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Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin predictions, Feb 14, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As Hamburger SV prepares to host Union Berlin on February 14, 2026, both teams find themselves struggling in recent form. Hamburger SV has failed to secure a victory in their last five matches, a streak that suggests challenges in both offensive creativity and defensive solidity. Conversely, Union Berlin is in a similar predicament, also unable to win any of their recent outings. This shared vulnerability may lead to an evenly matched contest.

From a tactical standpoint, Hamburger SV’s home advantage may provide them with the necessary impetus, but their inability to convert opportunities has been a significant concern. Union Berlin, known for their resilient defensive setup, will likely aim to exploit any weaknesses at the back for the home side.

Current bookmaker odds favor the home team slightly, with a 2.49 for a Hamburger SV win compared to 2.93 for an away victory. Our predictive model reflects a tight matchup, suggesting a 38% chance of a home victory, a 29.2% likelihood for a draw, and a 32.6% chance for an away win, indicating uncertainty around the outcome. The predicted final score stands at 1-1, suggesting that both teams may continue to struggle for a decisive breakthrough. This clash promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides as they seek to build momentum moving forward.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-08T00:52:02+00:00.

Hamburg
38%		 Draw
29.7%		 Union Berlin
32.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga Union Berlin: 0.13%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.52 3.3 2.97
2.48 3.2 2.98
2.6 3.3 3.05 Watch and Bet
2.45 3.1 2.88
2.49 3.23 2.93
2.54 3.1 2.9

Latest Results

07.02.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Hamburger SV – 0:2
31.01.26 Hamburger SV – Bayern Munich – 2:2
23.01.26 FC St. Pauli – Hamburger SV – 0:0
17.01.26 Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 0:0
10.01.26 SC Freiburg – Hamburger SV – 2:1		 06.02.26 Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt – 1:1
31.01.26 TSG Hoffenheim – Union Berlin – 3:1
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund – 0:3
18.01.26 VfB Stuttgart – Union Berlin – 1:1
15.01.26 FC Augsburg – Union Berlin – 1:1

Facts

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
  • Hamburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Union Berlin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

    Latest Head To Head

    28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburger SV – 0:0
    28.04.19 Union Berlin – Hamburger SV – 2:0
    26.11.18 Hamburger SV – Union Berlin – 2:2

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 20 16 3 1 74:18 56 51
    2 Dortmund 21 14 6 1 43:20 23 48
    3 Hoffenheim 20 13 3 4 43:23 20 42
    4 Stuttgart 21 12 3 6 38:28 10 39
    5 Bayer Leverkusen 20 11 3 6 39:27 12 36
    6 RB Leipzig 20 11 3 6 38:27 11 36
    7 Freiburg 21 8 6 7 32:33 -1 30
    8 Eintracht Frankfurt 21 7 7 7 41:46 -5 28
    9 Union Berlin 21 6 7 8 26:34 -8 25
    10 FC Koln 20 6 5 9 29:32 -3 23
    11 Hamburger SV 20 5 7 8 21:29 -8 22
    12 B. Monchengladbach 21 5 7 9 25:34 -9 22
    13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 24:39 -15 22
    14 Mainz 21 5 6 10 25:33 -8 21
    15 Wolfsburg 21 5 4 12 29:44 -15 19
    16 Werder Bremen 21 4 7 10 22:39 -17 19
    17 St. Pauli 21 4 5 12 20:35 -15 17
    18 Heidenheim 21 3 4 14 19:47 -28 13

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.02 (89.16%)

    2. Dortmund: 13.67 (6.64%)

    3. Hoffenheim: 80.2 (1.13%)

    4. VfB Stuttgart: 150.33 (0.6%)

    5. RB Leipzig: 180.2 (0.5%)

    6. Bayer Leverkusen: 180.2 (0.5%)

    7. Freiburg: 580.2 (0.16%)

    8. Eintracht Frankfurt: 580.2 (0.16%)

    9. Werder Bremen: 680.2 (0.13%)

    10. Union Berlin: 680.2 (0.13%)

    11. B. Monchengladbach: 680.2 (0.13%)

    12. 1. FC Koln: 680.2 (0.13%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.13%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.1%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.09%)

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