Exeter City vs Oxford United predictions, Jan 11, 2025

Jan 05, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English FA Cup, on Saturday,

Exeter City

Oxford United

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

### Match Preview: Exeter City vs. Oxford United – FA Cup

**Date:** January 11, 2025
**Venue:** St James Park, Exeter

As the excitement of the FA Cup continues, Exeter City is set to host Oxford United in what promises to be an intriguing clash between two teams looking to make a mark in the competition.

#### Recent Form

**Exeter City:**
The home side arrives at this match having recorded 2 wins from their last 5 matches. Their latest performances have shown resilience, but inconsistency has been a theme, which could be a concern as they face tougher opposition. In their recent outings, Exeter has demonstrated their capability to compete, but they will need to find their best form to secure a victory against a formidable opponent.

**Oxford United:**
In contrast, Oxford United comes into this match in stronger form, with 3 wins from their last 5 matches. Their recent performances reflect a well-oiled unit with a solid attacking strategy. Confidence will be high in the Oxford camp as they seek to maintain their momentum and advance in the FA Cup.

#### Statistical Insights

The bookmakers suggest a closely contested match with coefficients reading 2.98 for Exeter City’s victory and 2.26 for Oxford United. This indicates a slight favoritism towards Oxford, likely attributed to their recent form.

Our machine learning estimation suggests probabilities of 30.6% for Exeter City winning, 25.9% for a draw, and 43% for an Oxford United victory. Given these statistics, it’s evident that Oxford United is expected to come out on top, but football is often unpredictable, especially in knockout competitions like the FA Cup.

#### Tactical Overview

**Exeter City:**
Exeter will likely rely on their home advantage, looking to capitalize on set pieces and swift counter-attacks. They will need to tighten their defensive organization to contain Oxford’s attacking threats.

**Oxford United:**
Oxford United, on the other hand, may adopt a more aggressive approach, utilizing their recent attacking form to press high and control possession. Their key players will be instrumental in breaking down Exeter’s defense and converting chances into goals.

#### Prediction

The most likely outcome, according to bookmakers, is a 1:1 draw, reflecting the potential for a balanced encounter between the two sides. However, given the probabilities and current form, Oxford United may have the edge and could possibly emerge victorious.

As the match day approaches, both teams will be keen to prove their credentials in this prestigious tournament, making for an exciting contest at St James Park.

Exeter 31.9% Draw 26.7% Oxford 41.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English FA Cup Oxford Utd: 0.27% Exeter: 0.09%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 2.85 3.6 2.3
bet_at_home 2.97 3.66 2.24
betsson 3 3.6 2.35
MarathonBet 2.99 3.6 2.27 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.9 3.4 2.2
Pinnacle 2.92 3.52 2.19
Best for US Customers 3 3.6 2.35

Latest Results

04.01.25 Exeter City – Bolton Wanderers – 1:2
01.01.25 Wycombe Wanderers – Exeter City – 2:1
29.12.24 Exeter City – Crawley Town – 4:4
26.12.24 Exeter City – Bristol Rovers – 3:1
21.12.24 Burton Albion – Exeter City – 1:2		 04.01.25 Preston North End – Oxford United – 1:1
01.01.25 Millwall – Oxford United – 0:1
29.12.24 Oxford United – Plymouth Argyle – 2:0
26.12.24 Oxford United – Cardiff City – 3:2
21.12.24 Leeds United – Oxford United – 4:0

Facts

  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
  • Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Oxford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 14 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:28 (average 1.1:2).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1:2).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.04.24 Exeter City – Oxford United – 1:2
    23.09.23 Oxford United – Exeter City – 3:0
    01.01.23 Oxford United – Exeter City – 0:1
    26.11.22 Oxford United – Exeter City – 4:1
    15.10.22 Exeter City – Oxford United – 2:4

    Standings

    Draw

    Main

    1/128-finals

    1 Southampton Bye
    4 Bye Swansea
    5 Arsenal Bye
    8 Bye Manchester Utd
    9 Exeter Barnet 5 : 3
    10 Chesterfield Horsham FC 3 : 1
    12 Bye Oxford Utd
    13 Boreham Wood Leyton Orient 2 : 3
    14 Tranmere Oldham 1 : 2
    16 Bye Derby
    17 Reading Fleetwood 2 : 0
    18 Tonbridge Harborough 1 : 4
    20 Bye Burnley
    21 Aston Villa Bye
    24 Bye West Ham
    25 Norwich Bye
    28 Bye Brighton
    29 Manchester City Bye
    31 Salford Shrewsbury 2 : 1
    32 Rotherham Cheltenham 1 : 3
    33 Millwall Bye
    35 MK Dons AFC Wimbledon 0 : 2
    36 Crewe Dag & Red 0 : 1
    37 Liverpool Bye
    39 Rushall Accrington 0 : 2
    40 Swindon Colchester 2 : 1
    41 Bristol City Bye
    44 Bye Wolves
    45 Preston Bye
    47 Walsall Bolton 2 : 1
    48 Southend Charlton 3 : 4
    49 Chelsea Bye
    51 Worthing Morecambe 0 : 2
    52 Bradford City Aldershot 3 : 1
    53 Middlesbrough Bye
    56 Bye Blackburn
    57 Bournemouth Bye
    60 Bye West Brom
    61 Stevenage Guiseley 2 : 1
    62 Curzon Ashton Mansfield 0 : 4
    63 Woking Cambridge Utd 0 : 1
    64 Carlisle Wigan 0 : 2
    65 Burton Scarborough 1 : 0
    66 Tamworth Huddersfield 1 : 0
    68 Bye Tottenham
    69 Hull Bye
    71 Northampton Kettering 1 : 2
    72 Barrow Doncaster 0 : 1
    73 Sunderland Bye
    76 Bye Stoke
    77 Leicester Bye
    80 Bye QPR
    81 Brentford Bye
    84 Bye Plymouth
    85 Coventry Bye
    88 Bye Sheffield Wed
    89 Newcastle Bye
    91 Solihull Moors Maidstone 3 : 0
    92 Rochdale Bromley 3 : 4
    93 Everton Bye
    95 Newport Peterborough 2 : 4
    96 Notts Co Alfreton 5 : 1
    97 Grimsby Wealdstone 0 : 1
    98 Wycombe York City 3 : 2
    100 Bye Portsmouth
    101 Gillingham Blackpool 0 : 2
    102 Sutton Birmingham 0 : 1
    103 Maidenhead Crawley 1 : 2
    104 Chesham Lincoln 0 : 4
    105 Leeds Bye
    107 Harrogate Wrexham 1 : 0
    108 Hednesford Gainsborough 4 : 5
    109 Nottingham Bye
    112 Bye Luton
    113 Sheffield Utd Bye
    116 Bye Cardiff
    117 Ipswich Bye
    119 Port Vale Barnsley 1 : 3
    120 Bristol Rovers Weston-super-Mare 3 : 1
    121 Fulham Bye
    124 Bye Watford
    125 Crystal Palace Bye
    127 Stockport County Forest Green 2 : 1
    128 Brackley Town Braintree 1 : 0

    1/64-finals

    1 Southampton Bye
    2 Bye Swansea
    3 Arsenal Bye
    4 Bye Manchester Utd
    5 Exeter Chesterfield 2 : 0
    6 Bye Oxford Utd
    7 Leyton Orient Oldham 2 : 1
    8 Bye Derby
    9 Reading Harborough 5 : 3
    10 Bye Burnley
    11 Aston Villa Bye
    12 Bye West Ham
    13 Norwich Bye
    14 Bye Brighton
    15 Manchester City Bye
    16 Salford Cheltenham 2 : 0
    17 Millwall Bye
    18 AFC Wimbledon Dag & Red 1 : 2
    19 Liverpool Bye
    20 Accrington Swindon 3 : 2
    21 Bristol City Bye
    22 Bye Wolves
    23 Preston Bye
    24 Walsall Charlton 0 : 4
    25 Chelsea Bye
    26 Morecambe Bradford City 1 : 0
    27 Middlesbrough Bye
    28 Bye Blackburn
    29 Bournemouth Bye
    30 Bye West Brom
    31 Stevenage Mansfield 0 : 1
    32 Cambridge Utd Wigan 1 : 2
    33 Burton Tamworth 1 : 2
    34 Bye Tottenham
    35 Hull Bye
    36 Kettering Doncaster 1 : 2
    37 Sunderland Bye
    38 Bye Stoke
    39 Leicester Bye
    40 Bye QPR
    41 Brentford Bye
    42 Bye Plymouth
    43 Coventry Bye
    44 Bye Sheffield Wed
    45 Newcastle Bye
    46 Solihull Moors Bromley 1 : 2
    47 Everton Bye
    48 Peterborough Notts Co 4 : 3
    49 Wealdstone Wycombe 0 : 2
    50 Bye Portsmouth
    51 Blackpool Birmingham 1 : 2
    52 Crawley Lincoln 3 : 4
    53 Leeds Bye
    54 Harrogate Gainsborough 1 : 0
    55 Nottingham Bye
    56 Bye Luton
    57 Sheffield Utd Bye
    58 Bye Cardiff
    59 Ipswich Bye
    60 Barnsley Bristol Rovers 0 : 1
    61 Fulham Bye
    62 Bye Watford
    63 Crystal Palace Bye
    64 Stockport County Brackley Town 3 : 1

    1/32-finals

    1 Southampton Swansea
    2 Arsenal Manchester Utd
    3 Exeter Oxford Utd
    4 Leyton Orient Derby
    5 Reading Burnley
    6 Aston Villa West Ham
    7 Norwich Brighton
    8 Manchester City Salford
    9 Millwall Dag & Red
    10 Liverpool Accrington
    11 Bristol City Wolves
    12 Preston Charlton
    13 Chelsea Morecambe
    14 Middlesbrough Blackburn
    15 Bournemouth West Brom
    16 Mansfield Wigan
    17 Tamworth Tottenham
    18 Hull Doncaster
    19 Sunderland Stoke
    20 Leicester QPR
    21 Brentford Plymouth
    22 Coventry Sheffield Wed
    23 Newcastle Bromley
    24 Everton Peterborough
    25 Wycombe Portsmouth
    26 Birmingham Lincoln
    27 Leeds Harrogate
    28 Nottingham Luton
    29 Sheffield Utd Cardiff
    30 Ipswich Bristol Rovers
    31 Fulham Watford
    32 Crystal Palace Stockport County

    English FA Cup Outrights

    1. Manchester City: 4.47 (14.35%)

    2. Liverpool: 5.92 (10.84%)

    3. Chelsea: 7.92 (8.1%)

    4. Arsenal: 7.92 (8.1%)

    5. Tottenham: 10.67 (6.01%)

    6. Newcastle Utd: 12.67 (5.06%)

    7. United of Manchester: 13 (4.93%)

    8. Manchester United: 15 (4.27%)

    9. Aston Villa: 16.67 (3.85%)

    10. Brighton: 20.33 (3.15%)

    11. West Ham: 25.67 (2.5%)

    12. Crystal Palace: 33.67 (1.9%)

    13. Bournemouth: 33.67 (1.9%)

    14. Brentford: 40 (1.6%)

    15. Fulham: 40 (1.6%)

    16. Everton: 40.67 (1.58%)

    17. Nottingham: 41.67 (1.54%)

    18. Wolves: 49 (1.31%)

    19. Southampton: 50.67 (1.27%)

    20. Ipswich: 66.33 (0.97%)

    21. Leeds: 66.33 (0.97%)

    22. Leicester: 66.33 (0.97%)

    23. Luton: 77.33 (0.83%)

    24. Burnley: 77.33 (0.83%)

    25. Stoke City: 97.33 (0.66%)

    26. Middlesbrough: 97.33 (0.66%)

    27. Coventry: 97.33 (0.66%)

    28. Sheffield Utd: 97.33 (0.66%)

    29. West Brom: 97.33 (0.66%)

    30. Norwich: 97.33 (0.66%)

    31. Hull City: 142.33 (0.45%)

    32. QPR: 142.33 (0.45%)

    33. Swansea: 142.33 (0.45%)

    34. Sheffield Wed: 142.33 (0.45%)

    35. Millwall: 142.33 (0.45%)

    36. Watford: 142.33 (0.45%)

    37. Bristol City: 142.33 (0.45%)

    38. Derby: 142.33 (0.45%)

    39. Sunderland: 142.33 (0.45%)

    40. Portsmouth: 142.33 (0.45%)

    41. Birmingham: 151 (0.42%)

    42. Blackburn: 192.33 (0.33%)

    43. Plymouth: 192.33 (0.33%)

    44. Preston: 192.33 (0.33%)

    45. Cardiff: 192.33 (0.33%)

    46. Oxford Utd: 234 (0.27%)

    47. Wycombe: 251 (0.26%)

    48. Leyton Orient: 501 (0.13%)

    49. Charlton: 501 (0.13%)

    50. Stockport County: 501 (0.13%)

    51. Exeter: 751 (0.09%)

    52. Bristol Rovers: 751 (0.09%)

    53. Mansfield: 751 (0.09%)

    54. Harrogate: 1251 (0.05%)

    55. Accrington: 1251 (0.05%)

    56. Bromley: 1751 (0.04%)

    57. Dagenham & Red.: 2501 (0.03%)

    58. Tamworth: 2501 (0.03%)

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