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Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm predictions, May 01, 2026

Australian NRL, on Friday,

Score, Highlights

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As the Dolphins prepare to face the Melbourne Storm on May 1, 2026, at their home ground, fans can expect a compelling clash in the Australian NRL. The Dolphins enter the match with a mixed bag in their recent performances, having secured victories in 2 of their last 5 encounters. Their ability to harness home advantage will be crucial as they aim to build momentum.

Conversely, the Melbourne Storm find themselves in a challenging position, currently on a five-match losing streak. This poor run may contribute to their tactical uncertainties, and they will need to regroup quickly to regain their formidable form. The Storm’s history suggests they have the capability to bounce back, but their current trajectory raises concerns about their defensive solidity and attacking cohesion.

Bookmaker odds reflect this uncertainty, with the Dolphins at 2.19 (home) and the Storm at 1.73 (away), hinting at a closely contested match. Our model assigns a 44.4% probability of a home win for the Dolphins, in contrast to a 51.3% chance of an away victory for the Storm, with a predicted final score of 26:29. As both teams vie for essential points, the outcome remains uncertain, thus making for an intriguing matchup.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-25T08:52:03+00:00.

Dolphins
43.2%
Draw
3.9%
Melbourne
52.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 26:29

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.2 20 1.8
2.17 28 1.72
2.1 23 1.7

Latest Results

25.04.26 New Zealand Warriors – Dolphins NRL – 20:18
17.04.26 Dolphins NRL – Penrith Panthers – 22:23 OT
02.04.26 Dolphins NRL – Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – 18:52
27.03.26 Brisbane Broncos – Dolphins NRL – 26:12
21.03.26 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – Dolphins NRL – 10:38
25.04.26 Melbourne Storm – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 6:48
17.04.26 Canberra Raiders – Melbourne Storm – 26:22
11.04.26 Melbourne Storm – New Zealand Warriors – 14:38
03.04.26 Penrith Panthers – Melbourne Storm – 50:10
28.03.26 North Queensland Cowboys – Melbourne Storm – 28:24

Facts

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
  • Dolphins is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Melbourne is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 88:124. (average 22:31).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 82:76. (average 27.3:25.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.04.25 Dolphins NRL – Melbourne Storm – 42:22
    24.08.24 Melbourne Storm – Dolphins NRL – 48:6
    21.06.24 Dolphins NRL – Melbourne Storm – 24:30
    20.05.23 Dolphins NRL – Melbourne Storm – 16:24

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 7 6 1 229:94 12
    2 New Zealand Warriors 8 6 2 242:156 12
    3 Wests Tigers 7 5 2 209:127 12
    4 South Sydney Rabbitohs 7 5 2 222:150 12
    5 Sydney Roosters 7 5 2 215:178 12
    6 Brisbane Broncos 8 5 3 186:171 10
    7 NQ Cowboys 8 5 3 211:215 10
    8 Manly Sea Eagles 6 3 3 178:140 8
    9 Newcastle Knights 7 4 3 178:180 8
    10 Canterbury Bulldogs 7 3 4 133:166 8
    11 Cronulla Sharks 7 3 4 192:198 6
    12 Dolphins 7 2 5 156:185 6
    13 Canberra Raiders 8 3 5 155:237 6
    14 Parramatta Eels 7 3 4 162:246 6
    15 Gold Coast Titans 7 2 5 146:176 4
    16 Melbourne Storm 8 2 6 188:232 4
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 8 0 8 114:265 0

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