Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia predictions, Sep 07, 2025

Sep 06, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP US Open, on Sunday,

Jannik Sinner

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Score, Highlights

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### Expert Preview: Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia at the ATP US Open

On September 7, 2025, the tennis world will be treated to an exhilarating showdown as Jannik Sinner takes on Carlos Alcaraz Garfia in the highly anticipated quarterfinals of the ATP US Open. This clash not only promises to be an entertaining match but also features two of the game’s most formidable young talents, both entering the fray with impeccable recent form.

**Recent Form:**
Both players are riding high on a wave of confidence, having won their last five matches. Sinner’s consistent performance has showcased his powerful baseline game and exceptional shot-making ability. His home-court advantage will undoubtedly play a role, with the crowd likely to be an influential factor, energizing him during crucial moments.

On the other side, Alcaraz has been equally impressive. The Spanish sensation combines incredible athleticism with a diverse skill set, making him a tough opponent on any surface. His ability to adapt and read the game puts him in great stead, and he will be eager to assert himself against Sinner.

**Strengths:**
Sinner’s game is predominantly built around his aggressive baseline play and remarkable serve, characteristics that have served him well in high-stakes matches. Expect him to dictate play and look for opportunities to dominate with his forehand.

Conversely, Alcaraz’s versatility is his greatest asset. His blend of speed and tactical awareness enables him to counter his opponents effectively. With a keen sense for pressure situations, he thrives in challenging scenarios, making him a formidable adversary.

**Expectations:**
According to bookmakers, Sinner is favored slightly, with odds of 1.82 for a home victory compared to Alcaraz’s 2.05. Our predictive model reflects this narrow edge, assigning a 53.6% probability of a Sinner win. While a draw is virtually impossible in tennis, the match is expected to be tightly contested.

Predicted to finish with a score of 3:0 indicates confidence in Sinner’s ability to maintain control, but given both players’ talent and momentum, one cannot wholly discount the threat Alcaraz poses. Expect high-intensity rallies, intelligent shot selections, and potential momentum swings as both players vie for a spot in the semifinals.

In summary, this matchup has all the ingredients for a classic duel, with both Sinner and Alcaraz looking to solidify their status as future stars of tennis. Fans can anticipate an electric atmosphere and an unforgettable display of athletic prowess.

Sinner
54.2%		 Alcaraz Garfia
45.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.75 2.17
betsson 1.76 2.02
MarathonBet 1.82 2.15 Watch Watch and Bet

Latest Results

05.09.25 Jannik Sinner – Felix Aliassime-Auger – 3:1
03.09.25 Jannik Sinner – Lorenzo Musetti – 3:0
01.09.25 Jannik Sinner – Alexander Bublik – 3:0
30.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Denis Shapovalov – 3:1
28.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Alexei Popyrin – 3:0		 05.09.25 Novak Djokovic – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3
02.09.25 Jiri Lehecka – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3
31.08.25 Arthur Rinderknech – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3
29.08.25 Luciano Darderi – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3
27.08.25 Mattia Bellucci – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:3

Facts

  • Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 3.
  • In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
  • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
  • We predict that Sinner will win today’s game, with odds of 1.78.
  • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.4:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.08.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Sinner J. retired
    13.07.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 3:1
    08.06.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 2:3
    18.05.25 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 0:2
    19.10.24 Jannik Sinner – Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – 2:1

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Kopriva V. 3 : 0
    2 Popyrin A. Ruusuvuori E. 3 : 0
    3 Royer V. (WC) Bu Y. 3 : 0
    4 Fucsovics M. Shapovalov D. (27) 0 : 3
    5 Bublik A. (23) Cilic M. 3 : 0
    6 Sonego L. Schoolkate T. (WC) 2 : 3
    7 Borges N. Holt B. 3 : 0
    8 Moller E. Paul T. (14) 0 : 3
    9 Musetti L. (10) Mpetshi Perricard G. 3 : 1
    10 Halys Q. Goffin D. 1 : 3
    11 Brooksby J. Vukic A. 3 : 2
    12 Passaro F. (Q) Cobolli F. (24) 2 : 3
    13 Diallo G. (31) Dzumhur D. 3 : 1
    14 Munar J. Faria J. (LL) 3 : 1
    15 Bergs Z. Tseng C. H. 3 : 0
    16 Gomez F. A. (Q) Draper J. (5) 1 : 3
    17 Zverev A. (3) Tabilo A. 3 : 0
    18 Bautista-Agut R. Fearnley J. 1 : 3
    19 Monfils G. Safiullin R. 2 : 3
    20 Harris B. (LL) Auger-Aliassime F. (25) 0 : 3
    21 Humbert U. (22) Walton A. 1 : 3
    22 Kovacevic A. Wong C. (Q) 0 : 3
    23 Duckworth J. (LL) Boyer T. (WC) 0 : 3
    24 Prizmic D. (Q) Rublev A. (15) 0 : 3
    25 Khachanov K. (9) Basavareddy N. (WC) 3 : 1
    26 Dellien H. Majchrzak K. 1 : 3
    27 Riedi L. (Q) Martinez P. 3 : 0
    28 Arnaldi M. Cerundolo F. (19) 2 : 3
    29 Tsitsipas S. (26) Muller A. 3 : 1
    30 Altmaier D. Medjedovic H. 3 : 2
    31 Gaston H. Mochizuki S. (Q) 0 : 3
    32 O’Connell C. De Minaur A. (8) 0 : 3
    33 Djokovic N. (7) Tien L. 3 : 0
    34 Svajda Z. (Q) Piros Z. (Q) 3 : 0
    35 Norrie C. Korda S. (RET.) 2 : 0
    36 Comesana F. Michelsen A. (28) 3 : 1
    37 Tiafoe F. (17) Nishioka Y. 3 : 0
    38 Damm M. (Q) Blanch Dar. (WC) 3 : 0
    39 Struff J-L. (Q) McDonald M. 3 : 1
    40 Van De Zandschulp B. Rune H. (11) 0 : 3
    41 Mensik J. (16) Jarry N. 3 : 0
    42 Blanchet U. (Q) Marozsan F. 3 : 1
    43 Fonseca J. Kecmanovic M. 3 : 0
    44 Nardi L. Machac T. (21) 0 : 3
    45 Nakashima B. (30) De Jong J. (Q) 3 : 2
    46 Kym J. (Q) Quinn E. 3 : 1
    47 Baez S. Harris L. (Q) 0 : 3
    48 Nava E. (WC) Fritz T. (4) 0 : 3
    49 Shelton B. (6) Buse I. (Q) 3 : 0
    50 Carreno-Busta P. Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) 3 : 0
    51 Thompson J. Moutet C. 3 : 1
    52 Mannarino A. Griekspoor T. (29) 3 : 0
    53 Lehecka J. (20) Coric B. 3 : 1
    54 Ugo Carabelli C. Etcheverry T. M. 0 : 3
    55 Galan D. E. (Alt) Collignon R. 0 : 3
    56 Ofner S. Ruud C. (12) 0 : 3
    57 Medvedev D. (13) Bonzi B. 2 : 3
    58 Navone M. Giron M. 2 : 3
    59 Carballes Baena R. Rinderknech A. 1 : 3
    60 Shevchenko A. Davidovich Fokina A. (18) 0 : 3
    61 Darderi L. (32) Hijikata R. 3 : 0
    62 Dostanic S. (WC) Spizzirri E. (WC) 0 : 3
    63 Bellucci M. Shang J. (RET.) 2 : 1
    64 Opelka R. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Popyrin A. 3 : 0
    2 Royer V. Shapovalov D. (27) 1 : 3
    3 Bublik A. (23) Schoolkate T. 3 : 0
    4 Borges N. Paul T. (14) 2 : 3
    5 Musetti L. (10) Goffin D. 3 : 0
    6 Brooksby J. Cobolli F. (24) 2 : 3
    7 Diallo G. (31) Munar J. 0 : 3
    8 Bergs Z. (WO.) Draper J. (5)
    9 Zverev A. (3) Fearnley J. 3 : 0
    10 Safiullin R. Auger-Aliassime F. (25) 0 : 3
    11 Walton A. Wong C. 1 : 3
    12 Boyer T. Rublev A. (15) 1 : 3
    13 Khachanov K. (9) Majchrzak K. 2 : 3
    14 Riedi L. Cerundolo F. (19) 3 : 2
    15 Tsitsipas S. (26) Altmaier D. 2 : 3
    16 Mochizuki S. De Minaur A. (8) 0 : 3
    17 Djokovic N. (7) Svajda Z. 3 : 1
    18 Norrie C. Comesana F. 3 : 1
    19 Tiafoe F. (17) Damm M. 3 : 1
    20 Struff J-L. Rune H. (11) 3 : 2
    21 Mensik J. (16) Blanchet U. 2 : 3
    22 Fonseca J. Machac T. (21) 0 : 3
    23 Nakashima B. (30) Kym J. 2 : 3
    24 Harris L. Fritz T. (4) 1 : 3
    25 Shelton B. (6) Carreno-Busta P. 3 : 0
    26 Thompson J. Mannarino A. 1 : 3
    27 Lehecka J. (20) Etcheverry T. M. 3 : 1
    28 Collignon R. Ruud C. (12) 3 : 2
    29 Bonzi B. Giron M. 3 : 2
    30 Rinderknech A. Davidovich Fokina A. (18) 3 : 2
    31 Darderi L. (32) Spizzirri E. 3 : 1
    32 Bellucci M. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Shapovalov D. (27) 3 : 1
    2 Bublik A. (23) Paul T. (14) 3 : 2
    3 Musetti L. (10) Cobolli F. (RET.) (24) 2 : 0
    4 Munar J. Bergs Z. 3 : 0
    5 Zverev A. (3) Auger-Aliassime F. (25) 1 : 3
    6 Wong C. Rublev A. (15) 2 : 3
    7 Majchrzak K. (RET.) Riedi L. 0 : 0
    8 Altmaier D. (RET.) De Minaur A. (8) 1 : 2
    9 Djokovic N. (7) Norrie C. 3 : 1
    10 Tiafoe F. (17) Struff J-L. 0 : 3
    11 Blanchet U. Machac T. (21) 0 : 3
    12 Kym J. Fritz T. (4) 1 : 3
    13 Shelton B. (RET.) (6) Mannarino A. 2 : 2
    14 Lehecka J. (20) Collignon R. 3 : 0
    15 Bonzi B. Rinderknech A. 1 : 3
    16 Darderi L. (32) Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    1/8-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bublik A. (23) 3 : 0
    2 Musetti L. (10) Munar J. 3 : 0
    3 Auger-Aliassime F. (25) Rublev A. (15) 3 : 0
    4 Riedi L. De Minaur A. (8) 0 : 3
    5 Djokovic N. (7) Struff J-L. 3 : 0
    6 Machac T. (21) Fritz T. (4) 0 : 3
    7 Mannarino A. Lehecka J. (20) 1 : 3
    8 Rinderknech A. Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    Quarter-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Musetti L. (10) 3 : 0
    2 Auger-Aliassime F. (25) De Minaur A. (8) 3 : 1
    3 Djokovic N. (7) Fritz T. (4) 3 : 1
    4 Lehecka J. (20) Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    Semi-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Auger-Aliassime F. (25) 3 : 1
    2 Djokovic N. (7) Alcaraz C. (2) 0 : 3

    Final

    1 Sinner J. (1) Alcaraz C. (2)

    ATP US Open Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.57 (59.56%)

    2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.38 (39.29%)

    3. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 81 (1.15%)

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