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HPK vs TPS predictions, Sep 19, 2026

Finnish SM-liiga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As HPK prepares to host TPS on September 19, 2026, both teams come into this Finnish SM-liiga matchup with contrasting recent forms. HPK has managed to secure victories in only 2 of their last 5 games, suggesting some inconsistency in their performance. This could indicate challenges in their defensive structure or offensive execution, areas that they will need to address if they wish to capitalize on home advantage.

In contrast, TPS has shown a more promising trajectory with 3 wins in their last 5 outings. Their ability to generate offensive pressure while maintaining solid defensive play has been a hallmark of their recent success. This tactical edge could provide TPS the upper hand as they take to the ice in enemy territory.

According to bookmaker odds, HPK is slightly favored at 2.24 compared to TPS’s 2.74, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. The model prediction suggests a 47.5% chance of a home win for HPK, 28.6% for a draw, and a 29.4% probability for an away victory for TPS. Given the tactical strengths and recent form, this matchup promises to be closely contested, with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-17T19:52:02+00:00.

HPK
41.8%
Draw
24.6%
TPS
33.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga Hameenlinna: 2.8% TPS Turku: 2.09%

Watch and Bet HPK – TPS available at: Betsson

Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.27 3.50 2.78
2.14 4.10 2.85 Watch and Bet
2.23 4.00 2.74
2.20 3.40 2.70
2.24 3.87 2.73
2.21 3.70 2.70

Latest Results

15.09.26 KalPa hockey – HPK Hockey – 7:0
08.09.26 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 0:4
04.09.26 HIFK Hockey – HPK Hockey – 5:3
01.09.26 Mikkelin Jukurit – HPK Hockey – 1:4
27.08.26 HPK Hockey – Lukko Hockey – 4:3 penalties
17.09.26 TPS hockey – Tappara hockey – 4:0
15.09.26 TPS hockey – Mikkelin Jukurit – 1:4
09.09.26 Vaasan Sport – TPS hockey – 2:1
05.09.26 TPS hockey – HIFK Hockey – 5:1
01.09.26 TPS hockey – KooKoo – 4:2

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
  • Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
  • HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
  • Recently, TPS has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
  • The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:60 (averaging 1.9:3 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 16:28 goals (averaging 1.6:2.8 per game).
  • Latest Head To Head

    10.02.26 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 3:1
    16.01.26 HPK Hockey – TPS hockey – 3:1
    29.10.25 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 1:0
    09.09.25 HPK Hockey – TPS hockey – 2:3 penalties
    16.08.25 TPS hockey – HPK Hockey – 2:0

    Standings

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Jukurit 6 4 0 0 2 19:14 12
    2 JYP 3 3 0 0 0 14:6 9
    3 Assat 4 3 0 0 1 14:7 9
    4 Pelicans 4 3 0 0 1 12:7 9
    5 Ilves 4 2 1 0 1 11:8 8
    6 Vaasan Sport 6 2 1 0 3 13:21 8
    7 Kiekko-Espoo 4 2 0 1 1 13:7 7
    8 KalPa 4 2 0 0 2 12:7 6
    9 TPS Turku 4 2 0 0 2 11:9 6
    10 SaiPa 2 1 1 0 0 6:3 5
    11 Karpat 3 1 0 1 1 9:9 4
    12 Tappara 2 1 0 0 1 5:6 3
    13 Lukko 4 1 0 0 3 8:11 3
    14 IFK Helsinki 4 1 0 0 3 11:18 3
    15 Hameenlinna 4 1 0 0 3 7:17 3
    16 Jokerit 3 0 0 1 2 8:15 1
    17 KooKoo 3 0 0 0 3 7:15 0

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 3.43 (24.59%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 7.41 (11.38%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 10.21 (8.26%)

    4. JYP Jyvaskyla: 10.21 (8.26%)

    5. IFK Helsinki: 11.06 (7.62%)

    6. Jokerit: 11.63 (7.25%)

    7. Karpat Oulu: 14.67 (5.75%)

    8. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.95 (4.7%)

    9. KooKoo: 18.24 (4.62%)

    10. Saipa: 23.28 (3.62%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 28.17 (2.99%)

    12. Hameenlinna: 30.14 (2.8%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 35.77 (2.36%)

    14. Assat Pori: 35.77 (2.36%)

    15. TPS Turku: 40.34 (2.09%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 116.83 (0.72%)

    17. Jukurit: 134.11 (0.63%)

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