenin – Marta Kostyuk – 2:1

Facts

  • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Kenin is ranked WTA: 47.
  • Both players are now playing unstable.
  • Kasatkina could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

    Latest Head To Head

    25.10.24 Sofia Kenin – Darya Kasatkina – 2:0
    31.08.23 Darya Kasatkina – Sofia Kenin – 2:1
    10.01.22 Sofia Kenin – Darya Kasatkina – 0:2
    19.02.19 Sofia Kenin – Darya Kasatkina – 2:1
    23.03.18 Darya Kasatkina – Sofia Kenin – 1:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) Bye
    2 Blinkova A. Kessler M.
    3 Kalinina A. Bronzetti L. 0 : 2
    4 Bye Frech M. (30)
    5 Alexandrova E. (20) Bye
    6 Liu C. (Q) Kudermetova P. 0 : 2
    7 Kartal S. (Q) Lepchenko V. (Q) 2 : 0
    8 Bye Haddad Maia B. (16)
    9 Kasatkina D. (12) Bye
    10 Inglis M. Kenin S. 0 : 2
    11 Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q) McNally C. 0 : 1
    12 Bye Samsonova L. (24)
    13 Fernandez L. (27) Bye
    14 Kudermetova V. Cristian J. 0 : 2
    15 Jovic I. Grabher J.
    16 Bye Paolini J. (6)
    17 Gauff C. (3) Bye
    18 Raducanu E. Uchijima M. 0 : 2
    19 Danilovic O. Tomova V. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Sakkari M. (29)
    21 Anisimova A. (17) Bye
    22 Bencic B. Maria T. 2 : 0
    23 Parks A. Kalinskaya A.
    24 Bye Shnaider D. (13)
    25 Navarro E. (10) Bye
    26 Cirstea S. Joint M. (Q) 2 : 0
    27 Davis L. Avanesyan E.
    28 Bye Vekic D. (19)
    29 Mertens E. (28) Bye
    30 Golubic V. (Q) Birrell K. (Q)
    31 Bouzas Maneiro J. Potapova A.
    32 Bye Keys M. (5)
    33 Rybakina E. (7) Bye
    34 Bouzkova M. Lamens S. 1 : 2
    35 Begu I. Li A. 2 : 1
    36 Bye Boulter K. (25)
    37 Tauson C. (22) Bye
    38 Osorio C. Osaka N. 2 : 0
    39 Kvitova P. Gracheva V. 1 : 2
    40 Bye Andreeva M. (9)
    41 Collins D. (14) Bye
    42 Baptiste H. (Q) Osuigwe W. (Q) 2 : 0
    43 Krueger A. Volynets K. 2 : 1
    44 Bye Svitolina E. (23)
    45 Ostapenko J. (26) Bye
    46 Sherif M. Wang Xin. 0 : 2
    47 Stearns P. Linette M. 1 : 2
    48 Bye Pegula J. (4)
    49 Zheng Q. (8) Bye
    50 Ngounoue C. (Q) Azarenka V. 0 : 2
    51 Sramkova R. Sun L. 1 : 2
    52 Bye Noskova L. (31)
    53 Kostyuk M. (18) Bye
    54 Niemeier J. (Q) Montgomery R. 1 : 2
    55 Rakhimova K. Dolehide C. 0 : 2
    56 Bye Badosa P. (11)
    57 Muchova K. (15) Bye
    58 Zarazua R. (RET.) Cocciaretto E. 0 : 1
    59 Carle M. L. (Q) Siniakova K. 0 : 2
    60 Bye Putintseva Y. (21)
    61 Jabeur O. (32) Bye
    62 Yastremska D. Yuan Y. 2 : 0
    63 Garcia C. Pera B. 2 : 0
    64 Bye Swiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sabalenka A. (1) TBD #2
    2 Bronzetti L. Frech M. (30)
    3 Alexandrova E. (20) Kudermetova P.
    4 Kartal S. Haddad Maia B. (16)
    5 Kasatkina D. (12) Kenin S.
    6 McNally C. Samsonova L. (24)
    7 Fernandez L. (27) Cristian J.
    8 TBD #15 Paolini J. (6)
    9 Gauff C. (3) Uchijima M.
    10 Tomova V. Sakkari M. (29)
    11 Anisimova A. (17) Bencic B.
    12 TBD #23 Shnaider D. (13)
    13 Navarro E. (10) Cirstea S.
    14 TBD #27 Vekic D. (19)
    15 Mertens E. (28) TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 Keys M. (5)
    17 Rybakina E. (7) Lamens S.
    18 Begu I. Boulter K. (25)
    19 Tauson C. (22) Osorio C.
    20 Gracheva V. Andreeva M. (9)
    21 Collins D. (14) Baptiste H.
    22 Krueger A. Svitolina E. (23)
    23 Ostapenko J. (26) Wang Xin.
    24 Linette M. Pegula J. (4)
    25 Zheng Q. (8) Azarenka V.
    26 Sun L. Noskova L. (31)
    27 Kostyuk M. (18) Montgomery R.
    28 Dolehide C. Badosa P. (11)
    29 Muchova K. (15) Cocciaretto E.
    30 Siniakova K. Putintseva Y. (21)
    31 Jabeur O. (32) Yastremska D.
    32 Garcia C. Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 TBD #17 TBD #18
    10 TBD #19 TBD #20
    11 TBD #21 TBD #22
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 TBD #25 TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 TBD #29 TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    WTA Indian Wells Outrights

    1. Swiatek Iga: 4.29 (15.58%)

    2. Sabalenka Aryna: 5.11 (13.08%)

    3. Andreeva Mirra: 10.41 (6.42%)

    4. Gauff Coco: 10.71 (6.24%)

    5. Rybakina Elena: 10.82 (6.17%)

    6. Keys Madison: 13.43 (4.97%)

    7. Pegula Jessica: 21.77 (3.07%)

    8. Navarro Emma: 26.19 (2.55%)

    9. Muchova Karolina: 28.2 (2.37%)

    10. Kostyuk Marta: 33 (2.02%)

    11. Bencic Belinda: 33.42 (2%)

    12. Zheng Qinwen: 36.77 (1.82%)

    13. Badosa Paula: 38.26 (1.75%)

    14. Tauson Clara: 42 (1.59%)

    15. Ostapenko Jelena: 42.26 (1.58%)

    16. Anisimova Amanda: 45.48 (1.47%)

    17. Paolini Jasmine: 49.54 (1.35%)

    18. Potapova Anastasia: 50.75 (1.32%)

    19. Kasatkina Daria: 51.93 (1.29%)

    20. Jabeur Ons: 52 (1.28%)

    21. Alexandrova Ekaterina: 52 (1.28%)

    22. Mertens Elise: 54.5 (1.23%)

    23. Noskova Linda: 61.5 (1.09%)

    24. Shnaider Diana: 64 (1.04%)

    25. Raducanu Emma: 64 (1.04%)

    26. Collins Danielle: 66.5 (1%)

    27. Samsonova Liudmila: 80.75 (0.83%)

    28. Fernandez Leylah: 80.75 (0.83%)

    29. Svitolina Elina: 90.75 (0.74%)

    30. Krueger Ashlyn: 98.25 (0.68%)

    31. Yastremska Dayana: 98.25 (0.68%)

    32. Kessler McCartney: 98.25 (0.68%)

    33. Kenin Sofia: 112 (0.6%)

    34. Kalinskaya Anna: 125.75 (0.53%)

    35. Azarenka Victoria: 135.75 (0.49%)

    36. Sakkari Maria: 144.5 (0.46%)

    37. Joint Maya: 157 (0.43%)

    38. Haddad Maia Beatriz: 182 (0.37%)

    39. Avanesyan Elina: 182 (0.37%)

    40. Kudermetova Veronika: 194.5 (0.34%)

    41. Boulter Katie: 194.5 (0.34%)

    42. Frech Magdalena: 194.5 (0.34%)

    43. Kartal Sonay: 201 (0.33%)

    44. Putintseva Yulia: 232 (0.29%)

    45. Vekic Donna: 232 (0.29%)

    46. Tomljanovic Ajla: 250.75 (0.27%)

    47. Jovic Iva: 269.5 (0.25%)

    48. Wang Xinyu (2001): 275.75 (0.24%)

    49. Parks Alycia: 344.5 (0.19%)

    50. Danilovic Olga: 344.5 (0.19%)

    51. Kudermetova Polina: 419.5 (0.16%)

    52. Siniakova Katerina: 419.5 (0.16%)

    53. Osorio Camila: 419.5 (0.16%)

    54. Linette Magda: 419.5 (0.16%)

    55. Dolehide Caroline: 419.5 (0.16%)

    56. Cirstea Sorana: 425.75 (0.16%)

    57. Garcia Caroline: 425.75 (0.16%)

    58. Kalinina Anhelina: 425.75 (0.16%)

    59. Lamens Suzan: 425.75 (0.16%)

    60. Gracheva Varvara: 425.75 (0.16%)

    61. Blinkova Anna: 425.75 (0.16%)

    62. Uchijima Moyuka: 438.25 (0.15%)

    63. Tomova Viktoriya: 438.25 (0.15%)

    64. Sun Lulu: 438.25 (0.15%)

    65. Montgomery Robin: 438.25 (0.15%)

    66. McNally Caty: 438.25 (0.15%)

    67. Maria Tatjana: 438.25 (0.15%)

    68. Grabher Julia: 438.25 (0.15%)

    69. Davis Lauren: 438.25 (0.15%)

    70. Cristian Jaqueline: 438.25 (0.15%)

    71. Cocciaretto Elisabetta: 438.25 (0.15%)

    72. Bronzetti Lucia: 438.25 (0.15%)

    73. Bouzas Maneiro Jessica: 438.25 (0.15%)

    74. Begu Irina-Camelia: 438.25 (0.15%)

    75. Liu Claire: 438.25 (0.15%)

    76. Baptiste Hailey: 438.25 (0.15%)

    77. Lepchenko Varvara: 438.25 (0.15%)

    78. Inglis Maddison: 438.25 (0.15%)

    79. Golubic Viktorija: 438.25 (0.15%)

    80. Birrell Kimberly: 438.25 (0.15%)

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