Hartberg vs Sturm Graz predictions, May 10, 2026

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As TSV Hartberg prepares to host Sturm Graz in their Austrian Bundesliga clash on May 10, 2026, both teams face pressing challenges. Hartberg, playing at home, enters the match with a troubling recent record, managing just one win in their last five outings. This dismal form may impact their confidence and overall performance as they look to regain momentum.

On the other hand, Sturm Graz is experiencing a particularly difficult stretch, having failed to secure a victory in their last five matches. This poor run places significant pressure on the squad as they strive to break their drought and find form. While both teams present tactical weaknesses, Sturm Graz’s historically stronger squad depth and technical ability could provide them an edge, particularly given their positioning in the league.

Bookmakers reflect this sentiment with odds favoring an away win at 1.91, compared to Hartberg’s 3.88 for a home victory. Our model gives a slight lean towards the away side, predicting a 49.9% probability of a Sturm Graz win. However, with recent performances being such a critical factor, the match remains open and could sway in favor of either team. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see who can capitalize on this opportunity.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T13:52:02+00:00.

Hartberg 23.7%

Draw 25.9%

Sturm 50.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz: 24.32% Hartberg: 0.83%

Watch and Bet Hartberg – Sturm available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	4.09	3.74	1.93
	3.95	3.55	1.85
	3.93	3.66	1.85	Watch and Bet
	3.9	3.4	1.85
	4.02	3.67	1.86

Latest Results

03.05.26 Austria Wien – TSV Hartberg – 1:0 26.04.26 TSV Hartberg – LASK Linz – 1:5 22.04.26 Rapid Wien – TSV Hartberg – 0:2 19.04.26 TSV Hartberg – Rapid Wien – 2:2 12.04.26 Sturm Graz – TSV Hartberg – 0:0

03.05.26 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz – 1:1 26.04.26 Sturm Graz – Austria Wien – 1:1 22.04.26 Sturm Graz – LASK Linz – 1:1 19.04.26 LASK Linz – Sturm Graz – 1:1 12.04.26 Sturm Graz – TSV Hartberg – 0:0

Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sturm is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Latest Head To Head

12.04.26 Sturm Graz – TSV Hartberg – 0:0 30.11.25 TSV Hartberg – Sturm Graz – 0:1 28.09.25 Sturm Graz – TSV Hartberg – 1:0 09.11.24 TSV Hartberg – Sturm Graz – 1:2 11.08.24 Sturm Graz – TSV Hartberg – 2:0

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sturm Graz	30	14	8	8	45:33	12	31
2	LASK	29	14	7	8	48:40	8	30
3	Salzburg	30	13	9	8	54:36	18	29
4	SK Rapid	29	12	8	9	35:34	1	27
5	Austria Vienna	30	13	5	12	43:47	-4	26
6	Hartberg	30	9	12	9	35:35	0	22

Austrian Bundesliga Outrights

1. LASK Linz: 2.42 (34.39%)

2. Salzburg: 3.04 (27.32%)

3. Sturm Graz: 3.42 (24.32%)

4. Rapid Vienna: 6.5 (12.78%)

5. Hartberg: 100 (0.83%)

6. Austria Vienna: 233.5 (0.36%)

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