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Italy vs Croatia predictions, Jan 21, 2026

European Championship Water Polo, on Wednesday,

Score, Highlights

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In an anticipated matchup between Italy and Croatia in the European Championship Water Polo, both teams have been in good form recently. Italy, playing at home, has won four of their last five matches, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. On the other hand, Croatia has also been impressive, winning four of their last five matches as well.

The bookmakers’ odds slightly favor Croatia (1.61) over Italy (3.04), indicating a tough battle between the two sides. Our model predicts a 31.5% chance of a home win, 13.4% chance of a draw, and a 54.6% chance of an away win by Croatia.

Tactically, both teams have shown solid defensive capabilities and an effective offense, making it difficult to predict the outcome. With a predicted final score of 12-14 in favor of Croatia, it is clear that this match will be a closely contested game with both teams having a chance to come out on top. Fans can expect an exciting and intense battle between these two talented water polo teams.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-19T23:52:05+00:00.

Italy
30.2%
Draw
12.8%
Croatia
57%

Prediction (the most likely score): 12:14

Outrights of European Championship Water Polo Croatia: 7.99% Italy: 2.28%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
3.22 6.84 1.6
3.18 6.55 1.59
2.95 6.8 1.63
2.8 8.5 1.61

Latest Results

19.01.26 Greece water polo – Italy water polo – 15:13
17.01.26 Georgia water polo – Italy water polo – 14:16
15.01.26 Romania water polo – Italy water polo – 6:20
13.01.26 Slovakia water polo – Italy water polo – 12:17
11.01.26 Turkey water polo – Italy water polo – 8:19
19.01.26 Croatia water polo – Turkey water polo – 22:9
17.01.26 Croatia water polo – Romania water polo – 17:9
15.01.26 Greece water polo – Croatia water polo – 11:10
13.01.26 Georgia water polo – Croatia water polo – 7:18
11.01.26 Slovenia water polo – Croatia water polo – 4:20

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.
  • Now, both teams are in good form.
  • Croatia might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 196:199. (average 9.8:10).

    Latest Head To Head

    30.07.24 Croatia water polo – Italy water polo – 11:14
    06.07.24 Italy water polo – Croatia water polo – 8:9
    17.02.24 Italy water polo – Croatia water polo – 13:14 penalties
    11.03.23 Italy water polo – Croatia water polo – 14:13
    08.09.22 Italy water polo – Croatia water polo – 10:11

    Standings

    Preliminary

    Group A

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Hungary 3 3 0 0 49:23 9
    2 Montenegro 3 2 0 1 44:37 6
    3 France 3 1 0 2 41:41 3
    4 Malta 3 0 0 3 31:64 0

    Group B

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Greece 3 3 0 0 54:24 9
    2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 48:22 6
    3 Georgia 3 1 0 2 35:49 3
    4 Slovenia 3 0 0 3 23:65 0

    Group C

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Serbia 3 2 0 0 44:33 8
    2 Spain 3 2 0 1 53:22 6
    3 Netherlands 3 1 0 1 39:38 4
    4 Israel 3 0 0 3 23:66 0

    Group D

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Italy 3 3 0 0 56:26 9
    2 Romania 3 2 0 1 42:47 6
    3 Turkey 3 1 0 2 44:55 3
    4 Slovakia 3 0 0 3 36:50 0

    European Championship Water Polo Outrights

    1. Serbia: 2.75 (29.05%)

    2. Greece: 2.75 (29.05%)

    3. Spain: 3.5 (22.83%)

    4. Croatia: 10 (7.99%)

    5. Hungary: 10 (7.99%)

    6. Italy: 35 (2.28%)

    7. Romania: 100 (0.8%)

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