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Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo predictions, May 10, 2026

Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Roma, on Sunday,

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Lorenzo Musetti prepares to face Francisco Cerundolo in the ATP Roma on May 10, 2026, both players arrive with comparable recent forms, having each secured three victories in their last five matches. The match, held on Musetti’s home turf, adds a layer of expectation as he seeks to capitalize on local support.

Musetti’s game is characterized by his versatile baseline play and fluid movement, allowing him to dictate rallies and exploit opponents’ weaknesses. His ability to adapt to various surfaces makes him a formidable competitor, particularly in a home setting where he is familiar with nuances that may impact play. However, he will need to effectively counter Cerundolo’s aggressive baseline approach and consistent serve, which can put pressure on his opponents.

The bookmakers favor Musetti with odds of 1.59 for a home win compared to 2.33 for Cerundolo. Our model predicts a 58.9% chance for a home victory, contrasting with a 41.1% likelihood for an away win. While Musetti’s familiarity with the venue and recent momentum may give him an edge, Cerundolo’s competitive spirit and tactical prowess could challenge this assessment. Ultimately, fans can anticipate a tightly contested match where the outcome is far from certain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-09T00:52:03+00:00.

Musetti
56.6%		 Cerundolo
43.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
1.71 2.14
1.7 2.21 Watch and Bet
1.59 2.33

Latest Results

08.05.26 Lorenzo Musetti – Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – 2:0
28.04.26 Jiri Lehecka – Lorenzo Musetti – 2:0
26.04.26 Tallon Griekspoor – Lorenzo Musetti – 0:2
24.04.26 Hubert Hurkacz – Lorenzo Musetti – 0:2
17.04.26 Arthur Fils – Lorenzo Musetti – 2:0		 08.05.26 Alejandro Tabilo – Francisco Cerundolo – 0:2
28.04.26 Francisco Cerundolo – Alexander Blockx – 0:2
27.04.26 Francisco Cerundolo – Luciano Darderi – 2:0
25.04.26 Francisco Cerundolo – Yannick Hanfmann – 2:0
17.04.26 Alexander Zverev – Francisco Cerundolo – 2:1

Facts

  • Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 27.
  • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
  • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    27.07.24 Francisco Cerundolo – Lorenzo Musetti – 2:1
    23.07.22 Lorenzo Musetti – Francisco Cerundolo – 2:0
    03.09.20 Lorenzo Musetti – Francisco Cerundolo – 2:0

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Ofner S. Michelsen A. 2 : 0
    3 Popyrin A. Berrettini M. 2 : 0
    4 Bye Mensik J. (26)
    5 Tiafoe F. (20) Bye
    6 Sonego L. Buse I. 0 : 2
    7 Pellegrino A. (Q) Nardi L. (WC) 2 : 1
    8 Bye Fils A. (15)
    9 Rublev A. (12) Bye
    10 Svrcina D. (Q) Kecmanovic M. 0 : 2
    11 Garin C. (Q) Cerundolo J. M. 2 : 0
    12 Bye Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
    13 Nakashima B. (30) Bye
    14 Bautista-Agut R. Maestrelli F. (WC) 2 : 0
    15 Basilashvili N. (Q) Merida Aguilar D. (Q) 2 : 1
    16 Bye Shelton B. (5)
    17 Auger-Aliassime F. (4) Bye
    18 Shapovalov D. Navone M. 0 : 2
    19 Medjedovic H. Royer V. 2 : 0
    20 Bye Fonseca J. (27)
    21 Etcheverry T. M. (24) Bye
    22 Burruchaga R. A. Bellucci M. 0 : 2
    23 Giron M. Cilic M. 0 : 2
    24 Bye Landaluce M. (LL)
    25 Cobolli F. (10) Bye
    26 Bergs Z. Atmane T. 0 : 2
    27 Tirante T. A. Cadenasso G. (WC) 2 : 1
    28 Bye Norrie C. (17)
    29 Moutet C. (28) Bye
    30 Quinn E. Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) 1 : 2
    31 Tsitsipas S. Machac T. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Medvedev D. (7)
    33 Musetti L. (8) Bye
    34 Fearnley J. (Q) Mpetshi Perricard G. 1 : 2
    35 Carreno-Busta P. (Q) Tabilo A. 0 : 2
    36 Bye Cerundolo F. (25)
    37 Ruud C. (23) Bye
    38 Trungelliti M. Svajda Z. 1 : 2
    39 Struff J-L. Comesana F. (Q) 2 : 0
    40 Bye Lehecka J. (11)
    41 Khachanov K. (13) Bye
    42 Ugo Carabelli C. Shevchenko A. 1 : 2
    43 Muller A. Van De Zandschulp B. 0 : 2
    44 Bye Kovacevic A. (LL)
    45 Humbert U. (31) Bye
    46 Marozsan F. Kopriva V. 0 : 2
    47 Fucsovics M. Prizmic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    48 Bye Djokovic N. (3)
    49 De Minaur A. (6) Bye
    50 Arnaldi M. (WC) Munar J. 2 : 1
    51 De Jong J. (Q) Borges N. 0 : 2
    52 Bye Jodar R. (32)
    53 Tien L. (19) Bye
    54 Dzumhur D. Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    55 Brooksby J. Baez S. 0 : 2
    56 Bye Bublik A. (9)
    57 Paul T. (16) Bye
    58 Vukic A. Kypson P. (Q) 2 : 1
    59 Hurkacz H. Hanfmann Y. 1 : 2
    60 Bye Darderi L. (18)
    61 Griekspoor T. (29) Bye
    62 Cina F. (WC) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    63 Zhang Z. (PR) Altmaier D. 1 : 2
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Ofner S.
    2 Popyrin A. Mensik J. (26)
    3 Tiafoe F. (20) Buse I.
    4 Pellegrino A. Fils A. (15)
    5 Rublev A. (12) Kecmanovic M.
    6 Garin C. Davidovich Fokina A. (21)
    7 Nakashima B. (30) Bautista-Agut R.
    8 Basilashvili N. Shelton B. (5)
    9 Auger-Aliassime F. (4) Navone M.
    10 Medjedovic H. Fonseca J. (27)
    11 Etcheverry T. M. (24) Bellucci M.
    12 Cilic M. Landaluce M. (LL)
    13 Cobolli F. (10) Atmane T.
    14 Tirante T. A. Norrie C. (17)
    15 Moutet C. (28) Llamas Ruiz P.
    16 Machac T. Medvedev D. (7)
    17 Musetti L. (8) Mpetshi Perricard G. 2 : 0
    18 Tabilo A. Cerundolo F. (25) 0 : 2
    19 Ruud C. (23) Svajda Z. 2 : 0
    20 Struff J-L. Lehecka J. (11) 0 : 2
    21 Khachanov K. (13) Shevchenko A. 2 : 0
    22 Van De Zandschulp B. Kovacevic A. 2 : 1
    23 Humbert U. (31) Kopriva V. 2 : 0
    24 Prizmic D. Djokovic N. (3) 2 : 1
    25 De Minaur A. (6) Arnaldi M. 1 : 2
    26 Borges N. Jodar R. (32) 0 : 2
    27 Tien L. (19) Dzumhur D. 2 : 0
    28 Baez S. Bublik A. (9) 0 : 2
    29 Paul T. (16) Vukic A. 2 : 0
    30 Hanfmann Y. Darderi L. (18) 0 : 2
    31 Griekspoor T. (29) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    32 Altmaier D. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 Musetti L. (8) Cerundolo F. (25)
    10 Ruud C. (23) Lehecka J. (11)
    11 Khachanov K. (13) Van De Zandschulp B.
    12 Humbert U. (31) Prizmic D.
    13 Arnaldi M. Jodar R. (32)
    14 Tien L. (19) Bublik A. (9)
    15 Paul T. (16) Darderi L. (18)
    16 Blockx A. Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Roma Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.35 (45.59%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 8.5 (7.24%)

    3. Jodar Rafael: 15 (4.1%)

    4. Musetti Lorenzo: 18 (3.42%)

    5. Ruud Casper: 18 (3.42%)

    6. Fils Arthur: 20 (3.08%)

    7. Fonseca Joao: 25 (2.46%)

    8. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 28 (2.2%)

    9. Medvedev Daniil: 35 (1.76%)

    10. Blockx Alexander: 45 (1.37%)

    11. Cerundolo Francisco: 50 (1.23%)

    12. Paul Tommy: 60 (1.03%)

    13. Lehecka Jiri: 60 (1.03%)

    14. Bublik Alexander: 65 (0.95%)

    15. Shelton Ben: 75 (0.82%)

    16. Moutet Corentin: 100 (0.62%)

    17. Humbert Ugo: 100 (0.62%)

    18. Khachanov Karen: 100 (0.62%)

    19. Norrie Cameron: 100 (0.62%)

    20. Cobolli Flavio: 100 (0.62%)

    21. Tiafoe Frances: 100 (0.62%)

    22. Bellucci Mattia: 100 (0.62%)

    23. Cilic Marin: 100 (0.62%)

    24. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 100 (0.62%)

    25. Navone Mariano: 100 (0.62%)

    26. Vacherot Valentin: 100 (0.62%)

    27. Machac Tomas: 100 (0.62%)

    28. Arnaldi Matteo: 100 (0.62%)

    29. Kecmanovic Miomir: 100 (0.62%)

    30. Rublev Andrey: 100 (0.62%)

    31. Darderi Luciano: 100 (0.62%)

    32. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 100 (0.62%)

    33. Mensik Jakub: 100 (0.62%)

    34. Tien Learner: 100 (0.62%)

    35. Popyrin Alexei: 100 (0.62%)

    36. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 100 (0.62%)

    37. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 100 (0.62%)

    38. Nakashima Brandon: 100 (0.62%)

    39. Ofner Sebastian: 100 (0.62%)

    40. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 100 (0.62%)

    41. Buse Ignacio: 100 (0.62%)

    42. Atmane Terence: 100 (0.62%)

    43. Medjedovic Hamad: 100 (0.62%)

    44. Pellegrino Andrea: 100 (0.62%)

    45. Garin Cristian: 100 (0.62%)

    46. Prizmic Dino: 100 (0.62%)

    47. Llamas Ruiz Pablo: 100 (0.62%)

    48. Basilashvili Nikoloz: 100 (0.62%)

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