Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone predictions, May 06, 2026

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As Denis Shapovalov prepares to face Mariano Navone in the ATP Roma on May 6, 2026, both players enter the match with similar recent form, having each won 2 of their last 5 encounters. Shapovalov, playing at home, will be looking to leverage his strong baseline game and powerful serves to gain an advantage, capitalizing on the supportive crowd atmosphere.

Navone, on the other hand, has displayed consistent competitive spirit in recent matches. His agility and strategic shot placement have enabled him to stay competitive against varied opponents, potentially giving him the edge in longer rallies. The bookmakers have placed the odds at 2.44 for a home win for Shapovalov and 1.52 for an away win for Navone, indicating a slight favor towards the visiting player.

Our model predicts a 39.5% chance of a Shapovalov victory, contrasting with a 60.5% probability for Navone. This indicates a more favorable outlook for the away player, yet Shapovalov’s home advantage cannot be underestimated. With both players evenly matched in recent performance and tactical capabilities, the outcome remains uncertain, making for an intriguing matchup.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T13:52:02+00:00.

Shapovalov 35.8%

Navone 64.2%

Watch and Bet Shapovalov – Navone available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.7		1.48
	2.66		1.48	Watch and Bet
	2.49		1.5

Latest Results

25.04.26 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Denis Shapovalov – 2:0 17.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Alex Molcan – 0:2 16.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Fabian Marozsan – 2:0 14.04.26 Tallon Griekspoor – Denis Shapovalov – 1:2 06.04.26 Denis Shapovalov – Alexander Blockx – 1:2

30.04.26 Mariano Navone – Matteo Berrettini – 0:2 25.04.26 Mariano Navone – Alexander Zverev – 1:2 23.04.26 Nuno Borges – Mariano Navone – 0:2 14.04.26 Mariano Navone – Andrey Rublev – 0:2 05.04.26 Mariano Navone – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:1

Facts

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 35. Navone is ranked ATP: 45.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Latest Head To Head

01.07.25 Mariano Navone – Denis Shapovalov – 3:1

Standings

Draw

Singles – Qualification

Semi-finals

1	Garin C. (1)	Echargui M.	2 : 0
2	Lajovic D.	Choinski J. (20)	0 : 2
3	Prizmic D. (2)	Rodesch C.	2 : 0
4	Bondioli F. (WC)	Nava E. (18)	2 : 1
5	Kypson P. (3)	Pinnington Jones J.	2 : 1
6	Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)	Droguet T. (16)	1 : 2
7	Carreno-Busta P. (4)	Damm M.	2 : 0
8	Travaglia S.	Wawrinka S. (13)	1 : 2
9	Vallejo D. (5)	Faria J.	1 : 2
10	Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)	Rocha H. (19)	2 : 1
11	Kovacevic A. (6)	Carboni L. (WC)	2 : 0
12	Mochizuki S.	Fearnley J. (15)	0 : 2
13	van Assche L. (7)	Dellien H.	0 : 2
14	Martinez P.	De Jong J. (14)	0 : 2
15	Landaluce M. (8)	O’Connell C.	2 : 0
16	Pellegrino A.	Gaston H. (17)	2 : 0
17	Hijikata R. (9)	Basile P. (WC)
18	Moller E.	Basilashvili N. (21)	1 : 2
19	Merida Aguilar D. (10)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
20	Vasami J. (WC)	Barrios Vera T. (23)	0 : 2
21	Bonzi B. (11)	Svrcina D.	0 : 2
22	Budkov Kjaer N.	Virtanen O. (22)	2 : 1
23	Comesana F. (12)	Harris B.	2 : 0
24	Riedi L. (PR)	Gaubas V. (24)	2 : 0

Final

1	Garin C. (1)	Choinski J. (20)
2	Prizmic D. (2)	Bondioli F.
3	Kypson P. (3)	Droguet T. (16)
4	Carreno-Busta P. (4)	Wawrinka S. (13)
5	Faria J.	Llamas Ruiz P.
6	Kovacevic A. (6)	Fearnley J. (15)
7	Dellien H.	De Jong J. (14)
8	Landaluce M. (8)	Pellegrino A.
9	TBD #17	Basilashvili N. (21)
10	Merida Aguilar D. (10)	Barrios Vera T. (23)
11	Svrcina D.	Budkov Kjaer N.
12	Comesana F. (12)	Riedi L.

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