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Exeter City vs Cardiff City predictions, Mar 14, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

English League One, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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On March 14, 2026, Exeter City will host Cardiff City in an important League One clash at St James Park. The current form disparity between the two sides points to a challenging matchup for the home team. Exeter City has struggled significantly, failing to secure a victory in their last five matches. This lack of form has raised concerns about their defensive stability and overall confidence.

In contrast, Cardiff City is entering this fixture with a rejuvenated spirit, having won three of their last five games. Their recent success has been attributed to a solid tactical approach, characterized by effective pressing and quick transitions that capitalize on opponents’ defensive weaknesses. With odds favoring Cardiff at 1.85, the bookmakers and trend analysis suggest a strong belief in their potential to secure an away victory.

Our model predicts a 50.9% chance of an away win, with a likelihood of a draw at 25.5%. Given Exeter’s current difficulties and Cardiff’s momentum, the predicted final score of 1-2 reflects the statistical edge in favor of the visitors. However, football can be unpredictable, and Exeter will be keen to overturn their fortunes on home soil.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-08T12:52:02+00:00.

Exeter
24.2%		 Draw
26.1%		 Cardiff
49.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of English League One Cardiff: 41.14%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.95 3.55 1.88
3.92 3.64 1.86 Watch and Bet
3.8 3.4 1.85
3.68 3.6 1.92

Latest Results

07.03.26 Barnsley FC – Exeter City – 2:1
03.03.26 Exeter City – Burton Albion – 1:1
28.02.26 Exeter City – Bolton Wanderers – 1:5
21.02.26 Peterborough United – Exeter City – 3:3
17.02.26 Exeter City – Wycombe Wanderers – 1:1		 07.03.26 Cardiff City – Lincoln City – 0:2
28.02.26 Doncaster Rovers – Cardiff City – 0:4
21.02.26 Plymouth Argyle – Cardiff City – 5:2
17.02.26 Cardiff City – AFC Wimbledon – 4:1
14.02.26 Cardiff City – Luton Town – 3:1

Facts

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
  • Recent form of Exeter has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Cardiff has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
  • Including home match between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

    Latest Head To Head

    26.12.25 Cardiff City – Exeter City – 1:0
    16.09.25 Exeter City – Cardiff City – 0:1
    28.07.16 Cardiff City – Exeter City – 0:3

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Lincoln 35 22 8 5 65:31 34 74
    2 Cardiff 35 22 6 7 68:38 30 72
    3 Bolton 36 17 13 6 53:36 17 64
    4 Bradford City 35 18 7 10 45:39 6 61
    5 Stockport County 34 16 8 10 47:43 4 56
    6 Huddersfield 36 16 7 13 56:46 10 55
    7 Reading 35 14 12 9 53:46 7 54
    8 Stevenage 34 15 9 10 38:35 3 54
    9 Wycombe 36 14 11 11 52:39 13 53
    10 Plymouth 35 15 4 16 51:51 0 49
    11 Luton 35 13 8 14 45:44 1 47
    12 Barnsley 33 13 8 12 55:55 0 47
    13 Peterborough 35 14 4 17 50:49 1 46
    14 AFC Wimbledon 34 13 7 14 42:48 -6 46
    15 Exeter 35 11 9 15 40:42 -2 42
    16 Mansfield 33 10 11 12 39:37 2 41
    17 Burton 36 10 10 16 39:51 -12 40
    18 Doncaster 34 11 6 17 37:57 -20 39
    19 Wigan 34 9 11 14 36:47 -11 38
    20 Blackpool 35 10 8 17 41:55 -14 38
    21 Leyton Orient 34 10 6 18 45:58 -13 36
    22 Rotherham 35 9 8 18 33:48 -15 35
    23 Northampton 36 9 8 19 31:48 -17 35
    24 Port Vale 32 6 9 17 26:44 -18 27

    English League One Outrights

    1. Lincoln City: 1.64 (55.99%)

    2. Cardiff: 2.23 (41.14%)

    3. Bolton: 76 (1.2%)

    4. Bradford City: 201 (0.46%)

    5. Stockport County: 226 (0.41%)

    6. Huddersfield: 501 (0.18%)

    7. Reading: 501 (0.18%)

    8. Stevenage: 751 (0.12%)

    9. Wycombe: 1001 (0.09%)

    10. Barnsley: 1501 (0.06%)

    11. Plymouth: 1501 (0.06%)

    12. Luton: 2001 (0.05%)

    13. Peterborough: 4001 (0.02%)

    14. Mansfield: 4501 (0.02%)

    15. AFC Wimbledon: 4501 (0.02%)

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