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Francis Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik predictions, Jul 04, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Wimbledon, All England Club (London) on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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**Match Preview: Francis Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik (ATP Wimbledon)**

On July 4, 2026, tennis fans will witness an exciting first-round clash at Wimbledon as American Francis Tiafoe faces Kazakhstan’s Alexander Bublik. Both players come into this match with commendable recent performances, which should make for an intriguing contest on the grass courts.

Francis Tiafoe has shown impressive form, winning four of his last five matches. His powerful groundstrokes and athleticism allow him to dictate play and pressure opponents, making him formidable on his home turf. Tiafoe’s strong serve can set up advantageous positions, and he thrives in high-stakes environments, giving him an edge in this matchup.

Alexander Bublik, meanwhile, has secured three victories in his last five outings. Known for his unconventional style, Bublik deploys a mix of powerful serves and unpredictable play that can unsettle opponents. His ability to hit aces and generate free points makes him a dangerous competitor, especially in best-of-five set formats.

The bookmakers have calculated the odds at 1.75 for Tiafoe to win at home and 2.08 for Bublik as the away player. With a model prediction favouring Tiafoe at 52.6% for a home win compared to 47.4% for Bublik, this encounter promises to be closely contested. While Tiafoe holds a slight edge in form, Bublik’s unpredictability could well turn the tide, making no outcome certain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-02T18:52:02+00:00.

Tiafoe
54.6%		 Bublik
45.4%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.72 2.07
1.86 2.07
1.73 2.07
1.67 2.17
1.73 2.07

Latest Results

02.07.26 Francis Tiafoe – Jan Choinski – 3:1
01.07.26 Francis Tiafoe – Terence Atmane – 3:1
24.06.26 Francis Tiafoe – Ethan Quinn – Canceled
21.06.26 Taylor Harry Fritz – Francis Tiafoe – 0:2
20.06.26 Daniel Altmaier – Francis Tiafoe – 0:2		 02.07.26 Kyrian Jacquet – Alexander Bublik – 0:3
30.06.26 Thanasi Kokkinakis – Alexander Bublik – 2:3
16.06.26 Mattia Bellucci – Alexander Bublik – 2:0
13.06.26 Alexander Bublik – Taylor Harry Fritz – 0:2
12.06.26 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Alexander Bublik – 0:2

Facts

  • Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 19. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.
  • Tiafoe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Bublik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
  • We predict that Tiafoe will win today’s game, with odds of 1.74.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.10.23 Francis Tiafoe – Alexander Bublik – 0:2
    01.07.22 Francis Tiafoe – Alexander Bublik – 3:1
    20.06.22 Francis Tiafoe – Alexander Bublik – 1:2
    30.07.19 Francis Tiafoe – Alexander Bublik – 2:0

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Kecmanovic M. 3 : 2
    2 Borges N. Boyer T. (Q) 3 : 0
    3 Vukic A. Brooksby J. 0 : 3
    4 Nava E. Buse I. (31) 1 : 3
    5 Jodar R. (23) Gill F. (WC) 3 : 0
    6 Shapovalov D. (RET.) Carreno-Busta P. 0 : 2
    7 Mochizuki S. (Q) Basing M. (Q) 3 : 0
    8 Quinn E. Darderi L. (14) 3 : 0
    9 Ruud C. (11) Hurkacz H. 0 : 3
    10 Medjedovic H. Ofner S. 2 : 3
    11 Kwon S. (Q) Landaluce M. 3 : 0
    12 Muller A. Paul T. (21) 0 : 3
    13 Nakashima B. (28) Pinnington Jones J. (WC) 3 : 0
    14 Struff J-L. Baez S. 3 : 2
    15 Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) Merida Aguilar D. 2 : 1
    16 Cilic M. Medvedev D. (8) 0 : 3
    17 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Shevchenko A. 3 : 0
    18 Walton A. Prizmic D. 1 : 3
    19 Vallejo D. Mejia N. (Q) 1 : 3
    20 Zheng M. (Q) Norrie C. (26) 3 : 2
    21 Davidovich Fokina A. (22) Cerundolo J. M. 3 : 0
    22 Tirante T. A. Marozsan F. 0 : 3
    23 van Assche L. (RET.) Fucsovics M. 0 : 1
    24 Svrcina D. Tien L. (16) 1 : 3
    25 Rublev A. (12) Safiullin R. (Q) 2 : 3
    26 Kovacevic A. Van De Zandschulp B. 1 : 3
    27 De Jong J. Hijikata R. 3 : 2
    28 Bautista-Agut R. Fonseca J. (24) 0 : 3
    29 Rinderknech A. (25) Tarvet O. (Q) 3 : 1
    30 Trungelliti M. Damm M. 1 : 3
    31 Gaston H. (Q) Tsitsipas S. 0 : 3
    32 Wu Y. Djokovic N. (7) 1 : 3
    33 De Minaur A. (5) Burruchaga R. A. 3 : 0
    34 Mannarino A. Droguet T. 3 : 0
    35 Llamas Ruiz P. (LL) Svajda Z. 0 : 3
    36 Majchrzak K. Tabilo A. (30) 3 : 0
    37 Khachanov K. (19) Harris B. (Q) 3 : 1
    38 Hanfmann Y. Mpetshi Perricard G. 3 : 1
    39 Griekspoor T. Duckworth J. 1 : 3
    40 Navone M. Cobolli F. (9) 1 : 3
    41 Mensik J. (15) Samuel T. (WC) 3 : 2
    42 Sweeny D. (Q) Dimitrov G. (WC) 0 : 3
    43 Wawrinka S. (WC) Berrettini M. 1 : 3
    44 Collignon R. Fils A. (20) 0 : 3
    45 Humbert U. (27) Bergs Z. 2 : 3
    46 Shimabukuro S. Faria J. (Q) 1 : 3
    47 Dzumhur D. Fery A. (WC) 1 : 3
    48 Virtanen O. (Q) Shelton B. (4) 3 : 2
    49 Fritz T. (6) Lajovic D. (LL) 3 : 0
    50 Kypson P. McDonald M. (Q) 3 : 1
    51 Bonzi B. (RET.) Diallo G. 2 : 2
    52 Sonego L. Etcheverry T. M. (29) 3 : 1
    53 Tiafoe F. (17) Atmane T. 3 : 1
    54 Kopriva V. Choinski J. 0 : 3
    55 Jacquet K. (Q) Gaubas V. (Q) 3 : 0
    56 Kokkinakis T. Bublik A. (10) 2 : 3
    57 Lehecka J. (13) Popyrin A. 3 : 0
    58 Molcan A. Altmaier D. 3 : 1
    59 Michelsen A. Fearnley J. (WC) 2 : 3
    60 Munar J. Cerundolo F. (18) 3 : 0
    61 Arnaldi M. (32) Halys Q. 1 : 3
    62 Moutet C. Giron M. 1 : 3
    63 Royer V. Wendelken H. (WC) 3 : 1
    64 Blockx A. Zverev A. (2) 1 : 3

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Borges N. 3 : 0
    2 Brooksby J. Buse I. (31) 3 : 0
    3 Jodar R. (23) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 2
    4 Mochizuki S. Quinn E. 3 : 0
    5 Hurkacz H. Ofner S. 3 : 0
    6 Kwon S. Paul T. (21) 0 : 3
    7 Nakashima B. (28) Struff J-L. 2 : 3
    8 Merida Aguilar D. Medvedev D. (8) 1 : 3
    9 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Prizmic D. 3 : 0
    10 Mejia N. Zheng M. 1 : 3
    11 Davidovich Fokina A. (22) Marozsan F. 3 : 0
    12 Fucsovics M. Tien L. (16) 3 : 1
    13 Safiullin R. Van De Zandschulp B. 3 : 2
    14 De Jong J. Fonseca J. (24) 0 : 3
    15 Rinderknech A. (25) Damm M. 3 : 0
    16 Tsitsipas S. Djokovic N. (7) 0 : 3
    17 De Minaur A. (5) Mannarino A. 3 : 0
    18 Svajda Z. Majchrzak K. 3 : 2
    19 Khachanov K. (19) Hanfmann Y. 3 : 0
    20 Duckworth J. Cobolli F. (9) 1 : 3
    21 Mensik J. (15) Dimitrov G. 1 : 3
    22 Berrettini M. Fils A. (20) 3 : 1
    23 Bergs Z. Faria J. 3 : 1
    24 Fery A. Virtanen O. 3 : 1
    25 Fritz T. (6) Kypson P. 3 : 0
    26 Diallo G. Sonego L. 2 : 3
    27 Tiafoe F. (17) Choinski J. 3 : 1
    28 Jacquet K. Bublik A. (10) 0 : 3
    29 Lehecka J. (13) Molcan A. 3 : 0
    30 Fearnley J. Munar J. 0 : 3
    31 Halys Q. Giron M. 0 : 3
    32 Royer V. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 3

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Brooksby J.
    2 Jodar R. (23) Mochizuki S.
    3 Hurkacz H. Paul T. (21)
    4 Struff J-L. Medvedev D. (8)
    5 Auger-Aliassime F. (3) Zheng M.
    6 Davidovich Fokina A. (22) Fucsovics M.
    7 Safiullin R. Fonseca J. (24)
    8 Rinderknech A. (25) Djokovic N. (7)
    9 De Minaur A. (5) Svajda Z.
    10 Khachanov K. (19) Cobolli F. (9)
    11 Dimitrov G. Berrettini M.
    12 Bergs Z. Fery A.
    13 Fritz T. (6) Sonego L.
    14 Tiafoe F. (17) Bublik A. (10)
    15 Lehecka J. (13) Munar J.
    16 Giron M. Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Wimbledon Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.67 (40.88%)

    2. Djokovic Novak: 5.5 (12.41%)

    3. Zverev Alexander: 8.5 (8.03%)

    4. Fritz Taylor: 9 (7.59%)

    5. De Minaur Alex: 27.5 (2.48%)

    6. Mensik Jakub: 34 (2.01%)

    7. Medvedev Daniil: 37.5 (1.82%)

    8. Tiafoe Frances: 37.5 (1.82%)

    9. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 41 (1.67%)

    10. Fonseca Joao: 42.5 (1.61%)

    11. Paul Tommy: 46 (1.48%)

    12. Berrettini Matteo: 46 (1.48%)

    13. Cobolli Flavio: 51 (1.34%)

    14. Bublik Alexander: 51 (1.34%)

    15. Jodar Rafael: 51 (1.34%)

    16. Lehecka Jiri: 66 (1.03%)

    17. Hurkacz Hubert: 66 (1.03%)

    18. Musetti Lorenzo: 67 (1.02%)

    19. Fils Arthur: 76 (0.9%)

    20. Bergs Zizou: 109 (0.63%)

    21. Khachanov Karen: 113.5 (0.6%)

    22. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 113.5 (0.6%)

    23. Korda Sebastian: 126 (0.54%)

    24. Kyrgios Nick: 126 (0.54%)

    25. Nakashima Brandon: 138.5 (0.49%)

    26. Dimitrov Grigor: 151 (0.45%)

    27. Majchrzak Kamil: 151 (0.45%)

    28. Machac Tomas: 201 (0.34%)

    29. Jarry Nicolas: 201 (0.34%)

    30. Zheng Michael: 276 (0.25%)

    31. Fery Arthur: 376 (0.18%)

    32. Safiullin Roman: 376 (0.18%)

    33. Thompson Jordan: 401 (0.17%)

    34. Brooksby Jenson: 401 (0.17%)

    35. Rinderknech Arthur: 401 (0.17%)

    36. Diallo Gabriel: 476 (0.14%)

    37. Halys Quentin: 476 (0.14%)

    38. Fearnley Jacob: 501 (0.14%)

    39. Evans Daniel: 501 (0.14%)

    40. Sonego Lorenzo: 501 (0.14%)

    41. Giron Marcos: 501 (0.14%)

    42. Munar Jaume: 501 (0.14%)

    43. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 501 (0.14%)

    44. Svajda Zachary: 501 (0.14%)

    45. Choinski Jan: 501 (0.14%)

    46. Struff Jan-Lennard: 501 (0.14%)

    47. Royer Valentin: 501 (0.14%)

    48. Fucsovics Marton: 501 (0.14%)

    49. Duckworth James: 501 (0.14%)

    50. Hanfmann Yannick: 501 (0.14%)

    51. Molcan Alex: 501 (0.14%)

    52. Mochizuki Shintaro: 501 (0.14%)

    53. Faria Jaime: 501 (0.14%)

    54. Jacquet Kyrian: 501 (0.14%)

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