Lugano vs EV Zug predictions, Dec 20, 2024

Swiss National League Hockey, on Friday,

Lugano

EV Zug

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The upcoming match between Lugano and EV Zug in the Swiss National League Hockey is set to be an exciting and evenly matched contest. HC Lugano, despite only winning 1 out of their last 5 matches, will have the home advantage in this game. On the other hand, EV Zug has won 3 out of their last 5 matches and will come into this game with some momentum.

The bookmakers have given close coefficients for both teams, indicating that they view this match as a tight affair. Our ML estimation also reflects this sentiment, with a slight edge given to EV Zug with a probability of 40.8% to win. A draw is not out of the question with a probability of 21.8%.

With the most likely result being predicted as a 2-3 win for EV Zug, we can expect both teams to come out strong and fight for the win. It will be interesting to see which team can execute their game plan effectively and come out on top in what promises to be an entertaining match.

Lugano 38% Draw 22.3% EV Zug 39.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey Zug: 16.25% Lugano: 3.89%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.47 4.15 2.34
Pinnacle 2.43 4.21 2.34

Latest Results

08.12.24 HC Davos – HC Lugano – 2:1 OT
07.12.24 HC Lugano – ZSC Lions – 2:5
04.12.24 HC Lugano – Rapperswil-Jona Lakers – 2:0
30.11.24 HC Lugano – HC Fribourg-Gotteron – 3:5
29.11.24 HC Ajoie – HC Lugano – 5:4 OT
07.12.24 SCL Tigers – EV Zug – 2:4
04.12.24 HC Ambri-Piotta – EV Zug – 2:3 OT
29.11.24 HC Fribourg-Gotteron – EV Zug – 4:1
28.11.24 EV Zug – ZSC Lions – 0:4
26.11.24 EV Zug – EHC Kloten – 5:0

Facts

  • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 1.
  • Lugano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins – 1).
  • Recent matches EV Zug is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • EV Zug could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 51:72 (average 2.6:3.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:38 (average 2.5:3.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    22.10.24 HC Lugano – EV Zug – 1:5
    17.09.24 EV Zug – HC Lugano – 3:2
    17.02.24 EV Zug – HC Lugano – 1:5
    07.01.24 HC Lugano – EV Zug – 1:4
    31.10.23 HC Lugano – EV Zug – 1:4

    Standings

    2024/25

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Davos 29 14 6 3 6 92:61 57
    2 Zurich 26 13 7 2 4 85:54 55
    3 Lausanne 28 13 4 3 8 85:83 50
    4 Bern 28 12 2 9 5 92:74 49
    5 EHC Kloten 29 12 5 1 11 72:77 47
    6 Zug 28 13 3 1 11 93:74 46
    7 Biel 28 10 3 4 11 62:58 40
    8 Ambri-Piotta 28 6 7 7 8 77:88 39
    9 Fribourg 29 10 2 5 12 74:80 39
    10 Langnau Tigers 27 10 3 2 12 64:63 38
    11 Servette 26 7 5 5 9 74:73 36
    12 Lugano 27 10 0 3 14 67:89 33
    13 Rapperswil-Jona 29 7 3 6 13 68:88 33
    14 Ajoie 28 5 3 2 18 66:109 23

    Swiss National League Hockey Outrights

    1. Zurich: 3.88 (20.85%)

    2. Zug: 4.98 (16.25%)

    3. Fribourg: 7.05 (11.48%)

    4. Lausanne: 7.75 (10.44%)

    5. Davos: 8.65 (9.35%)

    6. Bern: 9.7 (8.34%)

    7. Servette: 11.6 (6.98%)

    8. Lugano: 20.8 (3.89%)

    9. Biel: 20.8 (3.89%)

    10. Rapperswil-Jona: 25.8 (3.14%)

    11. Ambri-Piotta: 39.8 (2.03%)

    12. Kloten: 48.4 (1.67%)

    13. Langnau Tigers: 64.6 (1.25%)

    14. Ajoie: 185.8 (0.44%)

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