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Ilves vs HPK predictions, Mar 10, 2026

Finnish SM-liiga, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As Ilves prepares to host HPK in a key SM-liiga matchup on March 10, 2026, both teams come into the game with encouraging recent form. Ilves has secured victories in 3 of their last 5 outings, showcasing a solid home performance that could play to their advantage. Tactical discipline and offensive cohesion have been pivotal for Ilves, enabling them to capitalize on scoring chances in tight games.

In contrast, HPK enters the match with a stronger record, having won 4 of their last 5 matches. Their recent form suggests an effective blend of speed and physicality, allowing them to pressure opponents and disrupt their rhythm. The away team’s capability to adapt to different game situations could prove beneficial against a determined Ilves side.

Bookmakers have set Ilves as the favorites with odds of 1.74, reflecting a 55.4% probability of a home win according to model predictions. However, the uncertainty of a draw stands at 23.9%, indicating a potentially competitive game. With both teams possessing the tools to succeed, this matchup promises to be closely contested. Ultimately, while Ilves may have the edge on home ice, HPK’s current form cannot be overlooked, making a balanced contest likely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-07T23:52:03+00:00.

Ilves
53.7%
Draw
23.2%
HPK
23%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga Hameenlinna: 0.77%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.72 3.81 4.14
1.74 4.3 3.9
1.75 3.93 4.1

Latest Results

07.03.26 TPS hockey – Ilves hockey – 1:4
06.03.26 Ilves hockey – Tappara hockey – 4:3 OT
28.02.26 KooKoo – Ilves hockey – 5:1
25.02.26 Pelicans Hockey – Ilves hockey – 2:1
21.02.26 KalPa hockey – Ilves hockey – 3:4
07.03.26 HPK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 6:3
06.03.26 HPK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2 OT
28.02.26 SaiPa hockey – HPK Hockey – 0:3
27.02.26 HPK Hockey – SaiPa hockey – 1:5
19.02.26 HPK Hockey – KalPa hockey – 2:1 penalties

Facts

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
  • Ilves has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • HPK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:51. (average 3.2:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 3:2.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    26.12.25 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 3:8
    04.12.25 Ilves hockey – HPK Hockey – 3:2
    15.11.25 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 2:3 OT
    27.02.25 Ilves hockey – HPK Hockey – 0:4
    14.02.25 HPK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 2:3

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 56 34 2 5 15 211:136 111
    2 SaiPa 57 30 6 7 14 196:150 109
    3 KooKoo 57 30 7 2 18 201:148 106
    4 JYP 56 25 11 5 15 189:161 102
    5 Lukko 56 27 8 3 18 172:143 100
    6 KalPa 57 27 7 5 18 173:166 100
    7 Ilves 56 26 8 4 18 172:143 98
    8 Assat 56 24 6 4 22 155:152 88
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 56 20 4 11 21 141:154 79
    10 Pelicans 56 18 8 7 23 126:148 77
    11 IFK Helsinki 56 21 4 5 26 133:177 76
    12 Hameenlinna 56 16 8 8 24 137:155 72
    13 TPS Turku 56 15 7 9 25 131:162 68
    14 Jukurit 57 15 6 7 29 127:156 64
    15 Karpat 57 15 6 6 30 167:188 63
    16 Vaasan Sport 57 9 1 11 36 107:199 40

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.43 (35.78%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.35 (19.94%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 8.4 (10.33%)

    4. Saipa: 12.03 (7.21%)

    5. KooKoo: 13 (6.67%)

    6. JYP Jyvaskyla: 14.78 (5.87%)

    7. Kalpa Kuopio: 20.13 (4.31%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 27 (3.21%)

    9. Assat Pori: 76.5 (1.13%)

    10. Karpat Oulu: 87.75 (0.99%)

    11. Kiekko-Espoo: 95.25 (0.91%)

    12. Vaasan Sport: 100 (0.87%)

    13. Pelicans Lahti: 100.25 (0.87%)

    14. TPS Turku: 100.25 (0.87%)

    15. Hameenlinna: 112.75 (0.77%)

    16. Jukurit: 325.25 (0.27%)

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