Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova predictions, Apr 26, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

5 months ago

WTA Madrid, on Sunday, 5:00 am ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In an intriguing matchup at the WTA Madrid event on April 25, 2026, home favorite Elise Mertens will face off against Karolina Pliskova. Mertens, known for her strategic baseline play and solid defensive skills, has won 2 of her last 5 matches, reflecting challenging form as she navigates this high-stakes encounter.

On the other hand, Pliskova arrives with a more impressive recent record, winning 4 of her past 5 matches. Renowned for her powerful serve and aggressive style, she has the potential to dominate points with her first serve, which could be a critical factor in this match.

The bookmakers have set the odds at 1.36 for Mertens and 2.98 for Pliskova, indicating a strong belief in the home advantage for Mertens. Our model assigns a 71.9% probability of a home win, paired with a 28.1% chance of an away victory.

As Mertens harnesses her home crowd support, the match promises to be tightly contested. While recent performances favor Pliskova, Mertens’ capabilities should not be underestimated. Both players will look to impose their game style effectively, making the outcome uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-24T11:52:02+00:00.

Mertens
69.8%

Pliskova
30.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

00:00 / 90:00 GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+

Watch and Bet Mertens – Pliskova available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	1.39		3.2	Watch and Bet
	1.36		3.15

Latest Results

24.04.26 Elise Mertens – Alexandra Eala – 2:0
16.04.26 Karolina Muchova – Elise Mertens – 2:1
14.04.26 Elise Mertens – Ella Seidel – 2:0
11.04.26 Elise Mertens – Iva Jovic – Canceled
10.04.26 Elise Mertens – McCartney Kessler – Kessler M. Retired

24.04.26 Karolina Pliskova – Maria Sakkari – 2:0
22.04.26 Karolina Pliskova – Sinja Kraus – 2:1
10.04.26 Donna Vekic – Karolina Pliskova – 2:0
09.04.26 Karolina Pliskova – Ekaterina Alexandrova – 2:0
07.04.26 Karolina Pliskova – Aliaksandra Sasnovich – 2:0

Facts

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Pliskova is ranked WTA: 197.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Pliskova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mertens is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Latest Head To Head

26.06.23 Karolina Pliskova – Elise Mertens – Mertens E. retired
17.08.22 Karolina Pliskova – Elise Mertens – 0:2
19.09.20 Elise Mertens – Karolina Pliskova – 1:2
26.06.19 Elise Mertens – Karolina Pliskova – 0:2
13.02.19 Elise Mertens – Karolina Pliskova – Canceled

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Stearns P.	Boisson L.	2 : 0
3	Uchijima M.	Starodubtseva Y. (LL)	1 : 2
4	Bye	Cristian J. (29)
5	Bouzkova M. (23)	Bye
6	Kalinina A. (Q)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 1
7	Zakharova A.	Osorio C.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Osaka N. (14)
9	Bencic B. (11)	Bye
10	Marcinko P.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Haddad Maia B.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Shnaider D. (18)
13	Baptiste H. (30)	Bye
14	Quevedo K. (WC)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Siegemund L.	Begu I.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Paolini J. (8)
17	Swiatek I. (4)	Bye
18	Snigur D. (Q)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
19	Parks A. (Q)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Li A. (31)
21	Fernandez L. (24)	Bye
22	Badosa P. (WC)	Grabher J.	1 : 2
23	Montgomery R. (WC)	Linette M.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Jovic I. (15)
25	Andreeva M. (9)	Bye
26	Udvardy P. (LL)	Birrell K.	2 : 1
27	Galfi D. (Q)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (22)
29	Wang Xin. (28)	Bye
30	Maria T.	Samson L. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Bondar A.	Golubic V.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Townsend T.	Boulter K.	0 : 2
35	Putintseva Y.	Valentova T.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Kostyuk M. (26)
37	Blinkova A. (Alt)	Bye
38	Kalieva E. (Q)	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
39	McNally C.	Volynets K. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Mboko V. (10)
41	Noskova L. (13)	Bye
42	Gibson T.	Arango E. (WC)	0 : 2
43	Tjen J.	Charaeva A. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Samsonova L. (20)
45	Cirstea S. (25)	Bye
46	Jacquemot E.	Grant T. C. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Selekhmeteva O.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (3)
49	Frech M. (34)	Bye
50	Yastremska D.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Sonmez Z.	Martinez Cirez C. (WC)	2 : 0
52	Bye	Bucsa C. (27)
53	Mertens E. (19)	Bye
54	Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)	Eala A.	0 : 2
55	Pliskova Ka.	Kraus S. (Q)	2 : 1
56	Bye	Sakkari M. (33)
57	Potapova A. (LL)	Bye
58	Zhang S.	Lys E.	2 : 0
59	Oliynykova O.	Waltert S. (Q)	0 : 2
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (21)
61	Zheng Q. (32)	Bye
62	Krueger A.	Kenin S.	0 : 2
63	Ruse G.	Ruzic A.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
2	Starodubtseva Y.	Cristian J. (29)	1 : 2
3	Bouzkova M. (23)	Kalinina A.	0 : 2
4	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (14)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (11)	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
6	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Shnaider D. (18)	1 : 2
7	Baptiste H. (30)	Quevedo K.	2 : 0
8	Siegemund L.	Paolini J. (8)	1 : 2
9	Swiatek I. (4)	Snigur D.	2 : 0
10	Parks A.	Li A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Fernandez L. (24)	Grabher J.	2 : 0
12	Linette M.	Jovic I. (15)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (9)	Udvardy P.	2 : 0
14	Galfi D.	Kalinskaya A. (22)	2 : 0
15	Wang Xin. (28)	Samson L.	1 : 2
16	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
17	Pegula J. (5)	Boulter K.
18	Putintseva Y.	Kostyuk M. (26)	0 : 2
19	Blinkova A.	Siniakova K.
20	McNally C.	Mboko V. (10)
21	Noskova L. (13)	Arango E.	2 : 0
22	Tjen J.	Samsonova L. (20)	0 : 2
23	Cirstea S. (25)	Grant T. C.	2 : 0
24	Jeanjean L.	Gauff C. (3)
25	Frech M. (34)	Sierra S.	0 : 2
26	Sonmez Z.	Bucsa C. (27)	2 : 1
27	Mertens E. (19)	Eala A.	2 : 0
28	Pliskova Ka.	Sakkari M. (33)	2 : 0
29	Potapova A.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
30	Waltert S.	Ostapenko J. (21)	0 : 2
31	Zheng Q. (32)	Kenin S.	2 : 1
32	Ruse G.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J. (29)
2	Kalinina A.	Osaka N. (14)
3	Bencic B. (11)	Shnaider D. (18)
4	Baptiste H. (30)	Paolini J. (8)
5	Swiatek I. (4)	Li A. (31)
6	Fernandez L. (24)	Jovic I. (15)
7	Andreeva M. (9)	Galfi D.
8	Samson L.	Bondar A.
9	TBD #17	Kostyuk M. (26)
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	Noskova L. (13)	Samsonova L. (20)
12	Cirstea S. (25)	TBD #24
13	Sierra S.	Sonmez Z.
14	Mertens E. (19)	Pliskova Ka.
15	Potapova A.	Ostapenko J. (21)
16	Zheng Q. (32)	Rybakina E. (2)

1/8-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

TBD #1

TBD #2

Elise Mertens – Karolina Pliskova and other WTA Madrid events on our partner.