Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno-Busta predictions, Jan 17, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

8 months ago

ATP Australian Open, on Saturday, 7:00 pm ET

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In an intriguing first-round matchup at the ATP Australian Open, Jakub Mensik will face off against Pablo Carreno-Busta on January 17, 2026. Mensik heads into this contest with a slight edge, having secured victories in 2 of his last 5 matches. His recent performances suggest a player capable of adapting to the pressures of playing at home, where he will undoubtedly have the backing of local supporters.

On the other hand, Carreno-Busta’s form has been less than stellar, with only 1 win in his last 5 outings. This trend raises questions around his current competitive edge and ability to perform under the Australian sun against a motivated opponent.

Bookmakers favor Mensik significantly, offering odds of 1.21 for a home victory compared to 4.36 for the Spaniard. The predicted final score of 3:0 reflects this expectation, underscoring the belief in Mensik’s tactical advantages, particularly his aggressive baseline play and ability to dictate rallies from the start.

While the odds are heavily tilted, tennis can be unpredictable. Both players will look to exploit any perceived weaknesses, making this a compelling encounter. A victory for either player is possible, but trends favor Mensik heading into this match.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-15T10:52:02+00:00.

Mensik
75.4%

Carreno Busta
24.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:0

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Watch and Bet Mensik – Carreno Busta available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1	2
1.25	3.95
1.26	3.95	Watch and Bet
1.26	3.67
1.25	3.6

Latest Results

14.01.26 Hamad Medjedovic – Jakub Mensik – 1:2
08.01.26 Zizou Bergs – Jakub Mensik – 2:0
06.01.26 Alex De Minaur – Jakub Mensik – 2:0
04.01.26 Jakub Mensik – Casper Ruud – 2:0
27.12.25 Jack Draper – Jakub Mensik – Canceled

09.01.26 Adrian Mannarino – Pablo Carreno-Busta – Canceled
09.01.26 Vit Kopriva – Pablo Carreno-Busta – 2:1
06.01.26 Grigor Dimitrov – Pablo Carreno-Busta – 2:0
03.01.26 Arthur Cazaux – Pablo Carreno-Busta – Cazaux A. retired
02.01.26 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Mattia Bellucci – 2:1

Facts

Mensik is ranked ATP: 18. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 92.

Mensik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carreno Busta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Latest Head To Head

20.11.25 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Jakub Mensik – 0:2
07.01.25 Pablo Carreno-Busta – Jakub Mensik – 1:2

Standings

Draw

Singles – Qualification

Quarter-finals

1	Dodig M. (Alt)	Hassan B.	1 : 2
2	Faria J.	Mikrut L.	2 : 0
3	Reis Da Silva J.	Rocha H.	0 : 2
4	Sekulic P. (WC)	Trungelliti M. (18)	1 : 2
5	Burruchaga R. A. (2)	Peniston R.	2 : 0
6	Kolar Z.	Gea A.	0 : 2
7	Harris L.	Cina F.	1 : 2
8	Pacheco Mendez R.	Vallejo D. (30)	0 : 2
9	Basilashvili N. (3)	Bueno G.	0 : 2
10	Herbert P.	Den Ouden G.	2 : 1
11	Marinkov P. (WC)	McCabe J.	0 : 2
12	Watanuki Y.	Budkov Kjaer N. (23)	1 : 2
13	Barrios Vera T. (4)	Gueymard Wayenburg S.	2 : 0
14	Hewitt C. (WC)	Zheng M.	0 : 2
15	Crawford O.	Merida Aguilar D.	1 : 2
16	Piros Z.	Klein L. (28)	0 : 2
17	Holt B. (5)	Neumayer L.	2 : 1
18	Zeppieri G.	Added D.	2 : 0
19	Sakamoto R.	Evans D.	2 : 0
20	Pavlovic L.	Smith C. (32)	0 : 2
21	McDonald M. (6)	Popko D.	2 : 1
22	Galan D. E. (RET.)	Grenier H.	0 : 1
23	Sachko V.	Durasovic V. (Alt)	2 : 0
24	Bouzige M. (WC)	Draxl L. (20)	0 : 2
25	Blockx A. (7)	Cecchinato M.	2 : 0
26	Shimabukuro S.	Molcan A.	1 : 2
27	Kubler J.	Mayot H.	2 : 0
28	Moreno De Alboran N.	Gaubas V. (17)	0 : 2
29	Nishioka Y. (8)	Fatic N.	2 : 0
30	Engel J.	Loffhagen G.	0 : 2
31	Galarneau A.	Basavareddy N.	0 : 2
32	Holmgren A.	Ofner S. (19)	0 : 2
33	Moller E. (9)	Polmans M. (WC)	2 : 0
34	Bolt A.	Ymer E.	0 : 2
35	Llamas Ruiz P.	Bernet H. (WC)	2 : 1
36	Wong C.	Blanchet U. (31)	2 : 0
37	Tseng C. H. (10)	Landaluce M.	0 : 2
38	Ellis B. (WC)	Travaglia S.	1 : 2
39	Kym J.	Prado Angelo J. C.	2 : 0
40	Sweeny D.	Pellegrino A. (26)	2 : 1
41	Choinski J. (11)	Riedi L.	0 : 2
42	Coppejans K.	Jasika O. (Alt)	2 : 0
43	Ficovich J. P.	Rodionov J.	0 : 2
44	Habib H.	Svajda Z. (29)	0 : 2
45	Virtanen O. (12)	Mejia N.	1 : 2
46	Wu Y.	Krueger M.	2 : 0
47	Boyer T.	Barrena A.	2 : 1
48	Lajal M.	Passaro F. (27)	0 : 2
49	Lajovic D. (13)	Diaz Acosta F.	2 : 1
50	Cassone M.	Hsu Y. H.	2 : 1
51	Guillen Meza A.	Seyboth Wild T.	0 : 2
52	Giustino L.	Maestrelli F. (24)	0 : 2
53	Prizmic D. (14)	Olivieri G. A.	2 : 0
54	Heide G.	Clarke J.	2 : 0
55	Fery A.	Winter E. (WC)	2 : 0
56	Tomic B.	Dellien H. (25)	2 : 0
57	Harris B. (15)	Rodesch C.	0 : 2
58	Tu L. (WC)	Jodar R.	0 : 2
59	Glinka D.	Tabur C.	2 : 1
60	van Assche L.	Echargui M. (22)	2 : 0
61	Carballes Baena R. (16)	Bouquier A.	2 : 0
62	Pinnington Jones J.	Bailly G. A.	0 : 2
63	Damm M.	Onclin G.	2 : 1
64	Droguet T.	Jarry N. (21)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Hassan B.	Faria J.	0 : 2
2	Rocha H.	Trungelliti M. (18)	1 : 2
3	Burruchaga R. A. (2)	Gea A.	0 : 2
4	Cina F.	Vallejo D. (30)	1 : 2
5	Bueno G.	Herbert P.	0 : 2
6	McCabe J.	Budkov Kjaer N. (23)	1 : 2
7	Barrios Vera T. (4)	Zheng M.	1 : 2
8	Merida Aguilar D.	Klein L. (28)	1 : 2
9	Holt B. (5)	Zeppieri G.	1 : 2
10	Sakamoto R.	Smith C. (32)	2 : 0
11	McDonald M. (6)	Grenier H.	2 : 0
12	Sachko V.	Draxl L. (20)	1 : 2
13	Blockx A. (7)	Molcan A.	2 : 0
14	Kubler J.	Gaubas V. (17)	2 : 0
15	Nishioka Y. (RET.) (8)	Loffhagen G.	0 : 1
16	Basavareddy N.	Ofner S. (19)	2 : 1
17	Moller E. (9)	Ymer E.	1 : 2
18	Llamas Ruiz P.	Wong C.	0 : 2
19	Landaluce M.	Travaglia S.	1 : 2
20	Kym J.	Sweeny D.	0 : 2
21	Riedi L.	Coppejans K.	1 : 2
22	Rodionov J.	Svajda Z. (29)	0 : 2
23	Mejia N.	Wu Y.	0 : 2
24	Boyer T.	Passaro F. (27)	2 : 1
25	Lajovic D. (13)	Cassone M.	2 : 0
26	Seyboth Wild T.	Maestrelli F. (24)	0 : 2
27	Prizmic D. (14)	Heide G.	2 : 0
28	Fery A.	Tomic B.	2 : 0
29	Rodesch C.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
30	Glinka D.	van Assche L.	0 : 2
31	Carballes Baena R. (16)	Bailly G. A.	1 : 2
32	Damm M.	Droguet T.	2 : 0

Final

1	Faria J.	Trungelliti M. (18)	2 : 0
2	Gea A.	Vallejo D. (30)	2 : 0
3	Herbert P.	Budkov Kjaer N. (23)	0 : 2
4	Zheng M.	Klein L. (28)	2 : 1
5	Zeppieri G.	Sakamoto R.	0 : 2
6	McDonald M. (6)	Draxl L. (20)	1 : 2
7	Blockx A. (RET.) (7)	Kubler J.	1 : 1
8	Loffhagen G.	Basavareddy N.	1 : 2
9	Ymer E.	Wong C.	2 : 1
10	Travaglia S.	Sweeny D.	0 : 2
11	Coppejans K.	Svajda Z. (29)	0 : 2
12	Wu Y.	Boyer T.	2 : 0
13	Lajovic D. (13)	Maestrelli F. (24)	1 : 2
14	Prizmic D. (14)	Fery A.	0 : 2
15	Jodar R.	van Assche L.	2 : 1
16	Bailly G. A.	Damm M.	0 : 2

ATP Australian Open Outrights

1. Sinner Jannik: 1.9 (23.9%)

2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.49 (18.28%)

3. Djokovic Novak: 11.67 (3.9%)

4. Zverev Alexander: 15 (3.03%)

5. Medvedev Daniil: 19.83 (2.29%)

6. Fritz Taylor: 30.5 (1.49%)

7. Fonseca Joao: 36 (1.26%)

8. Shelton Ben: 42.33 (1.07%)

9. De Minaur Alex: 44 (1.03%)

10. Rune Holger: 45 (1.01%)

11. Bublik Alexander: 53.33 (0.85%)

12. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 61.33 (0.74%)

13. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 62 (0.73%)

14. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 62 (0.73%)

15. Mensik Jakub: 64.67 (0.7%)

16. Rublev Andrey: 67 (0.68%)

17. Korda Sebastian: 74.67 (0.61%)

18. Hurkacz Hubert: 74.67 (0.61%)

19. Kyrgios Nick: 80 (0.57%)

20. Musetti Lorenzo: 87 (0.52%)

21. Dimitrov Grigor: 90.33 (0.5%)

22. Ruud Casper: 90.33 (0.5%)

23. Paul Tommy: 90.33 (0.5%)

24. Berrettini Matteo: 98.67 (0.46%)

25. Ruusuvuori Emil: 100 (0.45%)

26. Draxl Liam: 100 (0.45%)

27. Moller Elmer: 100 (0.45%)

28. Fery Arthur: 100 (0.45%)

29. Ymer Elias: 100 (0.45%)

30. Sakamoto Rei: 100 (0.45%)

31. Maestrelli Francesco: 100 (0.45%)

32. Kubler Jason: 100 (0.45%)

33. Wu Yibing: 100 (0.45%)

34. Damm Martin (2003): 100 (0.45%)

35. Zheng Michael: 100 (0.45%)

36. Jodar Rafael: 100 (0.45%)

37. Svajda Zachary: 100 (0.45%)

38. Sweeny Dane: 100 (0.45%)

39. Michelsen Alex: 103.67 (0.44%)

40. Tien Learner: 108.67 (0.42%)

41. Sonego Lorenzo: 108.67 (0.42%)

42. Khachanov Karen: 108.67 (0.42%)

43. Humbert Ugo: 108.67 (0.42%)

44. Tiafoe Frances: 108.67 (0.42%)

45. Shapovalov Denis: 108.67 (0.42%)

46. Lehecka Jiri: 108.67 (0.42%)

47. Machac Tomas: 108.67 (0.42%)

48. Cobolli Flavio: 108.67 (0.42%)

49. Kokkinakis Thanasi: 110.2 (0.41%)

50. Cerundolo Francisco: 117 (0.39%)

51. Zhang Zhizhen: 117 (0.39%)

52. Norrie Cameron: 117 (0.39%)

53. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 117 (0.39%)

54. Popyrin Alexei: 117 (0.39%)

55. Moutet Corentin: 120.2 (0.38%)

56. Shang Juncheng: 120.2 (0.38%)

57. Seyboth Wild Thiago: 120.2 (0.38%)

58. Borges Nuno: 120.2 (0.38%)

59. Cazaux Arthur: 125.33 (0.36%)

60. Thompson Jordan: 125.33 (0.36%)

61. Rinderknech Arthur: 125.33 (0.36%)

62. Diallo Gabriel: 133.67 (0.34%)

63. Altmaier Daniel: 133.67 (0.34%)

64. Monfils Gael: 133.67 (0.34%)

65. Fearnley Jacob: 142 (0.32%)

66. Royer Valentin: 142 (0.32%)

67. Vacherot Valentin: 142 (0.32%)

68. Munar Jaume: 142 (0.32%)

69. Griekspoor Tallon: 142 (0.32%)

70. Comesana Francisco: 150.33 (0.3%)

71. Giron Marcos: 150.33 (0.3%)

72. Bonzi Benjamin: 150.33 (0.3%)

73. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 150.33 (0.3%)

74. Struff Jan-Lennard: 150.33 (0.3%)

75. Arnaldi Matteo: 150.33 (0.3%)

76. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 150.33 (0.3%)

77. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 150.33 (0.3%)

78. Kecmanovic Miomir: 150.33 (0.3%)

79. Tabilo Alejandro: 150.33 (0.3%)

80. Vukic Aleksandar: 150.33 (0.3%)

81. Muller Alexandre: 150.33 (0.3%)

82. Medjedovic Hamad: 150.33 (0.3%)

83. Marozsan Fabian: 150.33 (0.3%)

84. Brooksby Jenson: 153.67 (0.3%)

85. Collignon Raphael: 153.67 (0.3%)

86. Buse Ignacio: 166.83 (0.27%)

87. Opelka Reilly: 175.33 (0.26%)

88. Misolic Filip: 180.2 (0.25%)

89. Budkov Kjaer Nicolai: 180.2 (0.25%)

90. Gea Arthur: 180.2 (0.25%)

91. Prizmic Dino: 180.2 (0.25%)

92. Darderi Luciano: 183.67 (0.25%)

93. Bergs Zizou: 183.67 (0.25%)

94. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 183.67 (0.25%)

95. Djere Laslo: 183.67 (0.25%)

96. Nardi Luca: 183.67 (0.25%)

97. Halys Quentin: 183.67 (0.25%)

98. Shevchenko Alexander: 183.67 (0.25%)

99. Baez Sebastian: 183.67 (0.25%)

100. Gaston Hugo: 183.67 (0.25%)

101. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 183.67 (0.25%)

102. Navone Mariano: 183.67 (0.25%)

103. Hijikata Rinky: 183.67 (0.25%)

104. Dzumhur Damir: 183.67 (0.25%)

105. Majchrzak Kamil: 183.67 (0.25%)

106. Wawrinka Stan: 183.67 (0.25%)

107. Cilic Marin: 200.33 (0.23%)

108. Mannarino Adrian: 200.33 (0.23%)

109. Spizzirri Eliot: 200.33 (0.23%)

110. O’Connell Christopher: 200.33 (0.23%)

111. Hanfmann Yannick: 200.33 (0.23%)

112. Kovacevic Aleksandar: 233.67 (0.19%)

113. De Jong Jesper: 233.67 (0.19%)

114. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.19%)

115. Mochizuki Shintaro: 233.67 (0.19%)

116. Bellucci Mattia: 233.67 (0.19%)

117. Nava Emilio: 233.67 (0.19%)

118. Taberner Carlos: 233.67 (0.19%)

119. Svrcina Dalibor: 233.67 (0.19%)

120. Duckworth James: 233.67 (0.19%)

121. Jacquet Kyrian: 233.67 (0.19%)

122. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 233.67 (0.19%)

123. Atmane Terence: 233.67 (0.19%)

124. Kypson Patrick: 233.67 (0.19%)

125. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 233.67 (0.19%)

126. Schoolkate Tristan: 233.67 (0.19%)

127. Quinn Ethan: 233.67 (0.19%)

128. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.19%)

129. Garin Cristian: 233.67 (0.19%)

130. Nakashima Brandon: 267 (0.17%)

131. Faria Jaime: 280.2 (0.16%)

132. Basavareddy Nishesh: 280.2 (0.16%)

133. Nishikori Kei: 283.67 (0.16%)

134. Fucsovics Marton: 283.67 (0.16%)

135. Martinez Pedro: 317 (0.14%)

136. Bu Yunchaokete: 317 (0.14%)

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