English National League, on Saturday,
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The upcoming match between Hartlepool United and Sutton United in the English National League is expected to be a closely contested affair. Hartlepool United, who are the home team, have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Sutton United have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
The bookmakers have assigned relatively even odds for both teams, with coefficients of 2.49 for Hartlepool United and 2.65 for Sutton United. Our ML estimation gives a slight edge to Sutton United with a probability of 35% for them to win, compared to 37.1% for Hartlepool United and a 27.9% chance of a draw.
The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a 1-1 draw. Given the recent form of both teams and the evenly matched odds, this match could go either way and is likely to be an exciting and closely fought contest.
| Hartlepool 36.6% | Draw 27.4% | Sutton 35.9% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1
Outrights of English National League Sutton: 1.62% Hartlepool: 0.55%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.6 | 3.42 | 2.58 | |
 |
2.52 | 3.4 | 2.51 |
Latest Results
| 28.09.24 Forest Green Rovers – Hartlepool United – 1:0 24.09.24 Hartlepool United – Rochdale AFC – 0:3 21.09.24 Hartlepool United – Dagenham & Redbridge – 0:1 14.09.24 Ebbsfleet United – Hartlepool United – 1:0 10.09.24 Boston United – Hartlepool United – 1:2 |
28.09.24 Woking – Sutton United – 1:2 24.09.24 Sutton United – Yeovil Town – 0:0 21.09.24 Sutton United – Ebbsfleet United – 3:2 14.09.24 Southend United – Sutton United – 1:3 10.09.24 Dagenham & Redbridge – Sutton United – 3:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 11.02.23 Hartlepool United – Sutton United – 2:2 17.09.22 Sutton United – Hartlepool United – 2:0 19.02.22 Hartlepool United – Sutton United – 1:1 14.09.21 Sutton United – Hartlepool United – 1:0 23.05.21 Sutton United – Hartlepool United – 3:0 |
Standings
2024/25
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Forest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:15 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Oldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Altrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Dag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Halifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Yeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Southend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Aldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 13 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 | Braintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Boston Utd | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Wealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
English National League Outrights
1. Barnet: 2.36 (35.01%)
2. York City: 5 (16.51%)
3. Gateshead: 6 (13.76%)
4. Forest Green: 7 (11.79%)
5. Oldham: 15 (5.5%)
6. Rochdale: 19 (4.34%)
7. Southend: 41 (2.01%)
8. Eastleigh: 51 (1.62%)
9. Sutton: 51 (1.62%)
10. Dagenham & Red.: 70 (1.18%)
11. Halifax: 101 (0.82%)
12. Altrincham: 101 (0.82%)
13. Yeovil: 101 (0.82%)
14. Woking: 101 (0.82%)
15. Solihull Moors: 126 (0.66%)
16. Hartlepool: 151 (0.55%)
17. Aldershot: 151 (0.55%)
18. Maidenhead: 251 (0.33%)
19. Tamworth: 251 (0.33%)
20. Braintree: 251 (0.33%)
21. Wealdstone: 501 (0.16%)
22. Boston United: 501 (0.16%)
23. Ebbsfleet: 501 (0.16%)
24. AFC Fylde: 501 (0.16%)
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