Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel predictions, Jan 11, 2025

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Freiburg

Holstein Kiel

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

**Match Preview: SC Freiburg vs. Holstein Kiel – Bundesliga (January 11, 2025)**

As SC Freiburg prepares to host Holstein Kiel in what promises to be an exciting Bundesliga clash, both teams come into the match with distinct trajectories that could impact the outcome.

**Recent Form:**
– **SC Freiburg:** The home side has had a mixed run recently, winning 2 of their last 5 matches. Their latest performances indicate a team striving for consistency, and with a solid record at home, they will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. Freiburg’s ability to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities will be crucial as they aim to solidify their standing in the league.

– **Holstein Kiel:** In contrast, Kiel has struggled, managing to secure only 1 victory in their last 5 matches. Their form has been concerning, and they will be keen to turn things around against Freiburg. With a tough challenge ahead, Kiel needs to find a way to improve their defense as well as their attacking effectiveness to compete with the hosts.

**Bookmakers’ Odds:**
The odds set by bookmakers reflect a clear favor towards SC Freiburg, with coefficients of 1.41 for a home win, 7.63 for a draw, and higher odds for Holstein Kiel at 12.00 for an away victory. This indicates that Freiburg is expected to perform strongly at home against Kiel.

**Statistical Estimation:**
According to our machine learning estimation, the probabilities for the match outcome are as follows:
– SC Freiburg: **71.9%** chance of victory
– Draw: **18.2%**
– Holstein Kiel: **12%** chance of winning

These statistics underline Freiburg’s dominance and suggest that they are the clear favorites heading into the match.

**Predicted Outcome:**
The most likely scoreline, as predicted by bookmakers, is a **2-0 victory for SC Freiburg**. This aligns with the hosts’ strength in front of their home crowd and the defensive vulnerabilities displayed by Holstein Kiel in their recent matches.

**Key Players to Watch:**
– **SC Freiburg:** Keep an eye on their standout attackers, who will likely be looking to exploit Kiel’s defensive lapses. An effective performance from the midfield could also dictate the pace of the game and support the forwards.
– **Holstein Kiel:** Kiel will need their key players to step up and deliver not only in the attack but also to solidify their back line against a potent Freiburg offense.

**Conclusion:**
With Freiburg riding the wave of favorable odds and playing on home turf, they are well-positioned to take all three points from this matchup. Holstein Kiel will need a monumental effort to upset the hosts and get their season back on track. As the game approaches, fans can expect an intriguing contest between a fervent home side and a Kiel team desperate for redemption.

Freiburg 68.2% Draw 19.2% Holstein Kiel 12.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Outrights of German Bundesliga Freiburg: 0.2% Holstein Kiel: 0.03%

Watch Watch and Bet Freiburg – Holstein Kiel available at: Bet Now (Full Screen) William Hill

Betting Odds

1 X 2
Bwin 1.38 5 7.75
bet_at_home 1.42 5.22 7.8
betsson 1.4 5 8
MarathonBet 1.44 5.15 7.8 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.4 4.8 7 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 1.41 5.01 7.32
Best for US Customers 1.4 5 8

Latest Results

21.12.24 Bayer Leverkusen – SC Freiburg – 5:1
13.12.24 SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg – 3:2
08.12.24 TSG Hoffenheim – SC Freiburg – 1:1
03.12.24 Arminia Bielefeld – SC Freiburg – 3:1
30.11.24 SC Freiburg – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 3:1
21.12.24 Holstein Kiel – FC Augsburg – 5:1
14.12.24 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Holstein Kiel – 4:1
07.12.24 Holstein Kiel – RB Leipzig – 0:2
29.11.24 FC St. Pauli – Holstein Kiel – 3:1
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 05 – 0:3

Facts

  • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Holstein Kiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • In this match Freiburg is indisputable favorite.
  • Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

    Latest Head To Head

    31.10.18 Holstein Kiel – SC Freiburg – 2:1

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 15 11 3 1 47:13 34 36
    2 Bayer Leverkusen 15 9 5 1 37:21 16 32
    3 Eintracht Frankfurt 15 8 3 4 35:23 12 27
    4 RB Leipzig 15 8 3 4 24:20 4 27
    5 Mainz 15 7 4 4 28:20 8 25
    6 Dortmund 15 7 4 4 28:22 6 25
    7 Werder Bremen 15 7 4 4 26:25 1 25
    8 B. Monchengladbach 15 7 3 5 25:20 5 24
    9 Freiburg 15 7 3 5 21:24 -3 24
    10 Stuttgart 15 6 5 4 29:25 4 23
    11 Wolfsburg 15 6 3 6 32:28 4 21
    12 Union Berlin 15 4 5 6 14:19 -5 17
    13 Augsburg 15 4 4 7 17:32 -15 16
    14 St. Pauli 15 4 2 9 12:19 -7 14
    15 Hoffenheim 15 3 5 7 20:28 -8 14
    16 Heidenheim 15 3 1 11 18:33 -15 10
    17 Holstein Kiel 15 2 2 11 19:38 -19 8
    18 Bochum 15 1 3 11 13:35 -22 6

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.14 (79.82%)

    2. Bayer Leverkusen: 5.95 (15.24%)

    3. Eintracht Frankfurt: 66.6 (1.36%)

    4. Dortmund: 78 (1.16%)

    5. RB Leipzig: 86.8 (1.04%)

    6. VfB Stuttgart: 290.8 (0.31%)

    7. Mainz: 450.8 (0.2%)

    8. Freiburg: 450.8 (0.2%)

    9. Wolfsburg: 500.8 (0.18%)

    10. Werder Bremen: 850.8 (0.11%)

    11. B. Monchengladbach: 950.8 (0.1%)

    12. Union Berlin: 1450.8 (0.06%)

    13. Hoffenheim: 1950.8 (0.05%)

    14. Augsburg: 2150.8 (0.04%)

    15. Bochum: 2688.25 (0.03%)

    16. Holstein Kiel: 2688.25 (0.03%)

    17. Heidenheim: 2688.25 (0.03%)

    18. St. Pauli: 3334.33 (0.03%)

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