De Graafschap vs Excelsior predictions, Mar 07, 2025

Mar 03, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Dutch Eerste Divisie, on Friday,

De Graafschap

Excelsior

Score, Highlights

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In this upcoming match in the Dutch Eerste Divisie, De Graafschap will be facing Excelsior at home. Both teams have had mixed results in their previous matches, with De Graafschap winning 3 out of their last 5 games and Excelsior Rotterdam winning only 1 out of their last 5 matches.

According to the bookmakers, the odds are quite close with coefficients of 2.22 for De Graafschap and 2.92 for Excelsior. Our ML estimation gives De Graafschap a slight edge with a 43.2% probability of winning, while there is a 24.8% chance of a draw and a 31.8% chance of an Excelsior victory.

The most likely result predicted by the bookmakers is a 1-1 draw. This suggests that the match could be closely contested and evenly matched. Both teams will be looking to secure a positive result in order to improve their standings in the league. It is expected to be an exciting and competitive match between these two teams.

De Graafschap 42.6% Draw 25.2% Excelsior 32.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie Excelsior: 10.46% De Graafschap: 1.64%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.24 3.67 2.97
MarathonBet 2.19 3.82 2.88

Latest Results

28.02.25 Jong PSV – De Graafschap – 1:2
21.02.25 De Graafschap – Jong AZ Alkmaar – 5:1
16.02.25 Vitesse Arnhem – De Graafschap – 2:0
07.02.25 De Graafschap – FC Den Bosch – 1:0
03.02.25 De Graafschap – ADO Den Haag – 1:2		 02.03.25 Excelsior Rotterdam – Roda JC – 1:1
21.02.25 SC Telstar – Excelsior Rotterdam – 1:3
16.02.25 Excelsior Rotterdam – Helmond Sport – 1:1
10.02.25 Jong Ajax – Excelsior Rotterdam – 3:2
01.02.25 Excelsior Rotterdam – Vitesse Arnhem – 1:3

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
  • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 17 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:23 (average 1.5:1.4).
  • Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    16.08.24 Excelsior Rotterdam – De Graafschap – 3:1
    14.01.22 Excelsior Rotterdam – De Graafschap – 0:0
    17.09.21 De Graafschap – Excelsior Rotterdam – 3:1
    19.03.21 De Graafschap – Excelsior Rotterdam – 1:1
    05.10.20 Excelsior Rotterdam – De Graafschap – 1:2

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 FC Volendam 28 18 4 6 63:35 28 58
    2 Dordrecht 28 15 8 5 50:34 16 53
    3 Den Haag 28 15 7 6 49:32 17 52
    4 Excelsior 28 14 8 6 49:30 19 50
    5 Cambuur 28 15 4 9 45:27 18 49
    6 De Graafschap 28 13 7 8 56:40 16 46
    7 Den Bosch 28 12 7 9 41:31 10 43
    8 FC Emmen 28 12 5 11 44:40 4 41
    9 Roda 28 10 9 9 38:37 1 39
    10 Helmond 28 11 6 11 39:42 -3 39
    11 Telstar 27 10 8 9 44:35 9 38
    12 Eindhoven FC 27 10 5 12 40:45 -5 35
    13 Maastricht 28 8 9 11 42:43 -1 33
    14 Jong Ajax 27 8 7 12 34:35 -1 31
    15 Jong AZ 26 8 6 12 44:50 -6 30
    16 Oss 27 6 9 12 19:45 -26 27
    17 Venlo 27 7 5 15 26:49 -23 26
    18 Jong PSV 27 6 3 18 39:58 -19 21
    19 Jong Utrecht 26 3 8 15 23:54 -31 17
    20 Vitesse 28 8 7 13 37:60 -23 4

    Dutch Eerste Divisie Outrights

    1. FC Volendam: 1.33 (62.9%)

    2. Dordrecht: 8 (10.46%)

    3. Excelsior: 8 (10.46%)

    4. Den Haag: 11 (7.61%)

    5. Cambuur: 26 (3.22%)

    6. Den Bosch: 41 (2.04%)

    7. De Graafschap: 51 (1.64%)

    8. Roda: 201 (0.42%)

    9. Telstar: 201 (0.42%)

    10. FC Emmen: 251 (0.33%)

    11. Helmond Sport: 501 (0.17%)

    12. Eindhoven FC: 501 (0.17%)

    13. Maastricht: 1001 (0.08%)

    14. TOP Oss: 4501 (0.02%)

    15. Venlo: 4501 (0.02%)

    16. Jong AZ Alkmaar: 4501 (0.02%)

    17. Jong Ajax: 4501 (0.02%)

    18. Ajax (Am): 4501 (0.02%)

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