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Holstein Kiel will be looking to turn their recent poor form around as they host Union Berlin in the German Bundesliga on October 20, 2024. With Holstein Kiel winning none of their last five matches and Union Berlin winning three of their last five matches, Union Berlin will come into this match as the favorites.
The bookmakers have given relatively close coefficients for this match, with Holstein Kiel at 3.69 and Union Berlin at 2.06. Our ML estimation gives Union Berlin the highest probability of winning at 46.8%, with a draw at 27.4% and Holstein Kiel at 25.8%.
The most likely result according to the bookmakers is a 1-1 draw. This suggests that it could be a closely contested match with both teams having the potential to score. Holstein Kiel will need to step up their game to secure a positive result against the in-form Union Berlin.
| Holstein Kiel 26.8% | Draw 27.8% | Union Berlin 45.5% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1
Outrights of German Bundesliga Union Berlin: 0.23% Holstein Kiel: 0.1%
Watch and Bet Holstein Kiel – Union Berlin available at: Bet Now (Full Screen) William Hill
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
3.5 | 3.5 | 2.05 | |
 |
3.75 | 3.45 | 2.16 | |
 |
3.5 | 3.5 | 2.15 | |
 |
3.64 | 3.62 | 2.15 | Watch and Bet |
 |
3.7 | 3.4 | 2.05 | Watch and Bet |
 |
3.59 | 3.33 | 2.18 | |
 |
3.5 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
Latest Results
| 05.10.24 Bayer Leverkusen – Holstein Kiel – 2:2 29.09.24 Holstein Kiel – Eintracht Frankfurt – 2:4 21.09.24 VfL Bochum – Holstein Kiel – 2:2 14.09.24 Holstein Kiel – Bayern Munich – 1:6 31.08.24 Holstein Kiel – VfL Wolfsburg – 0:2 |
05.10.24 Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund – 2:1 28.09.24 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Union Berlin – 1:0 21.09.24 Union Berlin – TSG Hoffenheim – 2:1 14.09.24 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin – 0:0 30.08.24 Union Berlin – FC St. Pauli – 1:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 22.07.23 Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel – 1:2 13.11.19 Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel – 3:0 01.03.19 Holstein Kiel – Union Berlin – 0:2 25.09.18 Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel – 2:0 26.03.18 Holstein Kiel – Union Berlin – 3:2 |
Standings
2024/25
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 14 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Union Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Dortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 1 |
German Bundesliga Outrights
1. Bayern Munich: 1.32 (66.61%)
2. Bayer Leverkusen: 4.54 (19.3%)
3. RB Leipzig: 13.56 (6.47%)
4. Dortmund: 25.22 (3.48%)
5. Eintracht Frankfurt: 71.89 (1.22%)
6. VfB Stuttgart: 86.44 (1.01%)
7. Freiburg: 363.25 (0.24%)
8. Union Berlin: 378.56 (0.23%)
9. Mainz: 473 (0.19%)
10. Werder Bremen: 478.56 (0.18%)
11. Hoffenheim: 478.56 (0.18%)
12. Wolfsburg: 478.56 (0.18%)
13. B. Monchengladbach: 500.78 (0.18%)
14. Heidenheim: 667.44 (0.13%)
15. Augsburg: 750.78 (0.12%)
16. Bochum: 895.22 (0.1%)
17. Holstein Kiel: 917.44 (0.1%)
18. St. Pauli: 973 (0.09%)
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