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Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin predictions, May 11, 2026

ATP Roma, on Monday,

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In an exciting clash at the ATP Roma on May 11, 2026, Jannik Sinner will host Alexei Popyrin in a highly anticipated matchup. The atmosphere at home presents a distinct advantage for Sinner, whose recent form has been nothing short of stellar, having won all of his last five matches. Sinner’s aggressive baseline play, combined with his powerful serve, has allowed him to dictate rallies effectively and dominate opponents, placing him among the favorites in this contest.

Conversely, Alexei Popyrin enters the match with a less robust record, securing victory in only two of his last five encounters. While Popyrin possesses a strong serve and solid groundstrokes, his consistency has been questioned in recent performances. He will need to elevate his game significantly to challenge a confident Sinner on his home turf.

With bookmakers favoring Sinner at odds of 1.03 compared to Popyrin’s 12.67, the expectation is clearly set. However, tennis can be unpredictable, and should Popyrin find his rhythm and exploit any potential lapses from Sinner, an upset could be on the cards. As the match approaches, both players will be keenly aware that anything can happen on the day.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-09T22:52:02+00:00.

Sinner
92.5%
Popyrin
7.5%

Watch and Bet Sinner – Popyrin available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.03 13.5 Watch and Bet
1.03 11.75

Latest Results

09.05.26 Jannik Sinner – Sebastian Ofner – 2:0
03.05.26 Jannik Sinner – Alexander Zverev – 2:0
01.05.26 Jannik Sinner – Arthur Fils – 2:0
29.04.26 Jannik Sinner – Rafael Jodar – 2:0
28.04.26 Jannik Sinner – Cameron Norrie – 2:0
09.05.26 Alexei Popyrin – Jakub Mensik – 2:1
07.05.26 Alexei Popyrin – Matteo Berrettini – 2:0
23.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Martin Damm – 0:2
07.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Casper Ruud – 0:2
03.04.26 Alexei Popyrin – Francis Tiafoe – 1:2

Facts

  • Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 60.
  • Sinner is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Popyrin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.02.26 Alexei Popyrin – Jannik Sinner – 0:2
    28.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Alexei Popyrin – 3:0
    05.05.21 Alexei Popyrin – Jannik Sinner – 2:0

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Ofner S. Michelsen A. 2 : 0
    3 Popyrin A. Berrettini M. 2 : 0
    4 Bye Mensik J. (26)
    5 Tiafoe F. (20) Bye
    6 Sonego L. Buse I. 0 : 2
    7 Pellegrino A. (Q) Nardi L. (WC) 2 : 1
    8 Bye Fils A. (15)
    9 Rublev A. (12) Bye
    10 Svrcina D. (Q) Kecmanovic M. 0 : 2
    11 Garin C. (Q) Cerundolo J. M. 2 : 0
    12 Bye Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
    13 Nakashima B. (30) Bye
    14 Bautista-Agut R. Maestrelli F. (WC) 2 : 0
    15 Basilashvili N. (Q) Merida Aguilar D. (Q) 2 : 1
    16 Bye Shelton B. (5)
    17 Auger-Aliassime F. (4) Bye
    18 Shapovalov D. Navone M. 0 : 2
    19 Medjedovic H. Royer V. 2 : 0
    20 Bye Fonseca J. (27)
    21 Etcheverry T. M. (24) Bye
    22 Burruchaga R. A. Bellucci M. 0 : 2
    23 Giron M. Cilic M. 0 : 2
    24 Bye Landaluce M. (LL)
    25 Cobolli F. (10) Bye
    26 Bergs Z. Atmane T. 0 : 2
    27 Tirante T. A. Cadenasso G. (WC) 2 : 1
    28 Bye Norrie C. (17)
    29 Moutet C. (28) Bye
    30 Quinn E. Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) 1 : 2
    31 Tsitsipas S. Machac T. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Medvedev D. (7)
    33 Musetti L. (8) Bye
    34 Fearnley J. (Q) Mpetshi Perricard G. 1 : 2
    35 Carreno-Busta P. (Q) Tabilo A. 0 : 2
    36 Bye Cerundolo F. (25)
    37 Ruud C. (23) Bye
    38 Trungelliti M. Svajda Z. 1 : 2
    39 Struff J-L. Comesana F. (Q) 2 : 0
    40 Bye Lehecka J. (11)
    41 Khachanov K. (13) Bye
    42 Ugo Carabelli C. Shevchenko A. 1 : 2
    43 Muller A. Van De Zandschulp B. 0 : 2
    44 Bye Kovacevic A. (LL)
    45 Humbert U. (31) Bye
    46 Marozsan F. Kopriva V. 0 : 2
    47 Fucsovics M. Prizmic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    48 Bye Djokovic N. (3)
    49 De Minaur A. (6) Bye
    50 Arnaldi M. (WC) Munar J. 2 : 1
    51 De Jong J. (Q) Borges N. 0 : 2
    52 Bye Jodar R. (32)
    53 Tien L. (19) Bye
    54 Dzumhur D. Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    55 Brooksby J. Baez S. 0 : 2
    56 Bye Bublik A. (9)
    57 Paul T. (16) Bye
    58 Vukic A. Kypson P. (Q) 2 : 1
    59 Hurkacz H. Hanfmann Y. 1 : 2
    60 Bye Darderi L. (18)
    61 Griekspoor T. (29) Bye
    62 Cina F. (WC) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    63 Zhang Z. (PR) Altmaier D. 1 : 2
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Ofner S. 2 : 0
    2 Popyrin A. Mensik J. (26) 2 : 1
    3 Tiafoe F. (20) Buse I. 2 : 1
    4 Pellegrino A. Fils A. (RET.) (15) 0 : 0
    5 Rublev A. (12) Kecmanovic M. 2 : 0
    6 Garin C. Davidovich Fokina A. (21) 0 : 2
    7 Nakashima B. (30) Bautista-Agut R. 2 : 0
    8 Basilashvili N. Shelton B. (5) 2 : 1
    9 Auger-Aliassime F. (4) Navone M. 0 : 2
    10 Medjedovic H. Fonseca J. (27) 2 : 1
    11 Etcheverry T. M. (24) Bellucci M. 1 : 2
    12 Cilic M. Landaluce M. (LL) 0 : 2
    13 Cobolli F. (10) Atmane T. 2 : 0
    14 Tirante T. A. Norrie C. (17) 2 : 0
    15 Moutet C. (28) Llamas Ruiz P. 1 : 2
    16 Machac T. Medvedev D. (WO.) (7)
    17 Musetti L. (8) Mpetshi Perricard G. 2 : 0
    18 Tabilo A. Cerundolo F. (25) 0 : 2
    19 Ruud C. (23) Svajda Z. 2 : 0
    20 Struff J-L. Lehecka J. (11) 0 : 2
    21 Khachanov K. (13) Shevchenko A. 2 : 0
    22 Van De Zandschulp B. Kovacevic A. 2 : 1
    23 Humbert U. (31) Kopriva V. 2 : 0
    24 Prizmic D. Djokovic N. (3) 2 : 1
    25 De Minaur A. (6) Arnaldi M. 1 : 2
    26 Borges N. Jodar R. (32) 0 : 2
    27 Tien L. (19) Dzumhur D. 2 : 0
    28 Baez S. Bublik A. (9) 0 : 2
    29 Paul T. (16) Vukic A. 2 : 0
    30 Hanfmann Y. Darderi L. (18) 0 : 2
    31 Griekspoor T. (29) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    32 Altmaier D. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Popyrin A.
    2 Tiafoe F. (20) Pellegrino A.
    3 Rublev A. (12) Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
    4 Nakashima B. (30) Basilashvili N.
    5 Navone M. Medjedovic H.
    6 Bellucci M. Landaluce M.
    7 Cobolli F. (10) Tirante T. A.
    8 Llamas Ruiz P. Medvedev D. (7)
    9 Musetti L. (8) Cerundolo F. (25)
    10 Ruud C. (23) Lehecka J. (11)
    11 Khachanov K. (13) Van De Zandschulp B.
    12 Humbert U. (31) Prizmic D.
    13 Arnaldi M. Jodar R. (32)
    14 Tien L. (19) Bublik A. (9)
    15 Paul T. (16) Darderi L. (18)
    16 Blockx A. Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Roma Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.28 (52.54%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 7.5 (8.98%)

    3. Jodar Rafael: 12.6 (5.35%)

    4. Ruud Casper: 17.2 (3.92%)

    5. Musetti Lorenzo: 18.8 (3.58%)

    6. Medvedev Daniil: 24.6 (2.74%)

    7. Cerundolo Francisco: 38.8 (1.74%)

    8. Cobolli Flavio: 48.2 (1.4%)

    9. Paul Tommy: 50.2 (1.34%)

    10. Lehecka Jiri: 50.2 (1.34%)

    11. Blockx Alexander: 53.2 (1.27%)

    12. Medjedovic Hamad: 58.2 (1.16%)

    13. Rublev Andrey: 62.2 (1.08%)

    14. Bublik Alexander: 68.2 (0.99%)

    15. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 68.2 (0.99%)

    16. Tiafoe Frances: 85.2 (0.79%)

    17. Popyrin Alexei: 85.4 (0.79%)

    18. Khachanov Karen: 88.2 (0.76%)

    19. Navone Mariano: 88.2 (0.76%)

    20. Prizmic Dino: 90.2 (0.75%)

    21. Bellucci Mattia: 96.2 (0.7%)

    22. Darderi Luciano: 97.2 (0.69%)

    23. Landaluce Martin: 100 (0.67%)

    24. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 100.2 (0.67%)

    25. Pellegrino Andrea: 100.2 (0.67%)

    26. Humbert Ugo: 105.2 (0.64%)

    27. Tien Learner: 105.2 (0.64%)

    28. Arnaldi Matteo: 110.2 (0.61%)

    29. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 110.2 (0.61%)

    30. Nakashima Brandon: 110.2 (0.61%)

    31. Llamas Ruiz Pablo: 110.2 (0.61%)

    32. Basilashvili Nikoloz: 110.2 (0.61%)

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