Derby County vs Watford predictions, Jan 18, 2025

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Derby

Watford

Score, Highlights

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### Match Preview: Derby County vs. Watford FC

**Date:** January 18, 2025
**Competition:** English League Championship
**Venue:** Pride Park Stadium, Derby

#### Recent Form
Both Derby County and Watford FC are entering this match following a challenging period in the league.

– **Derby County:** The Rams have had a tough run of form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Their recent performances suggest struggles both defensively and in attack, with a need to bolster their squad’s confidence and secure crucial points at home.

– **Watford FC:** The Hornets, similarly, come into the game with only 1 win from their last 5 outings. Watford has seen inconsistency plague their campaign, impacting their chances for a strong finish in the league.

#### Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams can be quite competitive, with both clubs vying for key points as they push for better standings in the Championship. The outcome may hinge on which side can perform better under pressure and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

#### Betting Odds
The bookmakers have set the odds with Derby County at 2.45, Watford at 2.80, and the draw at 3.20. These coefficients reflect a fairly balanced matchup, suggesting that both teams have a reasonable shot at winning.

#### ML Estimation
According to our model, the estimated probability of outcomes is as follows:
– **Derby County Win:** 38.7%
– **Draw:** 27.5%
– **Watford FC Win:** 33.7%

This probability distribution shows that Derby is slightly favored to win, but it is expected to be a closely contested match.

#### Most Likely Result
The most likely outcome, as projected by bookmakers, is a 1:1 draw. This result emphasizes the expectation of solid defensive performances from both teams, while also indicating potential issues in converting chances into goals.

#### Key Players to Watch
– **For Derby County:** Look out for key attacking players who can change the game momentarily and help Derby secure crucial goals.
– **For Watford FC:** Watch their forward line for explosive performances, capable of breaking through Derby’s defense.

#### Summary
As Derby County faces Watford FC, fans can expect a gripping match with implications for both teams’ ambitions in the English League Championship. With recent forms indicating both sides are in need of a turnaround, this showdown promises excitement and unpredictability—perfect for supporters eager for drama on the pitch.

Derby 38.9% Draw 27.5% Watford 33.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English League Championship Watford: 0.17% Derby: 0.07%

Watch Watch and Bet Derby – Watford available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 2.45 3.4 2.8
betsson 2.42 3.45 2.86
MarathonBet 2.46 3.44 2.79 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 2.43 3.44 2.76
Best for US Customers 2.42 3.45 2.86

Latest Results

04.01.25 Bristol City – Derby County – 1:0
01.01.25 Sheffield Wednesday – Derby County – 4:2
29.12.24 Derby County – Leeds United – 0:1
26.12.24 Derby County – West Bromwich Albion – 2:1
20.12.24 Luton Town – Derby County – 2:1
09.01.25 Fulham FC – Watford FC – 4:1
04.01.25 Watford FC – Sheffield United – 1:2
01.01.25 Queens Park Rangers – Watford FC – 3:1
29.12.24 Watford FC – Cardiff City – 1:2
26.12.24 Watford FC – Portsmouth FC – 2:1

Facts

  • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 9).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
  • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
  • Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:17 (average 2:1.7).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2.4:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    24.08.24 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:1
    19.02.21 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:1
    16.10.20 Derby County – Watford FC – 0:1
    03.04.15 Derby County – Watford FC – 2:2
    22.11.14 Watford FC – Derby County – 1:2

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48:19 29 53
    2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31:9 22 52
    3 Sheffield Utd 26 16 6 4 36:17 19 52
    4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39:22 17 50
    5 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43:32 11 41
    6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32:21 11 40
    7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28:23 5 39
    8 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33:30 3 37
    9 Watford 25 11 4 10 35:36 -1 37
    10 Sheffield Wed 26 10 7 9 38:40 -2 37
    11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43:37 6 36
    12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30:30 0 34
    13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29:34 -5 32
    14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24:23 1 30
    15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28:34 -6 30
    16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
    17 Oxford Utd 25 7 7 11 28:40 -12 28
    18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31:35 -4 27
    19 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24:32 -8 27
    20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27:44 -17 25
    21 Portsmouth 24 5 8 11 30:41 -11 23
    22 Hull 26 5 8 13 25:36 -11 23
    23 Cardiff 25 5 8 12 25:40 -15 23
    24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24:53 -29 20

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Leeds: 1.52 (55.87%)

    2. Burnley: 4.73 (17.94%)

    3. Sheffield Utd: 5 (16.98%)

    4. Sunderland: 16.33 (5.2%)

    5. Middlesbrough: 94 (0.9%)

    6. West Brom: 134 (0.63%)

    7. Blackburn: 250.67 (0.34%)

    8. Norwich: 292.33 (0.29%)

    9. Bristol City: 334 (0.25%)

    10. Coventry: 384 (0.22%)

    11. Sheffield Wed: 417.33 (0.2%)

    12. Millwall: 484 (0.18%)

    13. Watford: 500.67 (0.17%)

    14. Swansea: 500.67 (0.17%)

    15. QPR: 625.5 (0.14%)

    16. Preston: 1084 (0.08%)

    17. Derby: 1167.33 (0.07%)

    18. Luton: 1250.67 (0.07%)

    19. Stoke City: 1250.67 (0.07%)

    20. Hull City: 1584 (0.05%)

    21. Cardiff: 1584 (0.05%)

    22. Oxford Utd: 1875.5 (0.05%)

    23. Portsmouth: 2375.5 (0.04%)

    24. Plymouth: 2375.5 (0.04%)

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