Kärpät vs JYP predictions, Sep 05, 2026

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On September 5, 2026, Kärpät Oulu will host JYP Hockey in a crucial SM-liiga clash at home. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with Kärpät struggling recently, having secured only one win in their last five matches. In contrast, JYP has demonstrated slightly better form with two victories in their past five encounters.

Kärpät Oulu will look to leverage their home advantage, where they typically display a strong offensive game. However, their recent form hints at vulnerabilities, especially in defense, which could be exploited by JYP. The away team has shown resilience and a more balanced approach in their games, often capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities.

According to bookmakers, Kärpät is favored with odds of 2.06, while JYP sits at 2.75. Our model suggests a probability of 50.8% for a home win, 25.1% for a draw, and 29.3% for an away victory. As both teams strive for consistency, the outcome remains uncertain, making this matchup a critical one for both sides in their quest for league success.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-09-02T04:52:02+00:00.

Kärpät 44.5%

Draw 23.4%

JYP 32%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.68	2.96
	2.18	4.05	2.85
	2.06	4.3	2.91
	2.05	3.6	2.9
	2.1	3.84	2.99
	2.03	3.95	2.9

Latest Results

01.09.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 3:1 27.08.26 Tappara hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:1 26.08.26 Ilves hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 2:0 21.08.26 Kärpat Oulu – Luleå HF – 3:4 OT 20.08.26 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:0

27.08.26 KalPa hockey – JYP Hockey – 5:2 20.08.26 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:0 15.08.26 Mikkelin Jukurit – JYP Hockey – 2:0 14.08.26 SaiPa hockey – JYP Hockey – 3:2 08.08.26 Tappara hockey – JYP Hockey – 1:2

Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.

Kärpät is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

JYP‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.

Kärpät will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 83:63. (average 4.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:30. (average 4.4:3.3).

Latest Head To Head

20.08.26 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:0 27.12.25 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 2:4 26.12.25 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 5:3 31.10.25 JYP Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 4:5 penalties 08.10.25 Kärpat Oulu – JYP Hockey – 5:2

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Kiekko-Espoo	1	1	0	0	0	5:1	3
2	Hameenlinna	1	1	0	0	0	4:1	3
3	SaiPa	1	1	0	0	0	4:2	3
4	TPS Turku	1	1	0	0	0	4:2	3
5	Karpat	1	1	0	0	0	3:1	3
6	Ilves	1	1	0	0	0	2:0	3
7	Vaasan Sport	1	0	1	0	0	5:4	2
8	Jokerit	1	0	0	1	0	4:5	1
9	IFK Helsinki	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	JYP	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Tappara	1	0	0	0	1	2:4	0
13	KooKoo	1	0	0	0	1	2:4	0
14	Assat	1	0	0	0	1	1:3	0
15	Lukko	1	0	0	0	1	0:2	0
16	Jukurit	1	0	0	0	1	1:4	0
17	KalPa	1	0	0	0	1	1:5	0

Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

1. Tappara: 3.51 (25.11%)

2. Ilves Tampere: 8.24 (10.7%)

3. Lukko Rauman: 11 (8.01%)

4. IFK Helsinki: 11.42 (7.72%)

5. JYP Jyvaskyla: 11.42 (7.72%)

6. Jokerit: 11.9 (7.41%)

7. Karpat Oulu: 16.5 (5.34%)

8. Kalpa Kuopio: 17 (5.18%)

9. KooKoo: 18 (4.9%)

10. Saipa: 21.6 (4.08%)

11. Kiekko-Espoo: 27.25 (3.23%)

12. Hameenlinna: 31.01 (2.84%)

13. Pelicans Lahti: 37.81 (2.33%)

14. Assat Pori: 43.01 (2.05%)

15. TPS Turku: 46.01 (1.92%)

16. Vaasan Sport: 100.25 (0.88%)

17. Jukurit: 150.44 (0.59%)

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