Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys predictions, Jan 24, 2026

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In an exciting matchup at the WTA Australian Open on January 24, 2026, Jessica Pegula will face off against Madison Keys. This encounter promises to be a thrilling display of skill and determination, as both players are currently in impressive form, having each recorded four victories in their last five matches.

Jessica Pegula, known for her consistent baseline play and tactical versatility, will be looking to leverage her home advantage in this clash. Her recent performances showcase her ability to maintain composure under pressure and effectively construct points, which could be pivotal against Keys.

Madison Keys, on the other hand, brings a powerful serve and aggressive playing style that can disrupt opponents’ rhythm. Her ability to score quickly from the baseline offers a dynamic edge that will test Pegula’s defensive capabilities.

According to bookmakers, Pegula enters the match as the slight favorite with odds of 1.62 compared to Keys at 2.3. Model predictions indicate a 59.3% likelihood of a home win for Pegula, with a predicted final score of 2-0. However, the competitive nature of both athletes and their recent success suggest that the match could still swing in either direction, making this an intriguing encounter without guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-23T22:52:03+00:00.

Pegula 58.7%

Keys 41.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Latest Results

23.01.26 Jessica Pegula – Oksana Selekhmeteva – 2:0 21.01.26 Jessica Pegula – McCartney Kessler – 2:0 18.01.26 Jessica Pegula – Anastasia Zakharova – 2:0 10.01.26 Jessica Pegula – Marta Kostyuk – 0:2 09.01.26 Ludmilla Samsonova – Jessica Pegula – 0:2

23.01.26 Karolina Pliskova – Madison Keys – 0:2 21.01.26 Ashlyn Krueger – Madison Keys – 0:2 19.01.26 Oleksandra Oliynykova – Madison Keys – 0:2 14.01.26 Victoria Mboko – Madison Keys – 2:1 13.01.26 Tereza Valentova – Madison Keys – 0:2

Facts

Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Keys is ranked WTA: 9.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pegula could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Latest Head To Head

11.01.25 Jessica Pegula – Madison Keys – 1:2 04.09.23 Madison Keys – Jessica Pegula – 2:0 14.10.22 Jessica Pegula – Madison Keys – 2:0

Standings

Draw

Singles – Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)	2 : 0
2	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Bai Z. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Lamens S.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
4	Sawangkaew M.	Raducanu E. (28)	0 : 2
5	Mboko V. (17)	Jones E. (WC)	2 : 0
6	McNally C.	Sakatsume H. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Kudermetova P.	Maristany G. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Galfi D.	Tauson C. (14)	0 : 2
9	Alexandrova E. (11)	Sonmez Z. (Q)	1 : 2
10	Bondar A.	Mandlik E. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Putintseva Y.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 1
12	Jacquemot E.	Kostyuk M. (20)	2 : 1
13	Jovic I. (29)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
14	Hon P. (WC)	Stakusic M. (RET.) (Q)	1 : 1
15	Erjavec V.	Frech M.	0 : 2
16	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Gauff C. (3)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
18	Danilovic O.	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 1
19	Hunter S. (Q)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
20	Baptiste H.	Townsend T. (LL)	2 : 1
21	Muchova K. (19)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
22	Parks A.	Eala A.	2 : 1
23	Li A.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
24	Linette M.	Navarro E. (15)	2 : 1
25	Svitolina E. (12)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
26	Klimovicova L. (Q)	Jones F. (RET.)	1 : 0
27	Gibson T. (WC)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
28	Krejcikova B.	Shnaider D. (23)	1 : 2
29	Yastremska D. (26)	Ruse G.	0 : 2
30	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	Tomljanovic A.	1 : 2
31	Sakkari M.	Jeanjean L.	2 : 0
32	Vekic D.	Andreeva M. (8)	1 : 2
33	Pegula J. (6)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
34	Arango E.	Kessler M.	0 : 2
35	Selekhmeteva O.	Seidel E.	2 : 1
36	Diyas Z. (WC)	Badosa P. (25)	0 : 2
37	Fernandez L. (22)	Tjen J.	0 : 2
38	Pliskova Ka.	Stephens S. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Krueger A.	Bejlek S.	2 : 0
40	Oliynykova O.	Keys M. (9)	0 : 2
41	Noskova L. (13)	Semenistaja D.	2 : 0
42	Zhang S.	Preston T. (WC)	1 : 2
43	Wang Xin.	Kalinina A. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Sramkova R.	Ostapenko J. (24)	0 : 2
45	Kenin S. (27)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
46	Marcinko P.	Maria T.	2 : 0
47	Udvardy P.	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
48	Waltert S.	Anisimova A. (4)	0 : 2
49	Rybakina E. (5)	Juvan K.	2 : 0
50	Gracheva V.	Golubic V.	2 : 1
51	Sun L.	Fruhvirtova L. (Q)	0 : 2
52	Valentova T.	Joint M. (30)	2 : 0
53	Mertens E. (21)	Tararudee L. (Q)	2 : 0
54	Sierra S.	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
55	Kasatkina D.	Bartunkova N. (Q)	1 : 2
56	Boulter K.	Bencic B. (10)	0 : 2
57	Osaka N. (16)	Ruzic A.	2 : 1
58	Cirstea S.	Lys E.	2 : 1
59	Inglis M. (Q)	Birrell K.	2 : 1
60	Siegemund L.	Samsonova L. (18)	2 : 1
61	Kalinskaya A. (31)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
62	Grabher J.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 1
63	Zarazua R.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
64	Yuan Y. (Q)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bai Z.	2 : 0
2	Potapova A.	Raducanu E. (28)	2 : 0
3	Mboko V. (17)	McNally C.	2 : 0
4	Kudermetova P.	Tauson C. (14)	1 : 2
5	Sonmez Z.	Bondar A.	2 : 0
6	Putintseva Y.	Jacquemot E.	2 : 0
7	Jovic I. (29)	Hon P.	2 : 0
8	Frech M.	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
9	Gauff C. (3)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
10	Hunter S.	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
11	Muchova K. (19)	Parks A.	2 : 1
12	Li A.	Linette M.	0 : 2
13	Svitolina E. (12)	Klimovicova L.	2 : 0
14	Gibson T.	Shnaider D. (23)	1 : 2
15	Ruse G.	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M.	Andreeva M. (8)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (6)	Kessler M.	2 : 0
18	Selekhmeteva O.	Badosa P. (25)	2 : 0
19	Tjen J.	Pliskova Ka.	0 : 2
20	Krueger A.	Keys M. (9)	0 : 2
21	Noskova L. (13)	Preston T.	2 : 1
22	Wang Xin.	Ostapenko J. (24)	2 : 1
23	Stearns P.	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
24	Siniakova K.	Anisimova A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (5)	Gracheva V.	2 : 0
26	Fruhvirtova L.	Valentova T.	1 : 2
27	Mertens E. (21)	Uchijima M.	2 : 0
28	Bartunkova N.	Bencic B. (10)	2 : 1
29	Osaka N. (16)	Cirstea S.	2 : 1
30	Inglis M.	Siegemund L.	2 : 1
31	Kalinskaya A. (31)	Grabher J.	2 : 0
32	Bouzkova M.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
2	Mboko V. (17)	Tauson C. (14)	2 : 1
3	Sonmez Z.	Putintseva Y.	1 : 2
4	Jovic I. (29)	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 0
5	Gauff C. (3)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
6	Muchova K. (19)	Linette M.	2 : 0
7	Svitolina E. (12)	Shnaider D. (23)	2 : 0
8	Ruse G.	Andreeva M. (8)	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (6)	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 0
10	Pliskova Ka.	Keys M. (9)	0 : 2
11	Noskova L. (13)	Wang Xin.	0 : 0
12	Stearns P.	Anisimova A. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (5)	Valentova T.
14	Mertens E. (21)	Bartunkova N.
15	Osaka N. (16)	Inglis M.
16	Kalinskaya A. (31)	Swiatek I. (2)

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mboko V. (17)
2	Putintseva Y.	Jovic I. (29)
3	Gauff C. (3)	Muchova K. (19)
4	Svitolina E. (12)	Andreeva M. (8)
5	Pegula J. (6)	Keys M. (9)
6	TBD #11	Anisimova A. (4)
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

WTA Australian Open Outrights

1. Sabalenka Aryna: 2.38 (30.69%)

2. Rybakina Elena: 6.5 (11.24%)

3. Anisimova Amanda: 6.5 (11.24%)

4. Swiatek Iga: 7 (10.43%)

5. Gauff Coco: 11 (6.64%)

6. Andreeva Mirra: 12 (6.09%)

7. Osaka Naomi: 17 (4.3%)

8. Pegula Jessica: 17 (4.3%)

9. Keys Madison: 21 (3.48%)

10. Mboko Victoria: 26 (2.81%)

11. Muchova Karolina: 34 (2.15%)

12. Jovic Iva: 34 (2.15%)

13. Svitolina Elina: 41 (1.78%)

14. Noskova Linda: 81 (0.9%)

15. Valentova Tereza: 201 (0.36%)

16. Mertens Elise: 201 (0.36%)

17. Putintseva Yulia: 401 (0.18%)

18. Kalinskaya Anna: 451 (0.16%)

19. Bartunkova Nikola: 451 (0.16%)

20. Pliskova Karolina: 501 (0.15%)

21. Stearns Peyton: 501 (0.15%)

22. Wang Xinyu (2001): 501 (0.15%)

23. Inglis Maddison: 501 (0.15%)

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