Louisville City vs Minnesota United predictions, May 07, 2025

Score, Highlights

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Louisville City FC will be looking to continue their strong form as they face Minnesota United in the upcoming US Open Cup match. With 4 wins in their last 5 matches, Louisville City will be confident heading into this game. They have been in fine form recently and will be looking to maintain their momentum at home.

On the other hand, Minnesota United have had a mixed run of results with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Despite this, they have shown they are capable of pulling off good performances and will look to cause an upset on the road.

Based on the bookmakers odds and our model prediction, Minnesota United are slight favorites to come away with the win. However, Louisville City FC will be determined to prove them wrong and secure a victory in front of their home fans. It promises to be an exciting and competitive match between these two teams.

Louisville City 28.5%

Draw 27.4%

Minnesota 44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City’s performance.

Minnesota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+44.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota’s recent form is better than expected.

Outrights of US Open Cup Minnesota United: 3.07%

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Betting Odds

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.35	1.97
	3.25	3.4	2.09
	3.33	3.1	2.07
	3.25	3.4	2.09

Latest Results

01.05.25 Louisville City FC – Lexington SC – 2:0 26.04.25 Louisville City FC – Richmond Kickers – 4:1 19.04.25 Tampa Bay Rowdies – Louisville City FC – 1:2 15.04.25 Louisville City FC – Loudoun United – 2:1 05.04.25 Sacramento Republic FC – Louisville City FC – 1:1

03.05.25 Austin FC – Minnesota United – 0:3 27.04.25 Minnesota United – Vancouver Whitecaps – 1:3 19.04.25 Minnesota United – FC Dallas – 0:0 12.04.25 Toronto FC – Minnesota United – 0:0 06.04.25 New York City FC – Minnesota United – 1:2

Facts

Louisville City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minnesota has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Draw

2025

1/128-finals

1	Sacramento Republic	Bye
3	Monterey Bay	International SF	4 : 0
4	Real Monarchs	El Farolito	1 : 3
8	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
9	Tacoma Defiance	Washington AC	3 : 1
10	Ballard	Spokane Velocity	0 : 1
12	Bye	Oakland Roots
16	Bye	Portland Timbers
17	FC Dallas	Bye
21	AV Alta	Ventura	3 : 1
22	Los Angeles FC II	Arizona FC	7 : 1
24	Bye	Orange County SC
25	Colorado Springs	Bye
27	Asheville City	Greenville	0 : 1
28	Appalachian	One Knoxville	0 : 3
32	Bye	New York Red Bulls
33	Austin FC	Bye
37	New Mexico	Bye
39	Ventura County	Laguna United	7 : 0
40	El Paso	Harpos	5 : 1
41	Forward Madison	Duluth FC	5 : 1
42	Tulsa Athletic	FC Tulsa	0 : 1
44	Bye	Phoenix Rising
48	Bye	Houston Dynamo
49	St. Louis City	Bye
53	Sporting Kansas City II	Menace	1 : 2
54	Flatirons	Union Omaha	1 : 2
56	Bye	San Antonio
57	Louisville City	Bye
59	West Chester Utd	Loudoun	2 : 3
60	Richmond Kickers	Virginia Dream	1 : 3
64	Bye	Minnesota United
65	Nashville SC	Bye
69	Las Vegas Lights	Bye
71	Chattanooga	Corpus Christi FC	1 : 0
72	New Jersey Alliance	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2 : 3
73	Sarasota Paradise	FC Naples	1 : 2
74	Little Rock Rangers	Birmingham	1 : 0
76	Bye	Tampa Bay
80	Bye	Orlando City
81	DC United	Bye
85	Charleston	Bye
87	Tormenta	Harbor City	3 : 0
88	Texoma	Foro	1 : 2
89	Long Island	Charlotte Independ.	2 : 3
90	Carolina Core	Soda City	4 : 2
92	Bye	North Carolina
96	Bye	Charlotte
97	Philadelphia Union	Bye
101	Indy Eleven	Bye
103	Inter Miami II	Miami United	4 : 2
104	Miami FC	Naples United	4 : 1
105	Columbus Crew 2	NY Renegades	4 : 1
106	Lexington	Southern Indiana	5 : 0
108	Bye	Pittsburgh
112	Bye	New York City
113	Chicago Fire	Bye
117	Detroit	Bye
119	Motown	Westchester SC
120	Cincinnati 2	New York Pancyprian	0 : 1
121	Hartford Athletic	New York Shockers	3 : 0
122	Portland Hearts of Pine	Faialense	4 : 0
124	Bye	Rhode Island
128	Bye	New England Revolution

1/64-finals

1	Sacramento Republic	Bye
2	Monterey Bay	El Farolito	1 : 2
4	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
5	Tacoma Defiance	Spokane Velocity	2 : 1
6	Bye	Oakland Roots
8	Bye	Portland Timbers
9	FC Dallas	Bye
11	AV Alta	Los Angeles FC II	2 : 1
12	Bye	Orange County SC
13	Colorado Springs	Bye
14	Greenville	One Knoxville	1 : 3
16	Bye	New York Red Bulls
17	Austin FC	Bye
19	New Mexico	Bye
20	Ventura County	El Paso	0 : 3
21	Forward Madison	FC Tulsa	1 : 3
22	Bye	Phoenix Rising
24	Bye	Houston Dynamo
25	St. Louis City	Bye
27	Menace	Union Omaha	1 : 2
28	Bye	San Antonio
29	Louisville City	Bye
30	Loudoun	Virginia Dream	4 : 2
32	Bye	Minnesota United
33	Nashville SC	Bye
35	Las Vegas Lights	Bye
36	Chattanooga	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 2
37	FC Naples	Little Rock Rangers	3 : 0
38	Bye	Tampa Bay
40	Bye	Orlando City
41	DC United	Bye
43	Charleston	Bye
44	Tormenta	Foro	3 : 2
45	Charlotte Independ.	Carolina Core	2 : 1
46	Bye	North Carolina
48	Bye	Charlotte
49	Philadelphia Union	Bye
51	Indy Eleven	Bye
52	Inter Miami II	Miami FC	0 : 1
53	Columbus Crew 2	Lexington	3 : 0
54	Bye	Pittsburgh
56	Bye	New York City
57	Chicago Fire	Bye
59	Detroit	Bye
60	Westchester SC	New York Pancyprian	3 : 2
61	Hartford Athletic	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 : 2
62	Bye	Rhode Island
64	Bye	New England Revolution

1/32-finals

1	Sacramento Republic	El Farolito	1 : 0
2	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
3	Tacoma Defiance	Oakland Roots	2 : 1
4	Bye	Portland Timbers
5	FC Dallas	Bye
6	AV Alta	Orange County SC	3 : 2
7	Colorado Springs	One Knoxville	3 : 2
8	Bye	New York Red Bulls
9	Austin FC	Bye
10	New Mexico	El Paso	2 : 3
11	FC Tulsa	Phoenix Rising	1 : 2
12	Bye	Houston Dynamo
13	St. Louis City	Bye
14	Union Omaha	San Antonio	1 : 0
15	Louisville City	Loudoun	2 : 1
16	Bye	Minnesota United
17	Nashville SC	Bye
18	Las Vegas Lights	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2 : 3
19	FC Naples	Tampa Bay	1 : 2
20	Bye	Orlando City
21	DC United	Bye
22	Charleston	Tormenta	4 : 0
23	Charlotte Independ.	North Carolina	1 : 3
24	Bye	Charlotte
25	Philadelphia Union	Bye
26	Indy Eleven	Miami FC	1 : 0
27	Columbus Crew 2	Pittsburgh	0 : 1
28	Bye	New York City
29	Chicago Fire	Bye
30	Detroit	Westchester SC	3 : 1
31	Portland Hearts of Pine	Rhode Island	1 : 2
32	Bye	New England Revolution

1/16-finals

1	Sacramento Republic	San Jose Earthquakes
2	Tacoma Defiance	Portland Timbers
3	FC Dallas	AV Alta
4	Colorado Springs	New York Red Bulls
5	Austin FC	El Paso
6	Phoenix Rising	Houston Dynamo
7	St. Louis City	Union Omaha
8	Louisville City	Minnesota United
9	Nashville SC	Chattanooga Red Wolves
10	Tampa Bay	Orlando City
11	DC United	Charleston
12	North Carolina	Charlotte
13	Philadelphia Union	Indy Eleven
14	Pittsburgh	New York City
15	Chicago Fire	Detroit
16	Rhode Island	New England Revolution

US Open Cup Outrights

1. Inter Miami: 4.5 (17.74%)

2. Los Angeles FC: 8 (9.98%)

3. Vancouver Whitecaps: 12 (6.65%)

4. Columbus Crew: 15 (5.32%)

5. Los Angeles Galaxy: 17 (4.7%)

6. New York City: 17 (4.7%)

7. Cincinnati: 19 (4.2%)

8. New York Red Bulls: 21 (3.8%)

9. Seattle Sounders: 21 (3.8%)

10. Philadelphia Union: 21 (3.8%)

11. Orlando City: 26 (3.07%)

12. Minnesota United: 26 (3.07%)

13. Atlanta United: 26 (3.07%)

14. San Diego Zest: 26 (3.07%)

15. Real Salt Lake: 34 (2.35%)

16. St. Louis City: 34 (2.35%)

17. Colorado Rapids: 41 (1.95%)

18. Austin FC: 41 (1.95%)

19. Chicago Fire: 51 (1.57%)

20. DC United: 51 (1.57%)

21. Charlotte FC: 51 (1.57%)

22. Houston Dynamo: 51 (1.57%)

23. Nashville SC: 51 (1.57%)

24. San Jose Earthquakes: 67 (1.19%)

25. Sporting: 67 (1.19%)

26. Portland Timbers: 67 (1.19%)

27. FC Dallas: 81 (0.99%)

28. Revolution: 101 (0.79%)

29. CF Montreal: 126 (0.63%)

30. SC Toronto: 126 (0.63%)

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