Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia predictions, Aug 18, 2025

Aug 17, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Cincinnati, on Monday,

Sinner

Alcaraz Garfia

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

In what promises to be an exciting match-up, Jannik Sinner will face off against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia in the upcoming ATP Cincinnati event. Both players are in red-hot form, having won all of their last five matches leading up to this clash.

Jannik Sinner will have the advantage of playing at home, which could give him the extra edge against his opponent. With a 65% probability of a home win according to our model, Sinner will be looking to capitalize on this and secure another victory in front of his fans.

However, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is not to be underestimated, as he has also been performing exceptionally well recently. With a 35% chance of an away win, he will be determined to upset the odds and come out on top in this match.

Overall, this match promises to be a tightly contested battle between two in-form players. With both players at the top of their game, we can expect a high-quality display of tennis from both Sinner and Alcaraz Garfia.

Sinner
60.2%		 Alcaraz Garfia
39.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.61 2.44
betsson 1.58 2.39
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Latest Results

16.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Terence Atmane – 2:0
14.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Felix Aliassime-Auger – 2:0
13.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Adrian Mannarino – 2:0
11.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Gabriel Diallo – 2:0
09.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Daniel Elahi Galan – 2:0		 16.08.25 Alexander Zverev – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
15.08.25 Andrey Rublev – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 1:2
13.08.25 Luca Nardi – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
12.08.25 Hamad Medjedovic – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
10.08.25 Damir Dzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 1:2

Facts

  • Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 2.
  • Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.
  • Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Sinner might have a minor edge in this game.
  • We predict that Sinner will win today’s game, with odds of 1.59.
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.5:1.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.07.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 3:1
    08.06.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 2:3
    18.05.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
    19.10.24 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 2:1
    02.10.24 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 1:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Galan D. E. (Q) Kopriva V. 2 : 0
    3 Baez S. Goffin D. 2 : 0
    4 Bye Diallo G. (30)
    5 Machac T. (19) Bye
    6 Thompson J. Mannarino A. (Q) 0 : 2
    7 Martinez P. Jarry N. (WC) 2 : 1
    8 Bye Paul T. (13)
    9 Ruud C. (11) Bye
    10 Rinderknech A. Borges N. 2 : 0
    11 Etcheverry T. M. Shang J. 2 : 1
    12 Bye Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13 Tsitsipas S. (25) Bye
    14 Smith C. (Q) Marozsan F. 1 : 2
    15 Bonzi B. Arnaldi M. 2 : 1
    16 Bye Musetti L. (8)
    17 Fritz T. (4) Bye
    18 Coric B. Nava E. (Q) 0 : 2
    19 Bergs Z. Fearnley J. 2 : 0
    20 Bye Sonego L. (31)
    21 Davidovich Fokina A. (17) Bye
    22 Fonseca J. Bu Y. 2 : 1
    23 Atmane T. (Q) Nishioka Y. 2 : 0
    24 Bye Cobolli F. (15)
    25 Tiafoe F. (10) Bye
    26 Carballes Baena R. Gaston H. 2 : 1
    27 Mpetshi Perricard G. Wong C. (Q) 0 : 2
    28 Bye Humbert U. (20)
    29 Michelsen A. (28) Bye
    30 Moutet C. McDonald M. 2 : 0
    31 Safiullin R. Tabilo A. 2 : 0
    32 Bye Rune H. (7)
    33 Shelton B. (5) Bye
    34 Ugo Carabelli C. Nishikori K. 2 : 0
    35 Altmaier D. Bautista-Agut R. 0 : 2
    36 Bye Norrie C. (32)
    37 Lehecka J. (22) Bye
    38 Boyer T. (WC) Holt B. (WC) 2 : 0
    39 Walton A. Navone M. (LL) 2 : 1
    40 Bye Medvedev D. (12)
    41 Khachanov K. (14) Bye
    42 Ofner S. (PR) Royer V. (Q) 1 : 2
    43 Brooksby J. (WC) Muller A. 2 : 1
    44 Bye Cazaux A. (LL)
    45 Nakashima B. (27) Bye
    46 Giron M. Blockx A. (Q) 1 : 2
    47 Vukic A. (LL) Basavareddy N. (WC) 0 : 2
    48 Bye Zverev A. (3)
    49 De Minaur A. (6) Bye
    50 Dellien H. Opelka R. 0 : 2
    51 Comesana F. Munar J. 2 : 0
    52 Bye Darderi L. (29)
    53 Popyrin A. (21) Bye
    54 Landaluce M. (Q) Kypson P. (Q) 2 : 1
    55 Tien L. Riedi L. (Q) 2 : 0
    56 Bye Rublev A. (9)
    57 Mensik J. (16) Bye
    58 Kecmanovic M. Quinn E. 0 : 2
    59 Nardi L. (LL) Tirante T. A. (Q) 2 : 0
    60 Bye Shapovalov D. (24)
    61 Griekspoor T. (26) Bye
    62 Medjedovic H. Kovacevic A. 2 : 0
    63 Bellucci M. Dzumhur D. 0 : 2
    64 Bye Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Galan D. E. 2 : 0
    2 Baez S. Diallo G. (30) 0 : 2
    3 Machac T. (19) Mannarino A. 0 : 2
    4 Martinez P. Paul T. (13) 0 : 2
    5 Ruud C. (11) Rinderknech A. 1 : 2
    6 Etcheverry T. M. Auger-Aliassime F. (23) 0 : 2
    7 Tsitsipas S. (25) Marozsan F. 2 : 0
    8 Bonzi B. Musetti L. (8) 2 : 1
    9 Fritz T. (4) Nava E. 2 : 0
    10 Bergs Z. Sonego L. (31) 0 : 2
    11 Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17) Fonseca J. 1 : 0
    12 Atmane T. Cobolli F. (15) 2 : 1
    13 Tiafoe F. (10) Carballes Baena R. 2 : 0
    14 Wong C. Humbert U. (20) 0 : 2
    15 Michelsen A. (28) Moutet C. 2 : 1
    16 Safiullin R. Rune H. (7) 0 : 2
    17 Shelton B. (5) Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) 1 : 0
    18 Bautista-Agut R. Norrie C. (32) 2 : 0
    19 Lehecka J. (22) Boyer T. 2 : 1
    20 Walton A. Medvedev D. (12) 2 : 1
    21 Khachanov K. (14) Royer V. 2 : 0
    22 Brooksby J. Cazaux A. 2 : 0
    23 Nakashima B. (27) Blockx A. 2 : 1
    24 Basavareddy N. Zverev A. (3) 0 : 2
    25 De Minaur A. (6) Opelka R. 0 : 2
    26 Comesana F. Darderi L. (RET.) (29) 1 : 0
    27 Popyrin A. (21) Landaluce M. 2 : 0
    28 Tien L. Rublev A. (9) 0 : 2
    29 Mensik J. (16) Quinn E. 2 : 0
    30 Nardi L. Shapovalov D. (24) 2 : 1
    31 Griekspoor T. (26) Medjedovic H. 0 : 2
    32 Dzumhur D. Alcaraz C. (2) 1 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Diallo G. (30) 2 : 0
    2 Mannarino A. Paul T. (13) 2 : 1
    3 Rinderknech A. (RET.) Auger-Aliassime F. (23) 0 : 1
    4 Tsitsipas S. (25) Bonzi B. 1 : 2
    5 Fritz T. (4) Sonego L. (31) 2 : 0
    6 Fonseca J. Atmane T. 0 : 2
    7 Tiafoe F. (10) Humbert U. (20) 2 : 0
    8 Michelsen A. (28) Rune H. (7) 0 : 2
    9 Shelton B. (5) Bautista-Agut R. 2 : 0
    10 Lehecka J. (22) Walton A. 2 : 0
    11 Khachanov K. (14) Brooksby J. 2 : 0
    12 Nakashima B. (27) Zverev A. (3) 0 : 2
    13 Opelka R. Comesana F. 1 : 2
    14 Popyrin A. (21) Rublev A. (9) 1 : 2
    15 Mensik J. (RET.) (16) Nardi L. 0 : 1
    16 Medjedovic H. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 2

    1/8-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    2 Auger-Aliassime F. (23) Bonzi B. 2 : 0
    3 Fritz T. (4) Atmane T. 1 : 2
    4 Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10) Rune H. (7) 0 : 1
    5 Shelton B. (5) Lehecka J. (22) 2 : 0
    6 Khachanov K. (RET.) (14) Zverev A. (3) 0 : 1
    7 Comesana F. Rublev A. (9) 0 : 2
    8 Nardi L. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Auger-Aliassime F. (23) 2 : 0
    2 Atmane T. Rune H. (7) 2 : 0
    3 Shelton B. (5) Zverev A. (3) 0 : 2
    4 Rublev A. (9) Alcaraz C. (2) 1 : 2

    Semi-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Atmane T. 2 : 0
    2 Zverev A. (3) Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 2

    Final

    1 Sinner J. (1) Alcaraz C. (2)

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