Finnish SM-liiga, on Friday,
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On March 6, 2026, HPK Hockey will face off against Kärpät Oulu in a crucial SM-liiga contest at the home arena of HPK. With both teams eager for points, this matchup could be pivotal for their respective campaigns.
HPK enters this game with a recent upturn in form, having secured three victories in their last five matches. This resurgence showcases their tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, making them a formidable opponent on home ice. Conversely, Kärpät is looking to regain momentum after winning just two of their last five encounters. Known for their structured play, they will need to enhance their offensive output to challenge HPK effectively.
The bookmakers have priced HPK as the favorites at odds of 2.02, reflective of their home advantage and current performance. The model predictions suggest a 44.3% probability of a home win, with a predicted scoreline of 3-2 in favor of HPK. However, Kärpät’s resilience and historical performance cannot be overlooked, as they hold a 30.3% chance of an away victory. Overall, this clash promises intensity and could go either way, making it a compelling prospect for fans and bettors alike.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-05T01:52:03+00:00.
| HPK 46.6% |
Draw 24.1% |
Kärpät 29.3% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga Hameenlinna: 0.8%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2.01 | 3.68 | 3.17 | |
 |
1.98 | 4.1 | 3.19 | |
 |
1.91 | 3.75 | 3 | |
 |
2.02 | 3.78 | 3.23 |
Latest Results
| 28.02.26 SaiPa hockey – HPK Hockey – 0:3 27.02.26 HPK Hockey – SaiPa hockey – 1:5 19.02.26 HPK Hockey – KalPa hockey – 2:1 penalties 17.02.26 Vaasan Sport – HPK Hockey – 0:4 14.02.26 HPK Hockey – KooKoo – 2:4 |
04.03.26 Kärpat Oulu – KooKoo – 4:3 penalties 28.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – Tappara hockey – 1:4 20.02.26 Mikkelin Jukurit – Kärpat Oulu – 5:4 18.02.26 KooKoo – Kärpat Oulu – 4:3 17.02.26 Pelicans Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 0:5 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 18.10.25 Kärpat Oulu – HPK Hockey – 1:2 17.10.25 Kärpat Oulu – HPK Hockey – 5:2 22.01.25 Kärpat Oulu – HPK Hockey – 0:3 13.12.24 HPK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 0:4 23.11.24 Kärpat Oulu – HPK Hockey – 4:5 OT |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | WO | LO | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Tappara | 54 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 205:128 | 109 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 55 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 198:139 | 106 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 56 | 29 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 192:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 54 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 183:157 | 98 |
| 5 | Lukko | 55 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 168:141 | 97 |
| 6 | KalPa | 55 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 166:161 | 95 |
| 7 | Ilves | 54 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 164:139 | 93 |
| 8 | Assat | 54 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 150:148 | 85 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 56 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 141:154 | 79 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 54 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 123:140 | 77 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 54 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 124:175 | 70 |
| 12 | TPS Turku | 55 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 130:158 | 68 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 54 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 128:150 | 67 |
| 14 | Karpat | 55 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 162:179 | 62 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 55 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 122:150 | 62 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 56 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 107:196 | 40 |
Finnish SM-liiga Outrights
1. Tappara: 2.46 (35.71%)
2. Ilves Tampere: 4.34 (20.21%)
3. Lukko Rauman: 8.16 (10.75%)
4. Saipa: 13.2 (6.64%)
5. KooKoo: 14 (6.26%)
6. JYP Jyvaskyla: 15.4 (5.69%)
7. Kalpa Kuopio: 19.8 (4.43%)
8. IFK Helsinki: 26.2 (3.35%)
9. Assat Pori: 69.2 (1.27%)
10. Karpat Oulu: 84.2 (1.04%)
11. Kiekko-Espoo: 96.2 (0.91%)
12. Vaasan Sport: 100 (0.88%)
13. Pelicans Lahti: 100.2 (0.88%)
14. TPS Turku: 100.2 (0.88%)
15. Hameenlinna: 110.2 (0.8%)
16. Jukurit: 280.2 (0.31%)
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