Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners predictions, May 11, 2026

MLB, on Monday,

Houston Astros

Seattle

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On May 11, 2026, the Houston Astros will face off against the Seattle Mariners in a crucial MLB matchup at Minute Maid Park. Both teams enter this game with contrasting recent forms; the Astros have secured two victories in their last five contests, while the Mariners have been more successful, winning three of their last five games.

The Astros will aim to leverage their home-field advantage, where their batting lineup has historically thrived, complemented by a solid bullpen. However, their recent inconsistency may raise concerns about their ability to perform under pressure. In comparison, the Mariners, buoyed by a favorable form, will look to capitalize on momentum, showcasing a reliable pitching rotation and effective offense that can challenge Houston’s defenses.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.14 for a home win and 1.76 for an away victory, reflecting a closely contested matchup. Based on statistical analysis, probabilities suggest a 48.1% chance of an Astros win, while the Mariners hold a slight edge at 51.9%.

As both teams gear up for this encounter, fans can anticipate an exciting game that could go either way, highlighting the unpredictable nature of baseball.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-10T19:52:02+00:00.

Houston
44.4%
Seattle
55.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:5

Outrights of MLB Seattle Mariners: 6.32% Houston Astros: 1.23%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.12 1.72
MarathonBet 2.18 1.78
WilliamHill 2.15 1.71

Latest Results

10.05.26 Cincinnati Reds – Houston Astros – 5:0
09.05.26 Cincinnati Reds – Houston Astros – 3:1
08.05.26 Cincinnati Reds – Houston Astros – 0:10
06.05.26 Houston Astros – Los Angeles Dodgers – 2:12
05.05.26 Houston Astros – Los Angeles Dodgers – 2:1
10.05.26 Chicago White Sox – Seattle Mariners – 2:1
09.05.26 Chicago White Sox – Seattle Mariners – 6:1
08.05.26 Chicago White Sox – Seattle Mariners – 8:12
06.05.26 Seattle Mariners – Atlanta Braves – 3:1
05.05.26 Seattle Mariners – Atlanta Braves – 2:3

Facts

  • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 0.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 77:102. (average 3.9:5.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:45. (average 3.2:4.5).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.04.26 Seattle Mariners – Houston Astros – 6:2
    12.04.26 Seattle Mariners – Houston Astros – 6:1
    11.04.26 Seattle Mariners – Houston Astros – 8:7
    10.04.26 Seattle Mariners – Houston Astros – 9:6
    21.09.25 Houston Astros – Seattle Mariners – 3:7

    Standings

    Main

    American League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Tampa Bay Rays 39 26 13 171:151 0.667
    2 New York Yankees 41 26 15 215:142 0.634
    3 Athletics 40 21 19 176:182 0.525
    4 Cleveland Guardians 42 21 21 173:177 0.500
    5 Chicago White Sox 40 19 21 171:185 0.475
    6 Kansas City Royals 40 19 21 166:177 0.475
    7 Texas Rangers 40 19 21 149:152 0.475
    8 Seattle Mariners 41 19 22 167:165 0.463
    9 Toronto Blue Jays 40 18 22 164:176 0.450
    10 Detroit Tigers 40 18 22 169:168 0.450
    11 Baltimore Orioles 41 18 23 181:222 0.439
    12 Minnesota Twins 41 18 23 194:206 0.439
    13 Boston Red Sox 40 17 23 156:168 0.425
    14 Los Angeles Angels 41 16 25 177:201 0.390
    15 Houston Astros 41 16 25 196:230 0.390

    National League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Atlanta Braves 41 28 13 228:141 0.683
    2 Chicago Cubs 41 27 14 215:168 0.659
    3 Los Angeles Dodgers 40 24 16 203:134 0.600
    4 San Diego Padres 40 24 16 170:167 0.600
    5 Milwaukee Brewers 38 22 16 195:141 0.579
    6 St.Louis Cardinals 40 23 17 186:183 0.575
    7 Pittsburgh Pirates 40 22 18 200:168 0.550
    8 Cincinnati Reds 41 22 19 164:197 0.537
    9 Arizona Diamondbacks 39 19 20 169:191 0.487
    10 Washington Nationals 41 19 22 217:230 0.463
    11 Philadelphia Phillies 41 19 22 170:202 0.463
    12 Miami Marlins 41 19 22 176:179 0.463
    13 Colorado Rockies 41 16 25 175:210 0.390
    14 San Francisco Giants 39 15 24 123:172 0.385
    15 New York Mets 40 15 25 139:170 0.375

    MLB Outrights

    1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 2.9 (28.34%)

    2. New York Yankees: 6.2 (13.26%)

    3. Chicago Cubs: 10 (8.22%)

    4. Atlanta Braves: 12 (6.85%)

    5. Seattle Mariners: 13 (6.32%)

    6. Philadelphia Phillies: 23 (3.57%)

    7. Toronto Blue Jays: 26 (3.16%)

    8. Detroit Tigers: 26 (3.16%)

    9. Texas Rangers: 29 (2.83%)

    10. Milwaukee Brewers: 36 (2.28%)

    11. Cleveland Guardians: 41 (2%)

    12. Tampa Bay Rays: 41 (2%)

    13. Pittsburgh Pirates: 41 (2%)

    14. San Diego Padres: 46 (1.79%)

    15. Baltimore Orioles: 46 (1.79%)

    16. New York Mets: 51 (1.61%)

    17. Boston Red Sox: 51 (1.61%)

    18. Kansas City Royals: 56 (1.47%)

    19. Athletics: 61 (1.35%)

    20. Houston Astros: 67 (1.23%)

    21. Cincinnati Reds: 81 (1.01%)

    22. Arizona Diamondbacks: 101 (0.81%)

    23. St.Louis Cardinals: 101 (0.81%)

    24. Minnesota Twins: 126 (0.65%)

    25. San Francisco Giants: 151 (0.54%)

    26. Miami Marlins: 201 (0.41%)

    27. Los Angeles Angels: 251 (0.33%)

    28. Chicago White Sox: 251 (0.33%)

    29. Washington Nationals: 501 (0.16%)

    30. Colorado Rockies: 1001 (0.08%)

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