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Leeds United vs Sunderland predictions, Mar 03, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

English Premier League, on Tuesday,

Score, Highlights

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As Leeds United prepares to host Sunderland AFC on March 3, 2026, both teams enter the fixture with equal momentum, having won 2 of their last 5 matches. This matchup promises to be competitive, especially considering the recent performances of both sides.

Leeds United has shown signs of resilience at home, leveraging their tactical framework to exert pressure and control possession. Their ability to convert chances in front of goal will be crucial, particularly as they seek to capitalize on potential weaknesses in Sunderland’s defensive setup.

Sunderland, on the other hand, has demonstrated a tenacious spirit in their recent games. Their counter-attacking style has yielded positive results, allowing them to exploit spaces left by opponent’s attacking plays. With odds of 1.91 for a Leeds home win against Sunderland’s 3.8, the bookmakers view Leeds as slight favorites.

Statistical models suggest a 49.1% probability for a Leeds victory, indicative of their home advantage, while a draw stands at 27.1% and an away win for Sunderland at 23.8%. The predicted final score aligns with a closely-fought contest, projected at 1:0 in favor of Leeds. As always, outcomes in football can be unpredictable, making this match one to watch closely.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-24T19:52:03+00:00.

Leeds
48.9%		 Draw
26.9%		 Sunderland
24.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of English Premier League Leeds: 0.03% Sunderland: 0.02%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.98 3.55 3.9
2 3.66 4.12 Watch and Bet
1.91 3.4 3.8
1.97 3.62 4.06

Latest Results

21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds United – 1:1
15.02.26 Birmingham City – Leeds United – 1:2 penalties
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds United – 2:2
06.02.26 Leeds United – Nottingham Forest – 3:1
31.01.26 Leeds United – Arsenal FC – 0:4		 22.02.26 Sunderland AFC – Fulham FC – 1:3
15.02.26 Oxford United – Sunderland AFC – 0:1
11.02.26 Sunderland AFC – Liverpool FC – 0:1
07.02.26 Arsenal FC – Sunderland AFC – 3:0
02.02.26 Sunderland AFC – Burnley FC – 3:0

Facts

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • In this match, Leeds is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.12.25 Sunderland AFC – Leeds United – 1:1
    17.02.25 Leeds United – Sunderland AFC – 2:1
    04.10.24 Sunderland AFC – Leeds United – 2:2
    09.04.24 Leeds United – Sunderland AFC – 0:0
    12.12.23 Sunderland AFC – Leeds United – 1:0

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arsenal 28 18 7 3 56:21 35 61
    2 Manchester City 27 17 5 5 56:25 31 56
    3 Aston Villa 27 15 6 6 38:28 10 51
    4 Manchester Utd 27 13 9 5 48:37 11 48
    5 Chelsea 27 12 9 6 48:31 17 45
    6 Liverpool 27 13 6 8 42:35 7 45
    7 Brentford 27 12 4 11 40:37 3 40
    8 Bournemouth 27 9 11 7 43:45 -2 38
    9 Everton 27 10 7 10 29:31 -2 37
    10 Fulham 27 11 4 12 38:41 -3 37
    11 Newcastle 27 10 6 11 38:39 -1 36
    12 Sunderland 27 9 9 9 28:33 -5 36
    13 Crystal Palace 27 9 8 10 29:32 -3 35
    14 Brighton 27 8 10 9 36:34 2 34
    15 Leeds 27 7 10 10 37:46 -9 31
    16 Tottenham 27 7 8 12 37:41 -4 29
    17 Nottingham 27 7 6 14 25:39 -14 27
    18 West Ham 27 6 7 14 32:49 -17 25
    19 Burnley 27 4 7 16 29:52 -23 19
    20 Wolves 28 1 7 20 18:51 -33 10

    English Premier League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 1.52 (60.34%)

    2. Manchester City: 2.55 (36.06%)

    3. Manchester United: 59 (1.56%)

    4. Aston Villa: 111.83 (0.82%)

    5. Liverpool: 192.67 (0.48%)

    6. Chelsea: 476 (0.19%)

    7. Wolves: 1001 (0.09%)

    8. Newcastle Utd: 1351 (0.07%)

    9. Brentford: 1601 (0.06%)

    10. Nottingham: 1751 (0.05%)

    11. Brighton: 2051 (0.04%)

    12. West Ham: 3001 (0.03%)

    13. Burnley: 3001 (0.03%)

    14. Fulham: 3001 (0.03%)

    15. Bournemouth: 3201 (0.03%)

    16. Crystal Palace: 3301 (0.03%)

    17. Leeds: 3601 (0.03%)

    18. Everton: 4201 (0.02%)

    19. Sunderland: 4201 (0.02%)

    20. Tottenham: 4601 (0.02%)

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