ATP Madrid, on Friday,
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On April 24, 2026, Jan-Lennard Struff will face Alex Michelsen in a highly anticipated match at the ATP Madrid tournament. Struff, competing on home soil, enters with a recent record of 1 win in his last 5 matches. Despite his experience and support from local fans, he has struggled to find form in recent competitions.
Alex Michelsen, equally in need of a boost, has also recorded only 1 victory in his last 5 encounters. While both players have identical recent performances, Michelsen’s odds of 1.61 suggest he’s favored to secure the win, reflecting a predicted probability of 53.6%. Struff’s home advantage offers a degree of optimism among supporters, though bookmakers give him a probability of 46.4% for a win.
Tactically, both players bring different strengths to the court; Struff’s aggressive baseline play can pressure opponents but may be countered effectively by Michelsen’s consistency and defensive skills. Given their current forms, this matchup promises to be closely contested, though Michelsen appears slightly more likely to prevail. As always in tennis, unexpected outcomes can arise, making this encounter one to watch closely.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-22T16:52:02+00:00.
| Struff 43.3% |
Michelsen 56.7% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 1.68 | |||
| 2.45 | 1.61 | |||
| 2 | 1.79 |
Latest Results
| 22.04.26 Alexandre Muller – Jan-Lennard Struff – 0:2 13.04.26 Jan-Lennard Struff – Francisco Cerundolo – Canceled 04.04.26 Jan-Lennard Struff – Nikoloz Basilashvili – 0:2 19.03.26 Darwin Blanch – Jan-Lennard Struff – 2:1 10.03.26 James Duckworth – Jan-Lennard Struff – 2:1 |
22.04.26 Alex Michelsen – Federico Cina – Canceled 13.04.26 Arthur Rinderknech – Alex Michelsen – 2:0 02.04.26 Alex Michelsen – Alexei Popyrin – 1:2 31.03.26 Alex Michelsen – Chak Lam Coleman Wong – 2:0 24.03.26 Alex Michelsen – Jannik Sinner – 0:2 |
Facts
Standings
Draw
Singles – Main
1/64-finals
| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q/LL) | Droguet T. (Q/LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q/LL) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q/LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q/LL) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q/LL) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (Q/LL) | Tsitsipas S. | |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (Q/LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q/LL) | |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q/LL) | Baez S. | |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q/LL) | Opelka R. | |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q/LL) | Dimitrov G. | |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q/LL) | |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) |
1/32-finals
| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | TBD #34 | |
| 18 | TBD #35 | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | TBD #38 | |
| 20 | TBD #39 | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | TBD #42 | |
| 22 | TBD #43 | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | TBD #46 | |
| 24 | TBD #47 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | TBD #50 | |
| 26 | TBD #51 | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | TBD #54 | |
| 28 | TBD #55 | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | TBD #58 | |
| 30 | TBD #59 | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | TBD #62 | |
| 32 | TBD #63 | Zverev A. (2) |
1/16-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |
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