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Köln vs Mainz predictions, Jan 17, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Score, Highlights

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As 1. FC Köln prepares to host Mainz 05 on January 17, 2026, both teams will be keen to reverse their recent fortunes in the Bundesliga. Köln has enjoyed home advantage, yet they have only managed to secure one victory in their last five matches. Similar struggles are evident for Mainz, who also come into this matchup with just one win in their last five outings.

Köln’s tactical strengths lie in their ability to capitalize on set-pieces and maintain pressure in attacking phases. However, they have faced challenges in converting possession into significant scoring opportunities, resulting in a frustrating streak of performances. Meanwhile, Mainz has shown resilience in counter-attacks but continues to be vulnerable defensively, often leaving gaps that could be exploited by a home side hungry for points.

The bookmakers have set the odds at 2.06 for a Köln victory, with Mainz at 3.41, reflecting the home team’s marginal edge. Our prediction model suggests a 47.8% chance of a home win, a 27% likelihood of a draw, and a 26.9% chance for an away victory. Ultimately, this match presents an opportunity for either team to uplift their season, though outcomes are far from guaranteed.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-12T08:52:02+00:00.

Köln
42.2%		 Draw
26.2%		 Mainz
31.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of German Bundesliga Mainz: 0.09%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
2.28 3.7 2.98
2.31 3.74 3.18 Watch and Bet
2.15 3.4 3
2.21 3.77 2.99
2.28 3.66 2.85

Latest Results

10.01.26 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 1. FC Köln – 2:2
05.01.26 FC Lugano – 1. FC Köln – 1:2
20.12.25 1. FC Köln – Union Berlin – 0:1
13.12.25 Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Köln – 2:0
06.12.25 1. FC Köln – FC St. Pauli – 1:1		 10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:2
21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0
18.12.25 Mainz 05 – Samsunspor – 2:0
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 05 – 2:2
11.12.25 Lech Poznań – Mainz 05 – 1:1

Facts

  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Köln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    24.08.25 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Köln – 0:1
    28.04.24 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Köln – 1:1
    10.12.23 1. FC Köln – Mainz 05 – 0:0
    15.04.23 1. FC Köln – Mainz 05 – 1:1
    21.10.22 Mainz 05 – 1. FC Köln – 5:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 16 14 2 0 63:12 51 44
    2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
    3 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30:19 11 29
    4 Bayer Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34:24 10 29
    5 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 29:23 6 29
    6 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29:20 9 27
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33:33 0 26
    8 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 27:27 0 23
    9 Union Berlin 16 6 4 6 22:25 -3 22
    10 B. Monchengladbach 16 5 4 7 22:24 -2 19
    11 FC Koln 16 4 5 7 24:26 -2 17
    12 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18:28 -10 17
    13 Hamburger SV 16 4 4 8 17:27 -10 16
    14 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 24:36 -12 15
    15 Augsburg 16 4 2 10 17:32 -15 14
    16 St. Pauli 15 3 3 9 13:26 -13 12
    17 Heidenheim 16 3 3 10 15:36 -21 12
    18 Mainz 16 1 6 9 15:28 -13 9

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (92.22%)

    2. Dortmund: 33.67 (2.76%)

    3. RB Leipzig: 73.67 (1.26%)

    4. Bayer Leverkusen: 88.2 (1.05%)

    5. Hoffenheim: 230.2 (0.4%)

    6. VfB Stuttgart: 275.33 (0.34%)

    7. Eintracht Frankfurt: 275.33 (0.34%)

    8. Freiburg: 280.2 (0.33%)

    9. 1. FC Koln: 480.2 (0.19%)

    10. Werder Bremen: 580.2 (0.16%)

    11. Union Berlin: 580.2 (0.16%)

    12. B. Monchengladbach: 580.2 (0.16%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.09%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.09%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.09%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.09%)

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