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Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Mar 21, 2026

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On March 21, 2026, the Edmonton Oilers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in what promises to be an intriguing NHL matchup at Rogers Place. Both teams come into this game with mixed recent performances that will influence fan expectations and betting interest.

The Oilers have achieved victories in 3 of their last 5 contests, showcasing a resilience that has allowed them to remain competitive. Their offensive capabilities, relying on skilled puck movement and robust power play strategies, could pose a significant threat to the Lightning’s defense. However, consistency has been their Achilles’ heel, and they will need to cover defensive lapses to secure a win at home.

Conversely, the Lightning have managed to win 2 out of their last 5 games, suggesting that they are still working to find their form this season. However, their experience and playoff pedigree often shine through in crucial matches. With a strong emphasis on counter-attacking and maintaining puck possession, they will look to exploit any defensive errors from the Oilers.

Bookmakers currently provide odds of 2.7 for the home win and 2.26 for the away victory, reflecting a slight favor towards Tampa Bay. Model predictions indicate a 34.9% probability for an Oilers win, compared to a 43.1% chance for the Lightning. This matchup is poised for intensity, though outcomes remain uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-19T16:52:03+00:00.

Edmonton
35.5%
Draw
22.1%
Tampa Bay
42.4%

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 16.29% Edmonton Oilers: 6.42%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.72 4.42 2.29
2.67 4.25 2.23

Latest Results

17.03.26 Edmonton Oilers – San Jose Sharks – 5:3
15.03.26 Edmonton Oilers – Nashville Predators – 3:1
13.03.26 St. Louis Blues – Edmonton Oilers – 3:2 OT
12.03.26 Dallas Stars – Edmonton Oilers – 7:2
10.03.26 Colorado Avalanche – Edmonton Oilers – 3:4
17.03.26 Seattle Kraken – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:6
14.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Carolina Hurricanes – 2:4
12.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Detroit Red Wings – 4:1
10.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Columbus Blue Jackets – 2:5
08.03.26 Buffalo Sabres – Tampa Bay Lightning – 8:7

Facts

  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 1.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • We predict that Edmonton will win today’s game, with odds of 2.7.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 55:70. (average 2.8:3.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 3.6:3).

    Latest Head To Head

    20.11.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Edmonton Oilers – 2:1 OT
    25.02.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Edmonton Oilers – 4:1
    10.12.24 Edmonton Oilers – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:1
    14.12.23 Edmonton Oilers – Tampa Bay Lightning – 4:7
    18.11.23 Tampa Bay Lightning – Edmonton Oilers – 6:4

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 67 39 5 10 13 250:172 98
    2 Dallas Stars 68 33 10 10 15 237:185 96
    3 Minnesota Wild 69 25 14 12 18 230:199 90
    4 Anaheim Ducks 68 22 15 4 27 225:236 78
    5 Edmonton Oilers 69 26 8 9 26 243:235 77
    6 Utah Mammoth 68 27 8 6 27 214:191 76
    7 Vegas Golden Knights 68 23 8 14 23 220:211 76
    8 Seattle Kraken 67 25 6 9 27 193:205 71
    9 Los Angeles Kings 67 18 10 15 24 180:201 71
    10 San Jose Sharks 66 20 12 6 28 207:234 70
    11 Nashville Predators 67 22 8 9 28 199:228 69
    12 Winnipeg Jets 67 23 5 11 28 191:206 67
    13 St. Louis Blues 68 24 3 11 30 178:224 65
    14 Chicago Blackhawks 67 18 7 12 30 178:217 62
    15 Calgary Flames 68 22 5 7 34 169:213 61
    16 Vancouver Canucks 67 14 7 8 38 176:248 50

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes 68 31 12 6 19 241:202 92
    2 Buffalo Sabres 68 35 7 6 20 237:200 90
    3 Tampa Bay Lightning 66 32 9 4 21 237:184 86
    4 Montreal Canadiens 67 25 12 10 20 236:222 84
    5 Pittsburgh Penguins 68 29 5 16 18 235:210 84
    6 New York Islanders 68 25 14 5 24 200:192 83
    7 Detroit Red Wings 68 26 11 8 23 200:203 82
    8 Boston Bruins 68 27 10 8 23 224:214 82
    9 Columbus Blue Jackets 67 24 11 11 21 217:209 81
    10 Ottawa Senators 67 28 6 9 24 226:209 77
    11 Philadelphia Flyers 67 20 12 12 23 194:207 76
    12 Washington Capitals 69 29 5 8 27 216:204 76
    13 New Jersey Devils 68 23 12 2 31 186:207 72
    14 Toronto Maple Leafs 69 21 8 12 28 216:241 70
    15 Florida Panthers 67 26 7 3 31 201:225 69
    16 New York Rangers 68 19 9 8 32 193:215 64

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.78 (22.11%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5.13 (16.29%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6.5 (12.84%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 11.5 (7.26%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 13 (6.42%)

    6. Dallas Stars: 13 (6.42%)

    7. Minnesota Wild: 17 (4.91%)

    8. Buffalo Sabres: 20 (4.17%)

    9. Utah Mammoth: 35 (2.38%)

    10. Ottawa Senators: 37.5 (2.23%)

    11. Montreal Canadiens: 38.5 (2.17%)

    12. Pittsburgh Penguins: 41 (2.04%)

    13. Anaheim Ducks: 43.5 (1.92%)

    14. Detroit Red Wings: 51 (1.64%)

    15. New York Islanders: 53.5 (1.56%)

    16. Columbus Blue Jackets: 59 (1.41%)

    17. Los Angeles Kings: 64 (1.3%)

    18. Boston Bruins: 101 (0.83%)

    19. San Jose Sharks: 201 (0.42%)

    20. Washington Capitals: 276 (0.3%)

    21. Winnipeg Jets: 301 (0.28%)

    22. Seattle Kraken: 301 (0.28%)

    23. Nashville Predators: 426 (0.2%)

    24. Florida Panthers: 451 (0.19%)

    25. Philadelphia Flyers: 876 (0.1%)

    26. New Jersey Devils: 1001 (0.08%)

    27. Toronto Maple Leafs: 1501 (0.06%)

    28. St. Louis Blues: 1501 (0.06%)

    29. New York Rangers: 1501 (0.06%)

    30. Calgary Flames: 2001 (0.04%)

    31. Chicago Blackhawks: 2001 (0.04%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 3001 (0.03%)

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