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Kärpät vs KalPa predictions, Feb 14, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Finnish SM-liiga, Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu) on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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On February 14, 2026, Kärpät Oulu is set to host KalPa in what promises to be an exciting clash in the Finnish SM-liiga. Both teams are currently on opposite ends of the form spectrum, with Kärpät struggling, having secured just one victory from their last five matches. In contrast, KalPa is enjoying a remarkable winning streak, boasting five consecutive victories that reflect their current momentum and tactical prowess.

Kärpät will rely on their home advantage to turn around their fortunes, but the recent inconsistency in their performance could hinder their chances. They will need to enhance their offensive strategies and tighten their defense against a KalPa side that has demonstrated not only resilience but also sharp offensive skills, capitalizing on mistakes and maintaining pressure throughout games.

The bookmakers have placed equal odds for both teams at 2.42, indicating a level of uncertainty in the outcome. Our model suggests a probability of 41.6% for a home win, 24.6% for a draw, and 35.8% for an away victory, with a predicted scoreline of 3-2 in favor of Kärpät. However, given KalPa’s current form, this match remains open and could swing either way. Betters should weigh both teams’ strengths and recent performances before placing their wagers.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-13T16:52:03+00:00.

Kärpät
38.7%		 Draw
23%		 KalPa
38.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 3:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.48 4.05 2.48
2.43 4.1 2.44
2.3 3.8 2.38
2.4 4.05 2.45
2.4 4.25 2.4

Latest Results

13.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – KalPa hockey – 2:5
07.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ilves hockey – 1:2
06.02.26 HIFK Hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:2
04.02.26 Tappara hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 1:4
31.01.26 Kärpat Oulu – Ässät hockey – 0:4		 13.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – KalPa hockey – 2:5
10.02.26 KalPa hockey – Pelicans Hockey – 5:3
07.02.26 KalPa hockey – Mikkelin Jukurit – 2:0
06.02.26 Mikkelin Jukurit – KalPa hockey – 0:2
03.02.26 KalPa hockey – TPS hockey – 7:3

Facts

  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
  • Recent form of Kärpät has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • KalPa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • We predict that KalPa will win today’s game, with odds of 2.43.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:72. (average 3:3.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 2.7:3).

    Latest Head To Head

    13.02.26 Kärpat Oulu – KalPa hockey – 2:5
    25.10.25 KalPa hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 3:1
    24.10.25 KalPa hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 6:4
    21.08.25 KalPa hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 4:7
    22.02.25 KalPa hockey – Kärpat Oulu – 7:5

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tappara 48 29 2 3 14 177:119 94
    2 KooKoo 48 25 7 1 15 173:118 90
    3 Lukko 49 25 6 3 15 154:123 90
    4 KalPa 49 25 5 4 15 151:139 89
    5 SaiPa 49 24 5 7 13 164:133 89
    6 JYP 47 22 8 4 13 161:141 86
    7 Ilves 49 22 7 4 16 149:125 84
    8 Assat 49 21 6 3 19 136:132 78
    9 Kiekko-Espoo 49 17 4 8 20 122:141 67
    10 IFK Helsinki 49 18 4 4 23 113:157 66
    11 Pelicans 48 15 7 6 20 107:124 65
    12 TPS Turku 51 14 7 8 22 119:142 64
    13 Hameenlinna 49 13 6 8 22 116:140 59
    14 Jukurit 48 14 4 6 24 105:125 56
    15 Karpat 49 13 5 5 26 142:162 54
    16 Vaasan Sport 49 9 1 10 29 98:166 39

    Finnish SM-liiga Outrights

    1. Tappara: 2.52 (34.94%)

    2. Ilves Tampere: 4.5 (19.6%)

    3. Lukko Rauman: 6.64 (13.28%)

    4. JYP Jyvaskyla: 15 (5.88%)

    5. Saipa: 16.6 (5.31%)

    6. KooKoo: 16.6 (5.31%)

    7. Kalpa Kuopio: 17.8 (4.95%)

    8. IFK Helsinki: 23.4 (3.77%)

    9. Karpat Oulu: 58.2 (1.52%)

    10. Assat Pori: 74.2 (1.19%)

    11. TPS Turku: 92.2 (0.96%)

    12. Pelicans Lahti: 100.2 (0.88%)

    13. Hameenlinna: 100.2 (0.88%)

    14. Kiekko-Espoo: 110.2 (0.8%)

    15. Jukurit: 180.2 (0.49%)

    16. Vaasan Sport: 380.2 (0.23%)

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