Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons predictions, Jul 03, 2026

AFL, on Friday,

Hawthorn Hawks

Melbourne

Score, Highlights

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As the Hawthorn Hawks prepare to host the Melbourne Demons on July 3, 2026, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their recent performances in the AFL. The Hawks enter this matchup with a commendable record, securing victories in 3 of their last 5 games. This trend highlights their ability to execute tactical plays effectively, leveraging their home ground advantage, which can often provide a boost in morale and performance.

Conversely, the Demons have faced some challenges, winning only 2 of their last 5 outings. Their recent form indicates a need for greater consistency, particularly in key areas such as ball retention and defensive setups. While Melbourne is known for its strategic play and resilience, they have struggled to maintain momentum against competitive sides.

Bookmakers favor the Hawks, listing odds at 1.25 for a home win compared to 4 for an away victory for the Demons. This disparity reflects Hawthorn’s recent success and home advantage, though it also suggests a potential for value in backing Melbourne given their previous performances. Ultimately, this matchup promises to be closely contested, with both teams possessing unique strengths that could influence the outcome.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-06-27T19:52:02+00:00.

Hawthorn
75.2%
Melbourne
24.8%

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Latest Results

26.06.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Greater Western Sydney Giants – 96:82
19.06.26 Gold Coast Suns – Hawthorn Hawks – 97:113
05.06.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Western Bulldogs – 71:77
28.05.26 St Kilda Saints – Hawthorn Hawks – 67:119
21.05.26 Hawthorn Hawks – Adelaide Crows – 75:66
19.06.26 Adelaide Crows – Melbourne Demons – 79:62
12.06.26 Melbourne Demons – Essendon Bombers – 95:50
08.06.26 Collingwood Magpies – Melbourne Demons – 75:83
31.05.26 Melbourne Demons – Greater Western Sydney Giants – 70:119
24.05.26 Western Bulldogs – Melbourne Demons – 93:90

Facts

  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
  • Hawthorn is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Hawthorn is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1652:1620. (average 82.6:81).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 868:859. (average 78.9:78.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    16.05.26 Melbourne Demons – Hawthorn Hawks – 120:81
    16.08.25 Hawthorn Hawks – Melbourne Demons – 92:56
    09.05.25 Melbourne Demons – Hawthorn Hawks – 56:91
    23.03.24 Hawthorn Hawks – Melbourne Demons – 38:93
    20.08.23 Melbourne Demons – Hawthorn Hawks – 87:60

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L %% Pts
    1 Fremantle Dockers 14 13 0 1 1411:977 144.42 52
    2 Sydney Swans 15 12 0 3 1661:1224 135.70 48
    3 Hawthorn Hawks 15 10 1 4 1457:1281 113.74 42
    4 Geelong Cats 15 9 0 6 1490:1236 120.55 36
    5 Brisbane Lions 15 9 0 6 1551:1397 111.02 36
    6 Adelaide Crows 15 9 0 6 1328:1207 110.02 36
    7 Melbourne Demons 15 9 0 6 1430:1373 104.15 36
    8 Western Bulldogs 15 9 0 6 1270:1369 92.77 36
    9 Collingwood Magpies 15 7 1 7 1253:1202 104.24 30
    10 Gold Coast Suns 14 7 0 7 1330:1263 105.30 28
    11 Carlton Blues 15 7 0 8 1254:1312 95.58 28
    12 North Melbourne 14 7 0 7 1215:1339 90.74 28
    13 St Kilda Saints 15 6 0 9 1334:1326 100.60 24
    14 GWS Giants 15 6 0 9 1362:1372 99.27 24
    15 Port Adelaide Power 15 5 0 10 1222:1211 100.91 20
    16 West Coast Eagles 15 4 0 11 1087:1524 71.33 16
    17 Richmond Tigers 15 2 0 13 987:1598 61.76 8
    18 Essendon Bombers 14 1 0 13 1027:1458 70.44 4

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