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Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli predictions, Feb 28, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As TSG Hoffenheim prepares to host FC St. Pauli on February 28, 2026, recent form heavily favors the home side. Hoffenheim has shown impressive form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, a streak that highlights their attacking prowess and solid team cohesion. They will look to leverage their home advantage at the PreZero Arena, where they typically perform strongly.

In contrast, St. Pauli has struggled recently, securing only 1 victory in their last 5 outings. This lack of consistency raises questions about their ability to compete with Hoffenheim, particularly away from home. Despite the challenges they face, St. Pauli will aim to tighten their defensive structure, hoping to disrupt Hoffenheim’s rhythm and create counter-attacking opportunities.

The bookmakers favor Hoffenheim with odds of 1.58 for a home win, reflecting a 61.9% probability forecasted for a home victory according to analytical models. The odds for St. Pauli stand at 5.03 for an away win, indicating a challenging match ahead for them.

While Hoffenheim’s recent form suggests a strong likelihood of success, football is unpredictable, and St. Pauli could yet defy the odds.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-21T11:52:02+00:00.

Hoffenheim
60.5%		 Draw
21.8%		 St. Pauli
17.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of German Bundesliga St. Pauli: 0.89% Hoffenheim: 0.81%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.59 4.57 5.4
1.55 4.45 5.4
1.53 4.2 5
1.58 4.57 5.03

Latest Results

21.02.26 1. FC Köln – TSG Hoffenheim – 2:2
14.02.26 TSG Hoffenheim – SC Freiburg – 3:0
08.02.26 Bayern Munich – TSG Hoffenheim – 5:1
31.01.26 TSG Hoffenheim – Union Berlin – 3:1
27.01.26 Werder Bremen – TSG Hoffenheim – 0:2		 14.02.26 Bayer Leverkusen – FC St. Pauli – 4:0
07.02.26 FC St. Pauli – VfB Stuttgart – 2:1
03.02.26 Bayer Leverkusen – FC St. Pauli – 3:0
31.01.26 FC Augsburg – FC St. Pauli – 2:1
27.01.26 FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig – 1:1

Facts

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • Hoffenheim is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • St. Pauli‘s performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
  • Including home match between the teams, Hoffenheim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

    Latest Head To Head

    28.10.25 FC St. Pauli – TSG Hoffenheim – 3:2 penalties
    19.10.25 FC St. Pauli – TSG Hoffenheim – 0:3
    14.03.25 FC St. Pauli – TSG Hoffenheim – 1:0
    02.11.24 TSG Hoffenheim – FC St. Pauli – 0:2

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 23 19 3 1 85:21 64 60
    2 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 47:20 27 51
    3 Hoffenheim 23 14 4 5 49:30 19 46
    4 Stuttgart 22 13 3 6 41:29 12 42
    5 RB Leipzig 22 12 4 6 42:30 12 40
    6 Bayer Leverkusen 22 12 3 7 43:28 15 39
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 46:49 -3 31
    8 Freiburg 22 8 6 8 32:36 -4 30
    9 Union Berlin 23 7 7 9 29:37 -8 28
    10 Augsburg 23 8 4 11 28:41 -13 28
    11 Hamburger SV 22 6 8 8 25:32 -7 26
    12 FC Koln 23 6 6 11 33:39 -6 24
    13 Mainz 23 5 7 11 26:38 -12 22
    14 B. Monchengladbach 22 5 7 10 25:37 -12 22
    15 Wolfsburg 23 5 5 13 33:49 -16 20
    16 Werder Bremen 22 4 7 11 22:42 -20 19
    17 St. Pauli 22 4 5 13 20:39 -19 17
    18 Heidenheim 22 3 4 15 19:48 -29 13

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.02 (87.46%)

    2. Dortmund: 21.33 (4.17%)

    3. Werder Bremen: 100 (0.89%)

    4. B. Monchengladbach: 100 (0.89%)

    5. Mainz: 100 (0.89%)

    6. Wolfsburg: 100 (0.89%)

    7. Heidenheim: 100 (0.89%)

    8. St. Pauli: 100 (0.89%)

    9. Hoffenheim: 110.2 (0.81%)

    10. VfB Stuttgart: 130.2 (0.68%)

    11. RB Leipzig: 180.2 (0.49%)

    12. Bayer Leverkusen: 180.2 (0.49%)

    13. Freiburg: 880.2 (0.1%)

    14. Eintracht Frankfurt: 880.2 (0.1%)

    15. Union Berlin: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. 1. FC Koln: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. Hamburger: 980.2 (0.09%)

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