IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio predictions, May 16, 2026

Score, Highlights

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In the upcoming Finnish Veikkausliiga clash, IFK Mariehamn hosts KuPS Kuopio at their home ground on May 16, 2026. Both teams enter the match struggling for form, having only secured one victory in their last five outings. Mariehamn’s recent performances suggest a lack of consistency, as they currently sit lower in the league standings, facing challenges in converting chances into goals.

On the other hand, KuPS Kuopio will seek to capitalize on their slightly stronger overall squad and tactical approach. The away side has a well-structured defense and a midfield that thrives on controlling possession, which could pose significant problems for the home team. Bookmakers have opened the odds at 6.31 for a Mariehamn victory, indicating a lack of confidence in their ability to claim all three points, while KuPS is favored with odds of 1.43.

According to model predictions, there is a 14.1% chance of a home win, a 20.1% likelihood of a draw, and a notable 66.9% probability of an away victory. Despite IFK’s home advantage, KuPS’s tactical strengths and recent form may tilt the scales in their favor, making this an intriguing matchup for fans and bettors alike.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-09T22:52:02+00:00.

Mariehamn 14.6%

Draw 20.9%

KuPS 64.4%

Watch and Bet Mariehamn – KuPS available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	6.31	4.4	1.43	Watch and Bet

Latest Results

02.05.26 IFK Mariehamn – VPS Vaasa – 0:1 28.04.26 Helsingin Palloseura – IFK Mariehamn – 1:2 25.04.26 Inter Turku – IFK Mariehamn – 1:0 18.04.26 IFK Mariehamn – FC Ilves – 2:2 10.04.26 SJK Seinajoki – IFK Mariehamn – 3:0

08.05.26 KuPS Kuopio – SJK Seinajoki – 0:0 02.05.26 AC Oulu – KuPS Kuopio – 2:0 26.04.26 KuPS Kuopio – HJK Helsinki – 1:1 22.04.26 KuPS Kuopio – AC Oulu – 3:2 18.04.26 FF Jaro – KuPS Kuopio – 1:1

Facts

Let’s watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.

Mariehamn is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KuPS‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KuPS is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1:1.9).

Latest Head To Head

18.06.25 IFK Mariehamn – KuPS Kuopio – 1:0 23.04.25 KuPS Kuopio – IFK Mariehamn – 4:1 25.08.24 KuPS Kuopio – IFK Mariehamn – 3:0 16.06.24 IFK Mariehamn – KuPS Kuopio – 1:3 13.04.24 IFK Mariehamn – KuPS Kuopio – 2:2

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	7	4	2	1	8:4	4	14
2	AC Oulu	7	4	0	3	12:7	5	12
3	TPS	6	3	3	0	9:5	4	12
4	KuPS	7	3	3	1	9:7	2	12
5	HJK	7	3	2	2	9:4	5	11
6	VPS	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
7	SJK	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
8	Lahti	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
9	Ilves	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5
10	Gnistan	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5
11	Jaro	6	0	4	2	4:7	-3	4
12	Mariehamn	5	0	2	3	3:8	-5	2

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