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Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia predictions, May 17, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

Japan J1 League, on Sunday,

Score, Highlights

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On May 17, 2026, Kawasaki Frontale will host Machida Zelvia in a key matchup in the J1 League. Both teams come into this encounter with contrasting recent form. Kawasaki Frontale has emerged victorious in only 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating potential inconsistencies in performance. In contrast, Machida Zelvia is riding a wave of momentum, having secured 3 wins in their last 5 outings, which could give them a psychological edge heading into this fixture.

From a tactical standpoint, Kawasaki will look to leverage their home advantage and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Machida. The home side typically employs a possession-based approach, aiming to control the pace of the game. Conversely, Machida Zelvia has demonstrated effective counter-attacking capabilities, making them a threat when transitioning from defense to offense.

Bookmakers have set odds at 2.95 for a Kawasaki win and 2.27 for an away victory, reflecting a closer contest according to the odds makers. Our model predicts a probability of 29.9% for a home victory, 26.2% for a draw, and 43.1% for an away win. Based on these trends and statistics, a drawn game could be a plausible outcome, with a predicted final score of 1:1. Ultimately, both teams have the capacity to influence the match outcome, making this an intriguing fixture.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-11T19:52:04+00:00.

Kawasaki
31.5%		 Draw
27.6%		 Machida Zelvia
40.9%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.88 3.35 2.28
2.86 3.44 2.34
2.8 3.25 2.3
2.96 3.35 2.37

Latest Results

10.05.26 Kashiwa Reysol – Kawasaki Frontale – 1:0
06.05.26 Kawasaki Frontale – Tokyo Verdy – 1:0
02.05.26 FC Tokyo – Kawasaki Frontale – 2:0
29.04.26 Urawa Red Diamonds – Kawasaki Frontale – 2:0
25.04.26 Kawasaki Frontale – JEF United Chiba – 2:1		 10.05.26 JEF United Chiba – Machida Zelvia – 0:2
06.05.26 Machida Zelvia – Yokohama F. Marinos – 2:0
03.05.26 Kashima Antlers – Machida Zelvia – 2:1 penalties
29.04.26 Mito HollyHock – Machida Zelvia – 2:3 penalties
25.04.26 Al-Ahli Jeddah – Machida Zelvia – 1:0 ET

Facts

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of away games.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.03.26 Machida Zelvia – Kawasaki Frontale – 2:1 penalties
    31.08.25 Kawasaki Frontale – Machida Zelvia – 5:3
    06.04.25 Machida Zelvia – Kawasaki Frontale – 2:2
    05.10.24 Machida Zelvia – Kawasaki Frontale – 1:4
    07.04.24 Kawasaki Frontale – Machida Zelvia – 0:1

    Standings

    2026

    East

    Pl W W L L Pts
    1 Kashima Antlers 16 11 2 2 1 28:11 39
    2 FC Tokyo 16 9 3 2 2 31:17 35
    3 Machida 15 7 4 2 2 25:20 31
    4 Urawa Reds 16 7 0 3 6 25:20 24
    5 Verdy 15 6 3 0 6 21:19 24
    6 Kawasaki Frontale 16 6 2 1 7 21:26 23
    7 Mito 16 2 4 4 6 22:35 18
    8 Yokohama F. Marinos 16 5 0 2 9 22:30 17
    9 Kashiwa Reysol 16 4 1 0 11 17:22 14
    10 Chiba 16 3 0 3 10 16:28 12

    West

    Pl W W L L Pts
    1 Nagoya Grampus 16 8 2 3 3 30:21 31
    2 Vissel Kobe 15 7 2 3 3 25:22 28
    3 Gamba Osaka 17 4 5 3 5 29:24 25
    4 Cerezo Osaka 16 5 4 2 5 21:18 25
    5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 6 2 2 6 23:21 24
    6 Shimizu S-Pulse 16 4 4 4 4 22:21 24
    7 Okayama 16 5 2 4 5 22:26 23
    8 Avispa Fukuoka 17 3 4 4 6 21:30 21
    9 Kyoto 15 4 3 2 6 21:23 20
    10 V-Varen Nagasaki 16 6 0 1 9 18:26 19

    Japan J1 League Outrights

    1. Kashima Antlers: 2.1 (39.56%)

    2. Vissel Kobe: 2.88 (28.85%)

    3. Nagoya Grampus: 4.5 (18.46%)

    4. FC Tokyo: 15 (5.54%)

    5. Machida Zelvia: 21 (3.96%)

    6. Gamba Osaka: 41 (2.03%)

    7. Cerezo Osaka: 201 (0.41%)

    8. Shimizu S-Pulse: 201 (0.41%)

    9. Kyoto: 201 (0.41%)

    10. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 251 (0.33%)

    11. Okayama: 2001 (0.04%)

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