Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic predictions, Sep 19, 2026

Scottish Football Championship, on Saturday,

Greenock

Dunfermline

Score, Highlights

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As Greenock Morton prepares to host Dunfermline Athletic on September 19, 2026, the fixture carries significant implications for both teams in the Scottish Football Championship. Greenock Morton, currently facing a challenging spell, is without a win in their last five matches, struggling to convert opportunities into points. Their tactical approach may need to adapt, as they seek to bolster their home advantage, a factor that can often ignite improved performances.

On the other side, Dunfermline Athletic enters this clash with a more favorable recent record, having secured two victories in their last five outings. This form reflects a more cohesive unit capable of capitalizing on opposition weaknesses, bolstered by a confident attacking structure. With bookmakers favoring the away side at odds of 1.72 compared to Morton’s 4.44, it’s clear that Dunfermline’s recent form has caught the attention of analysts.

Our model predicts a probability of 20.3% for a home win, 25.1% for a draw, and 54.7% for Dunfermline victory, suggesting they hold the upper hand. While projections lean towards an away win, football often brings surprises, making this encounter a compelling watch for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-13T02:52:03+00:00.

Greenock
20.8%
Draw
25.6%
Dunfermline
53.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:1

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship Dunfermline: 11.32% Morton: 0.53%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 4.37 3.69 1.75
betsson 4.5 3.55 1.7
MarathonBet 4.39 3.6 1.76
WilliamHill 4.25 3.6 1.71
Pinnacle 4.47 3.67 1.74
Best for US Customers 4.4 3.55 1.69

Latest Results

11.09.26 Greenock Morton – Livingston FC – 1:4
05.09.26 Queens Park FC – Greenock Morton – 2:1
29.08.26 Ayr United – Greenock Morton – 1:1
22.08.26 Greenock Morton – Arbroath – 1:2
08.08.26 Stenhousemuir – Greenock Morton – 2:0
12.09.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Queens Park FC – 2:0
05.09.26 Arbroath – Dunfermline Athletic – 1:1
28.08.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Raith Rovers – 1:0
22.08.26 Livingston FC – Dunfermline Athletic – 2:0
15.08.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Ross County – 1:2

Facts

  • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 2.
  • Greenock is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Dunfermline has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Dunfermline may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Dunfermline is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    04.04.26 Dunfermline Athletic – Greenock Morton – 3:1
    17.02.26 Greenock Morton – Dunfermline Athletic – 2:0
    22.11.25 Dunfermline Athletic – Greenock Morton – 1:0
    02.08.25 Greenock Morton – Dunfermline Athletic – 0:0
    02.05.25 Greenock Morton – Dunfermline Athletic – 2:0

    Standings

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Raith 6 4 1 1 11:3 8 13
    2 Stenhousemuir 5 4 1 0 9:2 7 13
    3 Partick Thistle 5 3 2 0 5:1 4 11
    4 Livingston 6 3 0 3 8:5 3 9
    5 Dunfermline 6 2 3 1 5:4 1 9
    6 Arbroath 6 2 2 2 4:8 -4 8
    7 Inverness 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
    8 Ayr 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
    9 Queen’s Park 6 1 1 4 3:9 -6 4
    10 Morton 6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1

    Scottish Football Championship Outrights

    1. Partick: 2.64 (30.24%)

    2. Livingston: 2.75 (29.03%)

    3. Raith: 6.62 (12.06%)

    4. Dunfermline: 7.05 (11.32%)

    5. Stenhousemuir: 9.15 (8.72%)

    6. Inverness: 20.25 (3.94%)

    7. Arbroath: 41 (1.95%)

    8. Ayr: 50.5 (1.58%)

    9. Queen’s Park: 125.5 (0.64%)

    10. Morton: 150.5 (0.53%)

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