Kärpät vs Ilves predictions, Jan 31, 2025

Jan 29, 2025 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, on Friday,

Kärpät

Ilves

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The upcoming match between Kärpät and Ilves in the Finnish SM-liiga is set to be a competitive and exciting battle on January 31, 2025. Kärpät, playing at home, will be looking to improve on their recent form where they have won 2 out of their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Ilves has been in great form, winning 4 out of their last 5 matches.

The bookmakers have set the coefficients at 2.6 for Kärpät and 2.39 for Ilves, indicating that the match is expected to be closely contested. Our ML estimation gives the probabilities as 34.5% for a Kärpät win, 23.3% for a draw, and 41.3% for an Ilves win.

According to the bookmakers, the most likely result is a 2-3 victory for Ilves. However, with both teams showing strong performances leading up to this match, it could go either way. Fans can expect an intense and thrilling matchup between these two teams vying for a crucial victory in the SM-liiga.

Kärpät 38% Draw 24.3% Ilves 37.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.38 3.68 2.61
betsson 2.75 3.8 2.36
MarathonBet 2.31 4.2 2.53
WilliamHill 2.3 3.8 2.5
Pinnacle 2.38 3.91 2.58
Best for US Customers 2.75 3.85 2.4

Latest Results

25.01.25 Mikkelin Jukurit – Kärpat Oulu – 2:3
24.01.25 SaiPa hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 6:3
22.01.25 Kärpat Oulu – HPK Hockey – 0:3
18.01.25 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 0:4
17.01.25 Kärpat Oulu – Kiekko-Espoo – 1:4		 28.01.25 Ilves hockey – JYP Hockey – 6:3
25.01.25 Ilves hockey – TPS hockey – 1:0
24.01.25 Tappara hockey – Ilves hockey – 2:3 OT
18.01.25 HIFK Hockey – Ilves hockey – 1:3
17.01.25 Ilves hockey – HIFK Hockey – 2:3 penalties

Facts

  • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 2.
  • Recent matches Kärpät is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins – 2).
  • Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Kärpät could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 43:56 (average 2.2:2.8).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:28 (average 2.4:3.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    08.01.25 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:4 OT
    07.12.24 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 2:4
    11.10.24 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 4:3 OT
    03.02.24 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 1:4
    02.02.24 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:4 OT

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Lukko 46 24 5 4 13 163:114 86
    2 Ilves 45 24 4 4 13 136:109 84
    3 SaiPa 45 23 4 4 14 135:122 81
    4 Assat 45 21 4 4 16 123:117 75
    5 IFK Helsinki 45 18 7 7 13 131:132 75
    6 KalPa 44 18 5 6 15 129:111 70
    7 Tappara 45 18 5 6 16 137:130 70
    8 Kiekko-Espoo 46 15 8 7 16 123:134 68
    9 KooKoo 45 14 11 4 16 143:133 68
    10 Karpat 46 16 6 6 18 140:147 66
    11 JYP 45 16 4 6 19 130:144 62
    12 Vaasan Sport 44 12 7 12 13 130:132 62
    13 Hameenlinna 44 15 4 8 17 109:132 61
    14 TPS Turku 45 13 7 6 19 128:143 59
    15 Pelicans 44 15 3 3 23 128:132 54
    16 Jukurit 44 9 4 1 30 100:153 36

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Lukko Rauman: 4.25 (20.14%)

    2. Tappara: 4.6 (18.61%)

    3. Ilves Tampere: 5.94 (14.41%)

    4. Kalpa Kuopio: 8.13 (10.53%)

    5. Karpat Oulu: 9.5 (9.01%)

    6. IFK Helsinki: 12 (7.13%)

    7. Saipa: 13.25 (6.46%)

    8. Assat Pori: 19.25 (4.45%)

    9. Kiekko-Espoo: 32.25 (2.65%)

    10. Pelicans Lahti: 52 (1.65%)

    11. TPS Turku: 67.75 (1.26%)

    12. Vaasan Sport: 77 (1.11%)

    13. KooKoo: 89.5 (0.96%)

    14. JYP Jyvaskyla: 100.75 (0.85%)

    15. Hameenlinna: 182 (0.47%)

    16. Jukurit: 275.75 (0.31%)

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