German Bundesliga, on Saturday,
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On April 4, 2026, TSG Hoffenheim will host Mainz 05 in a critical Bundesliga clash. Hoffenheim enters this match struggling for form, having secured only one victory in their last five outings. Their recent performances reveal a need for improvement in both midfield cohesion and defensive organization, making them vulnerable, particularly at home.
On the other hand, Mainz 05 has demonstrated a notable resurgence, winning three out of their last five matches. Their tactical approach has been characterized by effective pressing and swift counter-attacks, which have allowed them to capitalize on defensive lapses from opponents. With a solid attacking display and an adaptable defense, Mainz will look to exploit Hoffenheim’s fragilities.
Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.72 for a home win, while an away victory stands at 4.28, indicating a favored stance towards Hoffenheim despite their recent struggles. Our predictive model offers a 57.5% likelihood of a home win, but with Mainz’s upward trajectory, they should not be discounted lightly.
This match could be pivotal for both teams as they vie for crucial points. As such, a closely contested fixture is anticipated, leaving the outcome uncertain until the final whistle.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-29T08:52:03+00:00.
| Hoffenheim 54.9% |
Draw 22.9% |
Mainz 22.2% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1
Outrights of German Bundesliga Hoffenheim: 0.08%
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.76 | 4.4 | 4.36 | |
 |
1.75 | 4.15 | 4.25 | |
 |
1.77 | 4.32 | 4.58 | |
 |
1.7 | 4 | 4 | |
 |
1.72 | 4.21 | 4.28 |
Latest Results
| 26.03.26 TSG Hoffenheim – SV Elversberg – 3:5 20.03.26 RB Leipzig – TSG Hoffenheim – 5:0 14.03.26 TSG Hoffenheim – VfL Wolfsburg – 1:1 07.03.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – TSG Hoffenheim – 2:4 28.02.26 TSG Hoffenheim – FC St. Pauli – 0:1 |
22.03.26 Mainz 05 – Eintracht Frankfurt – 2:1 19.03.26 Mainz 05 – Sigma Olomouc – 2:0 15.03.26 Werder Bremen – Mainz 05 – 0:2 12.03.26 Sigma Olomouc – Mainz 05 – 0:0 07.03.26 Mainz 05 – VfB Stuttgart – 2:2 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 21.11.25 Mainz 05 – TSG Hoffenheim – 1:1 12.04.25 TSG Hoffenheim – Mainz 05 – 2:0 01.12.24 Mainz 05 – TSG Hoffenheim – 2:0 13.04.24 Mainz 05 – TSG Hoffenheim – 4:1 26.11.23 TSG Hoffenheim – Mainz 05 – 1:1 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
German Bundesliga Outrights
1. Bayern Munich: 1 (98.66%)
2. Dortmund: 112.75 (0.88%)
3. VfB Stuttgart: 325.25 (0.3%)
4. RB Leipzig: 1200.25 (0.08%)
5. Hoffenheim: 1200.25 (0.08%)
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