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Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United predictions, Feb 25, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

English National League, on Wednesday,

Score, Highlights

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**Match Preview: Hartlepool United vs. Carlisle United**

On February 25, 2026, Hartlepool United is set to host Carlisle United at their home ground in what promises to be a competitive fixture in the English National League.

Hartlepool has struggled recently, managing to secure only one victory in their last five matches. This poor run of form raises concerns about their tactical effectiveness, particularly in attacking transitions and defensive stability. In contrast, Carlisle United enters this match with a more favorable streak, having won three of their last five encounters. Their recent performances indicate a well-structured approach, combining solid defensive organization with incisive attacking plays.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 3.01 for a Hartlepool victory and 2.18 for an away win for Carlisle, reflecting the latter’s favourable form. Our model predicts a 29.5% chance of a Hartlepool win, a 26.2% likelihood of a draw, and a 43.8% probability of Carlisle securing all three points. Given the trends, a closely fought match is expected, with a predicted final score of 1:1 seeming plausible, although both teams will be eager to improve their standings with a crucial win. Ultimately, the outcome remains uncertain as both sides vie for important points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-21T17:52:03+00:00.

Hartlepool
30.3%		 Draw
27.2%		 Carlisle
42.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of English National League Carlisle: 1.51% Hartlepool: 0.08%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.05 3.4 2.18
3.08 3.35 2.1
2.93 3.4 2.27

Latest Results

21.02.26 Solihull Moors – Hartlepool United – 3:4
11.02.26 York City – Hartlepool United – 3:2
07.02.26 Tamworth – Hartlepool United – 1:1
31.01.26 Hartlepool United – Aldershot Town – 0:3
24.01.26 Brackley Town – Hartlepool United – 0:0		 21.02.26 Carlisle United – Yeovil Town – 3:0
14.02.26 Forest Green Rovers – Carlisle United – 1:3
10.02.26 Carlisle United – Scunthorpe United – 3:2
07.02.26 Rochdale AFC – Carlisle United – 1:0
31.01.26 Carlisle United – Altrincham – 3:1

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 0.
  • Hartlepool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Carlisle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of away games.
  • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 1.1:2.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.10.25 Carlisle United – Hartlepool United – 3:1
    24.01.23 Carlisle United – Hartlepool United – 3:1
    08.10.22 Hartlepool United – Carlisle United – 1:3
    18.01.22 Carlisle United – Hartlepool United – 0:0
    31.08.21 Carlisle United – Hartlepool United – 4:3 penalties

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Rochdale 32 25 3 4 61:21 40 78
    2 York City 33 23 8 2 88:32 56 77
    3 Carlisle 33 21 5 7 61:38 23 68
    4 Boreham Wood 32 18 7 7 61:39 22 61
    5 Scunthorpe 32 17 9 6 57:43 14 60
    6 Forest Green 34 16 11 7 56:39 17 59
    7 Southend 30 15 7 8 52:27 25 52
    8 FC Halifax 34 15 6 13 51:49 2 51
    9 Hartlepool 33 12 12 9 39:36 3 48
    10 Solihull Moors 33 11 9 13 55:51 4 42
    11 Boston Utd 34 10 10 14 43:49 -6 40
    12 Aldershot 32 11 6 15 58:60 -2 39
    13 Tamworth 32 10 9 13 37:51 -14 39
    14 Woking 31 10 8 13 41:38 3 38
    15 Altrincham 33 11 4 18 38:49 -11 37
    16 Brackley Town 31 9 9 13 27:40 -13 36
    17 Wealdstone 31 9 9 13 36:50 -14 36
    18 Eastleigh 33 9 9 15 41:57 -16 36
    19 Sutton 32 8 11 13 44:51 -7 35
    20 Yeovil 32 10 5 17 32:45 -13 35
    21 Braintree 33 7 9 17 23:47 -24 30
    22 Morecambe 33 6 8 19 42:70 -28 26
    23 Gateshead 31 7 4 20 35:70 -35 25
    24 Truro 32 6 6 20 30:56 -26 24

    English National League Outrights

    1. Rochdale: 1.83 (49.77%)

    2. York City: 1.98 (46.01%)

    3. Carlisle: 60.6 (1.51%)

    4. Boreham Wood: 137.75 (0.66%)

    5. Scunthorpe: 150.25 (0.61%)

    6. Forest Green: 325.25 (0.28%)

    7. Southend: 325.25 (0.28%)

    8. Halifax: 825.25 (0.11%)

    9. Hartlepool: 1075.25 (0.08%)

    10. Yeovil: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    11. Brackley: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    12. Wealdstone: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    13. Boston United: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    14. Aldershot: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    15. Eastleigh: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    16. Woking: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    17. Tamworth: 1200.25 (0.08%)

    18. Solihull Moors: 1200.25 (0.08%)

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