Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto predictions, May 09, 2026

Colombian Primera A, on Saturday,

Deportes Tolima

Deportivo Pasto

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Deportes Tolima prepares to host Deportivo Pasto on May 9, 2026, fans can expect a closely contested encounter in the Colombian Primera A. Both teams enter this match with similar recent form, each securing two wins in their last five fixtures. This parity sets the stage for an intriguing clash at the Estadio Manuel Murillo Torero.

Deportes Tolima, playing on home soil, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue. Known for their disciplined defensive structure and quick transitions, they will aim to exploit any weaknesses in Pasto’s backline. Conversely, Deportivo Pasto has shown resilience and tactical flexibility in their recent matches, finding success through swift counter-attacking football which could pose a threat to Tolima if they overcommit to offense.

The bookmakers have slightly favored the home side with odds of 2.35, reflecting their statistical edge. However, predictions suggest a tight contest, with a probability model indicating a 39.2% likelihood of a home victory, a 30.5% chance of a draw, and a 30.4% probability for an away win. The anticipated scoreline of 1-1 highlights the competitive nature of this fixture.

Ultimately, while Deportes Tolima may have the edge at home, Deportivo Pasto’s recent form suggests they could just as easily secure points, making this match one to watch closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-05T18:52:02+00:00.

Deportes Tolima
40.3%
Draw
29.8%
Deportivo Pasto
29.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 2.25 3.1 3
bet_at_home 2.32 3.3 3.19
betsson 2.32 3.15 3.05
MarathonBet 2.29 3.14 3.14
WilliamHill 2.3 3 3.1
Pinnacle 2.31 3.12 3.15

Latest Results

03.05.26 Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Cali – 1:1
28.04.26 Deportes Tolima – Coquimbo Unido – 3:0
23.04.26 Millonarios FC – Deportes Tolima – 2:0
18.04.26 Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pereira – 2:0
14.04.26 Nacional Montevideo – Deportes Tolima – 3:1
03.05.26 Junior Barranquilla – Deportivo Pasto – 4:3
23.04.26 Deportivo Pasto – Independiente Santa Fe – 1:2
17.04.26 Jaguares de Córdoba – Deportivo Pasto – 2:3
10.04.26 Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima – 1:0
01.04.26 Alianza Valledupar – Deportivo Pasto – 0:0

Facts

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Deportes Tolima might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    10.04.26 Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima – 1:0
    12.07.25 Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima – 3:2
    27.01.25 Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pasto – 2:0
    02.10.24 Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima – 1:1
    17.09.24 Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pasto – 1:2

    Standings

    Apertura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
    2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
    3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
    4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
    5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
    6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
    7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
    8 Inter Bogotu00e1 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
    9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
    10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
    11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
    12 Aguilas 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
    13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
    14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
    15 Fortaleza 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
    16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
    17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
    18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
    19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
    20 Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10

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