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On May 9, 2026, Jasmine Paolini will take on Elise Mertens in a highly anticipated WTA match at home in Rome. Both players present a competitive edge as they vie for crucial points in the rankings. Recent form indicates that Paolini has secured victory in 2 of her last 5 matches, demonstrating moments of resilience on the court. Conversely, Mertens has shown stronger form, winning 3 out of her last 5 encounters, which may give her a slight mental advantage heading into this match.
The match odds are evenly matched at 1.83 for both players, reflecting a balanced view from bookmakers and indicating a clear competition. Our model suggests a 54.7% probability of a home win for Paolini, while Mertens stands at 45.3% for an away victory. Paolini will rely on her aggressive baseline play, utilizing her home-court advantage, while Mertens will likely counter with her tactical finesse and experience in high-pressure situations.
In conclusion, the match promises to be closely contested, with both players capable of clinching victory. While Paolini has the home advantage, Mertens’ recent form cannot be overlooked, making it a challenging encounter for both competitors.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-07T14:52:02+00:00.
| Paolini 50.2% |
Mertens 49.8% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0
Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.9 | 1.91 | ||
 |
1.88 | 1.92 | |
Latest Results
| 07.05.26 Jasmine Paolini – Leolia Jeanjean – 2:1 25.04.26 Hailey Baptiste – Jasmine Paolini – 2:0 23.04.26 Laura Siegemund – Jasmine Paolini – 1:2 15.04.26 Zeynep Sonmez – Jasmine Paolini – 2:0 11.04.26 Jasmine Paolini – Moyuka Uchijima – Canceled |
07.05.26 Panna Udvardy – Elise Mertens – 0:2 26.04.26 Elise Mertens – Karolina Pliskova – 1:2 24.04.26 Elise Mertens – Alexandra Eala – 2:0 16.04.26 Karolina Muchova – Elise Mertens – 2:1 14.04.26 Elise Mertens – Ella Seidel – 2:0 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 26.06.24 Elise Mertens – Jasmine Paolini – Mertens E. retired 22.10.23 Jasmine Paolini – Elise Mertens – 0:2 21.02.22 Elise Mertens – Jasmine Paolini – 2:1 08.10.21 Elise Mertens – Jasmine Paolini – 1:2 11.08.20 Jasmine Paolini – Elise Mertens – 1:2 |
Standings
Draw
Singles – Main
1/64-finals
| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Krejcikova B. | Jacquemot E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Linette M. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Cirstea S. (26) | |
| 5 | Tauson C. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Marcinko P. | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zakharova A. | Yastremska D. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Noskova L. (13) | |
| 9 | Bencic B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kenin S. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Siniakova K. | Boisson L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (22) | |
| 13 | Bucsa C. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bondar A. | Zheng Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Stefanini L. (WC) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruse G. (LL) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Putintseva Y. | Valentova T. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sierra S. | Korpatsch T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Kalinina A. (Q) | |
| 21 | Bouzkova M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Townsend T. (Q) | Brancaccio N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Kessler M. | Bronzetti L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Jovic I. (16) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Jeanjean L. (Q) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Udvardy P. | Korneeva A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Mertens E. (21) | |
| 29 | Joint M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Golubic V. | Urgesi F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Ruzic A. | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Andreeva M. (8) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Sonmez Z. | Ruggeri J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Selekhmeteva O. | Masarova R. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Fernandez L. (25) | |
| 37 | Samsonova L. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Li A. | Zhang S. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Galfi D. (Q) | Potapova A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 41 | Osaka N. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Boulter K. | Lys E. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Trevisan M. (WC) | Gibson T. | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Shnaider D. (19) | |
| 45 | Navarro E. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Cocciaretto E. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | McNally C. | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 49 | Svitolina E. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Basiletti N. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Starodubtseva Y. | Waltert S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Baptiste H. (32) | |
| 53 | Keys M. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Stearns P. | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Pigato L. (WC) | Grant T. C. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 57 | Alexandrova E. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Siegemund L. | Bejlek S. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Pliskova Ka. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Cristian J. (33) | |
| 61 | Wang Xin. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | Eala A. | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Tagger L. (LL) | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Rybakina E. (2) |
1/32-finals
| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Krejcikova B. | |
| 2 | Maria T. | Cirstea S. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tauson C. (RET.) (18) | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Zakharova A. | Noskova L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bencic B. (12) | Andreescu B. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Siniakova K. | Kalinskaya A. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. (30) | Zheng Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ostapenko J. | Ruse G. | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Sierra S. | Kalinina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bouzkova M. (24) | Townsend T. | |
| 12 | Kessler M. | Jovic I. (16) | |
| 13 | Paolini J. (9) | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Udvardy P. | Mertens E. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Joint M. (29) | Golubic V. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Ruzic A. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Sonmez Z. | |
| 18 | Masarova R. | Fernandez L. (25) | |
| 19 | Samsonova L. (20) | Li A. | |
| 20 | Potapova A. | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 21 | Osaka N. (15) | Lys E. | |
| 22 | Gibson T. | Shnaider D. (19) | |
| 23 | Navarro E. (28) | Cocciaretto E. | |
| 24 | McNally C. | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 25 | Svitolina E. (7) | Basiletti N. | |
| 26 | Waltert S. | Baptiste H. (32) | |
| 27 | Keys M. (17) | Stearns P. | |
| 28 | Grant T. C. | Mboko V. (10) | |
| 29 | Alexandrova E. (14) | Siegemund L. | |
| 30 | Pliskova Ka. | Cristian J. (33) | |
| 31 | Wang Xin. (31) | Eala A. | |
| 32 | Sakkari M. | Rybakina E. (2) |
1/16-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | Cirstea S. (26) | |
| 2 | Oliynykova O. | Noskova L. (13) | |
| 3 | Bencic B. (12) | Kalinskaya A. (22) | |
| 4 | Zheng Q. | Ostapenko J. | |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Sierra S. | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | Paolini J. (9) | Mertens E. (21) | |
| 8 | Golubic V. | Andreeva M. (8) | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |
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